This analysis works through the Fairyhouse races chronologically, drawing exclusively on the provided sources.
12.33 Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Mares Maiden Hurdle (2m 4f 80y)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
Based on the total TimeWise master rating (117), there are two joint leaders:
- Jazzy Rock (117)
- Katie Daniels (117)
Recent Form and Comments
Jazzy Rock (6yo)
Jazzy Rock is rated 103 over hurdles after three runs. She was placed at Roscommon (20.5f, good-yielding) in August and again at Killarney (2m1f, yielding) early last month. Her latest run was a solid fourth at Clonmel (2m4f, yielding), where she finished 0.5l behind Katie Daniels. Suitability to heavy ground is unknown.
Katie Daniels (6yo)
Katie Daniels is a point-to-point winner on good ground. She has shaped promisingly on both starts for her current yard. She is closely matched with Jazzy Rock following their meeting at Clonmel last month. She is unraced on heavy ground, and her pedigree offers mixed messages regarding heavy ground suitability.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict notes that Willie Mullins won this race last year, and Kom Tu Voudras is probably capable of better than previously shown but needs significant improvement. Testing ground is a query for Clarnagh Maid, Jazzy Rock, and Katie Daniels. The tentative selection is the 4yo point-to-point winner Moonlight Paradise, as her dam won on heavy ground, and she should improve substantially from her comeback run at Clonmel. Flashaway needs close monitoring in the market.
Race Statistics
| Category | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups (w-pl-r) | 4yo 3-1-36, 5yo 5-11-48, 6yo 0-3-19, 7yo 0-0-5, 8yo 0-1-3 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 11122211 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Gordon Elliott 3-1-6, W P Mullins 2-0-3, Gavin Cromwell 0-1-2 |
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Jazzy Rock & Katie Daniels
- Strengths: Both hold the joint highest master rating (117). Both have strong recent placing form at intermediate trips, proving closely matched. Katie Daniels is a point-to-point winner and has shaped well for her current trainer.
- Weaknesses: Their key weakness is the potential inability to handle the heavy ground advertised for the race.
- Suitability: They are suited to the trip (around 2m 4f) based on recent runs. Suitability is dependent on the testing conditions.
1.08 William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (3m 110y)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
- Billy Lee Swagger (115)
- Cullig (114)
Recent Form and Comments
Billy Lee Swagger (6yo)
One of two runners for his trainer (P Rothwell). He did not perform well at Galway in August. However, he is capable of performing well based on his last two runs in stronger races at Punchestown. He handles heavy ground and has performed well when fresh. He is worth another attempt at this 3m 110y trip.
Cullig (6yo)
Cullig hit form in the spring last season. This included a dominant win at Cork (24.5f, good) off a mark of 84, followed by solid second-place finishes at Naas (3m, good-yielding) off 97 and Cork (24.5f, soft) off 100. She has been below her best on her last two starts. There is concern that the testing (heavy) ground may not be what she wants.
Spotlight Verdict
Testing conditions are noted as a query for several runners, including Paddy’s Milestone and The Miracle Man. Trainer Philip Rothwell is close to the top of the challenge series leaderboard. Billy Lee Swagger is tipped to bounce back from a below-par run at Galway in these calmer waters. Gather Yourself is considered the biggest danger if she proves capable of handling the heavy ground.
Race Statistics
| Category | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups (w-pl-r) | 5yo 0-1-2, 6yo 0-0-5, 7yo 1-1-4, 8yo 0-0-2, 13yo 0-0-1 | |
| Fate of Favourites | Not provided for this race. | [N/A] |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Not provided for this race. | [N/A] |
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Billy Lee Swagger
- Strengths: Highest rated contender (115 master). Proven to handle heavy ground and goes well fresh. Worth respect given his trainer’s positive position in the challenge series.
- Weaknesses: Disappointing run at Galway in August.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for the heavy ground and staying trip.
Cullig
- Strengths: High master rating (114). Has proven she can perform well off similar marks in better ground.
- Weaknesses: Below par on her two most recent starts. Testing ground is a potential concern.
- Suitability: Suitable for the 3m trip, but suitability for HEAVY ground is questioned.
1.43 Irish National Hunt Steeplechase CLG Beginners Chase (2m 4f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
- Now Is The Hour (149)
- Win Some Lose Some (137)
Recent Form and Comments
Now Is The Hour (8yo)
Rated 141 and is 0-6 over fences. His form reads well in this context, having finished a 4l fourth behind high-class rivals at Navan (3m, soft) in January. He won his maiden hurdle at this track and trip. He ended last season with non-completions (fell at Cheltenham, pulled up in Irish National). If ready after his 204-day break, he is considered the one to beat.
Win Some Lose Some (6yo)
A 4-11 winner over hurdles and rated 135. He offered encouragement on his chase debut last month at Galway (22.5f, yielding) with a staying third. He ought to improve from that run, his first in 178 days. However, heavy ground is noted as a worry.
Spotlight Verdict
If Now Is The Hour is fit and ready for his return after 204 days off, he possesses the form required to win. Sandor Clegane (rated 140) could challenge if he gives his best effort, but consistency is not guaranteed. Karl Des Tourelles will handle the heavy ground well and should be checked in the market. Flicker Of Hope could run well at longer odds with the step up to a more suitable trip.
Race Statistics
| Category | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups (w-pl-r) | 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 0-2-18, 6yo 7-4-32, 7yo 0-5-22, 8yo 0-1-4 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 0103112 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Gordon Elliott 3-2-13, Gavin Cromwell 1-0-3 |
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Now Is The Hour
- Strengths: Top master rating (149). Holds high-class chase form from last season (fourth in a strong contest). Proven winner over hurdles at this course and distance.
- Weaknesses: Requires fitness following a 204-day absence. Has yet to win over fences (0-6) and finished last season with non-completions.
- Suitability: Highly suitable if fit, given his form on similar testing ground and course preference.
Win Some Lose Some
- Strengths: Improved on chase debut last month, suggesting potential in this sphere. Expected to improve from his seasonal return.
- Weaknesses: Heavy ground is a significant worry. Faces a considerable task matching Now Is The Hour’s rating profile.
- Suitability: Step up in trip (2m 4f) suits his staying style. Ground suitability is a major concern.
2.18 Michael O’Sullivan & Lorna Brooke Ireland V Britain (Q.R.) Challenge Handicap Chase (3m 55y)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
- Kilashee (122)
- Decimation (119)
Recent Form and Comments
Kilashee (10yo)
Kilashee has eight wins over jumps. She made all to win a mares’ handicap hurdle at Galway early last month. Her form has been erratic since a midsummer hat-trick in 2024. She must recover quickly from a dismal run at Thurles 12 days ago. Most of her best form has come on decent ground.
Decimation (10yo)
Decimation has not won since a maiden hurdle victory in early 2021. He is 0-8 chasing, though he ran his best chase effort when second in a 3m Listowel festival handicap last season. He recently failed to make any impact at Killarney.
Spotlight Verdict
Despite a small field and being a difficult race to solve, a hopeful vote goes to Baldur’s Gate (rated 114) as he should benefit from a recent run and has previously run well at Fairyhouse. Where’s Frankie (rated 92) has a strong overall record here but was out of form last season. Kilashee would be tough to beat if she delivers one of her good days.
Race Statistics
| Category | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups (w-pl-r) | 6yo 1-1-4, 7yo 1-1-6, 8yo 1-2-11, 9yo 0-1-3, 10yo 0-0-4, 13yo 0-0-1 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 121 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Karl Thornton 0-1-1, P J Rothwell 0-1-1 |
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Kilashee
- Strengths: Highest rated (122 master). Has proven ability to win and is capable of high performance on her best days.
- Weaknesses: Form is erratic and she must rebound from a very poor recent run. Most of her best results are on decent ground, posing a challenge on heavy.
- Suitability: Suitable for the trip, but ground conditions are a major obstacle.
Decimation
- Strengths: Second highest rated (119 master). Has placed competitively in a 3m handicap chase previously.
- Weaknesses: Long winless streak since 2021 and 0-8 over fences. Recent runs have been ineffective.
- Suitability: Needs to find form and prove his ability to perform consistently on heavy ground.
2.53 INHSC Supporting Point-To-Points Hunters Chase (3m 55y)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
- Big Interest (139)
- Kings Jet (138)
Recent Form and Comments
Big Interest (6yo)
A point winner who defeated Its On The Line last Christmas. He secured a wide-margin win here at Easter. He performed poorly in the Punchestown championship event and may have needed his seasonal debut run at Curraghmore last month.
Kings Jet (5yo)
Kings Jet won a maiden hunters’ chase on good ground at Down Royal in May. He was disappointing when well fancied at Stratford. He has started the autumn point season well with a second and a win.
Spotlight Verdict
Given he was third favourite for the hunter chase championship at Punchestown and has a recent point-to-point run, Big Interest is expected to be equal to this task. Both Fountain House (rated 125) and Con’s Roc (rated 132) also possess the potential to achieve a high ranking in this category this season.
Race Statistics
| Category | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups (w-pl-r) | 6yo 1-1-4, 7yo 1-0-2, 8yo 0-0-2, 9yo 0-0-1, 10yo 0-1-2, 11yo 0-0-1 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 2U | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | D M Christie 0-2-3 |
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Big Interest
- Strengths: Highest master rating (139). Proven hunter chase winner, including a wide-margin victory at Fairyhouse. Benefits from a recent point-to-point run.
- Weaknesses: Has shown inconsistency, including poor performances in subsequent races after his Christmas win and at Punchestown.
- Suitability: Well suited to the category and the track.
Kings Jet
- Strengths: Second highest master rating (138). Has demonstrated good recent form in point-to-points (win and second).
- Weaknesses: His best track success was on good ground, raising questions about his ability on heavy ground. Disappointed when fancied for a major race at Stratford.
- Suitability: Needs to demonstrate ability on the heavy going.
3.28 John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (2m 4f 80y)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
- Teescomponentsyess (119)
- Matter Of Opinion (114)
Recent Form and Comments
Teescomponentsyess (9yo)
He ended a lengthy losing streak over fences in a 2m 4f Gowran handicap early last year. His subsequent effort at Carlisle was tame. He has a significant 614-day absence to overcome and is probably best watched in the circumstances.
Matter Of Opinion (5yo)
Matter Of Opinion placed in two bumpers last year. He has weak maiden hurdle form. He was pulled up on his handicap debut and finished a remote fifth last month. He needs to find almost 4l on Rowdy, who finished fourth in the same recent race at Limerick.
Spotlight Verdict
This race presents a good opportunity for Toor Moon (rated 101) to finally win after recording three consecutive second-place finishes (the first over hurdles). Gavin Cromwell runs three, and Cosmo Renfro (rated 112), a recent recruit, may be the preferred choice, as Dgalwaygallivantor has been absent for over a year. Sean Mc is named as a potential dark horse. On Your Way might require the run.
Race Statistics
| Category | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups (w-pl-r) | 4yo 1-1-10, 5yo 4-4-26, 6yo 1-4-27, 7yo 1-5-19, 8yo 1-0-15, 9yo 0-2-14, 10yo 0-1-2, 11yo 0-0-3, 12yo 0-1-1 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 10230626 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Gavin Cromwell 1-1-4, Eugene M O’Sullivan 0-1-1, John Joseph Hanlon 0-1-1 |
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Teescomponentsyess
- Strengths: Highest master rating (119). Has previously won a handicap chase.
- Weaknesses: Must overcome a massive 614-day lay-off. Advised in the Spotlight to be watched.
- Suitability: Unproven on heavy ground after such a long break.
Matter Of Opinion
- Strengths: Second highest master rating (114).
- Weaknesses: Exhibits weak form over hurdles and needs significant improvement, having finished remotely in recent runs and needing to find distance on a recent rival.
- Suitability: Based on weak recent form, suitability appears low.
4.03 William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Point-To-Point INH Flat Race (2m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
- Tadhg’s Rock (108)
- All Rise Malone (78)
Recent Form and Comments
Tadhg’s Rock (5yo)
Tadhg’s Rock showed some ability in two point-to-points last year. He shaped reasonably well when finishing sixth of 18 in a bumper at Thurles in March.
All Rise Malone (6yo)
Ran twice in point-to-points in the spring without showing much promise. He was a remote seventh in a maiden hurdle in July. He won a maiden point at Loughrea a month ago, but this was deemed not a strong contest.
Spotlight Verdict
The two once-raced winners dominate the selections. Unflinching (Dromahane winner, nap) is expected to prove too strong for Jet To Monte Carlo (Ballynoe scorer). Crystal Jet completes the shortlist.
Race Statistics
| Category | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups (w-pl-r) | 4yo 2-1-8, 5yo 1-3-9, 6yo 0-0-3, 7yo 0-0-1 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 121 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Emmet Mullins 1-0-1, Gordon Elliott 1-1-3, Gerald Stephen Quinn 0-1-1 |
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Tadhg’s Rock
- Strengths: Holds the highest master rating (108) based on existing rules form. Has shown flashes of potential in a bumper.
- Weaknesses: His level of ability seems lower than the highly touted once-raced winners (Unflinching and Jet To Monte Carlo).
- Suitability: Has demonstrated ability under rules, but the quality of competition here is potentially higher than his rating suggests.
All Rise Malone
- Strengths: Has a recent point-to-point win.
- Weaknesses: His point win was in a weak contest, and his rules form has been poor (remote seventh in a maiden hurdle). He has the lowest rules rating of the featured horses.
- Suitability: Needs immense improvement to feature against the leading newcomers highlighted by the Spotlight.
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