This analysis focuses exclusively on the Lingfield races, presented in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses based on the ‘latest master’ RPR listed in the race cards.
12.42 Sharon Knapp Memorial Cup EBF “National Hunt” Novices’ Hurdle (Qualifier) (Class 3)
Distance: 2m 3f 110y
TimeWise Master Top Two
The two horses with the highest “latest master” RPR ratings are:
- Calvino (112)
- Purple Owl (111)
Recent Form and Comments Summary
| Horse | Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Calvino | Easily won a bumper at Taunton (good to firm). | Came up short in a 2m1f novice hurdle on good to soft at Newton Abbot. He may strip fitter for his latest run, but this could be a better race. |
| Purple Owl | Irish point winner. Well beaten in bumper (heavy ground). Finished second on good-ground hurdle debut. | Ran okay on hurdle debut, although the winner was much too smart. He might be vulnerable again. |
Spotlight Verdict
The eyes are drawn towards Minella Marathon, who was recruited for £200,000 after winning his Irish point. Korkoran was even more expensive after his point win and has had wind surgery since failing favourite backers in his only bumper. Les’s Destiny Star is preferred of the others.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 4yo 1 win, 3 places, from 20 runs; 5yo 8 wins, 13 places, from 54 runs; 6yo 1 win, 2 places, from 16 runs.
- Fate of Favourites: The sequence of fate of favourites is 3112212251.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Paul Nicholls 2-1-4; Ben Pauling 1-1-3.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses / Suitability |
|---|---|---|
| Calvino | Holds the highest numerical Master RPR (112). Easily won a bumper on good to firm ground. | Came up short in his novice hurdle debut. The current race may be stronger. |
| Purple Owl | Holds a high Master RPR (111). Is an Irish point winner. Showed promise by running well for second on his hurdle debut. | Was well beaten in his only bumper on heavy ground. Was vulnerable to the winner in his latest outing. |
1.17 Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap Chase (Class 5)
Distance: 2m 7f 110y
TimeWise Master Top Two
The two horses with the highest “latest master” RPR ratings are:
- Galway Mahler (108)
- Express Surprise (105)
Recent Form and Comments Summary
| Horse | Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Galway Mahler | Three wins from nine chase starts. Pulled up in his last two races. | Returns from another long absence. Best watched. |
| Express Surprise | Won his first chase at Huntingdon over this distance on soft ground (has good ground form). Made mistakes when well held in his last two chases. | Considered to have races in him off this current mark. |
Spotlight Verdict
Harry Cobden’s presence heightens interest in King Of Thieves, who goes up in distance for his first chase and handicap. I’m Your Buckaroo returns to further after a satisfactory first run over fences and is second choice, ahead of Express Surprise and Weseekherthere.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses / Suitability |
|---|---|---|
| Galway Mahler | Has the highest Master RPR (108). Proven chase ability with three wins from nine starts. | Has been pulled up in his last two races and returns from an absence; suggests poor recent form and is best watched. |
| Express Surprise | Has a winning record over this distance on soft ground, and also possesses good ground form. Rated 105, he is considered capable of winning off this mark. | Was well held in his last two races due to making mistakes. |
1.52 Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Stayers’ Hurdle Series Quali) (Class 3)
Distance: 2m 7f
TimeWise Master Top Two
The two horses with the highest “latest master” RPR ratings are:
- Whizz Kid (135)
- Ikarak (129)
(Note: Kruger Park is also rated 129, tying for the second-highest rating).
Recent Form and Comments Summary
| Horse | Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Whizz Kid | Four-time winner over hurdles. Has been chasing recently (0-5). | Could be outstayed by some rivals over this distance, especially if the ground softens up. |
| Ikarak | Last win was over hurdles. Ran well on his latest outing in April (3m1f, good), effective on softer ground. | He is only 3lb higher than for his last hurdle win. Fitness should not be an issue for his return. |
Spotlight Verdict
The 8yo Spike Jones (nap) is the selection, having won this race last year following an even longer absence and holding his own in a stronger Class 2 handicap when last seen. Ikarak rates a solid alternative off a good mark. Saint Palais and Git Maker could play roles despite their best days being over fences, and Kruger Park is also not ruled out after a wind operation.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 5yo 0-0-2, 6yo 1-2-4, 7yo 4-1-13, 8yo 0-1-9, 9yo 0-0-1, 10yo 0-1-2, 11yo 0-0-3.
- Fate of Favourites: The sequence of fate of favourites is 31P42.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Paul Nicholls 1-0-2, Samuel Drinkwater 1-0-1, Olly Murphy 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses / Suitability |
|---|---|---|
| Whizz Kid | Holds the highest numerical Master RPR (135). Proven four-time winner over hurdles. | Recent form is over fences (0-5). May be outstayed over this distance, particularly if the ground softens. |
| Ikarak | High Master RPR (129). Only 3lb higher than his last winning mark over hurdles. Ran well recently (April) and is effective on softer ground; fitness is not expected to be an issue. | None explicitly mentioned. Represents a solid alternative. |
2.27 Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle (Class 5)
Distance: 2m 7f
TimeWise Master Top Two
The three horses with the highest “latest master” RPR ratings are tied at 108:
- Golden Ambition (108)
- Max’s Champ (108)
(Note: Getuptheyard is also rated 108, tying for the highest rating).
Recent Form and Comments Summary
| Horse | Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Ambition | Won this race last year. Has been chasing for his last four runs, delivering three positive performances. | Only 3lb higher than his last winning mark, with jockey Callum Pritchard’s claim adding an advantage. Holds clear claims. |
| Max’s Champ | Won well at Uttoxeter in May (2m7f, good). | That win was unexpected (“a bit out of the blue”). His following third at Hexham was remote, suggesting others are safer bets. |
Spotlight Verdict
Last year’s winner Golden Ambition is weighted to go well again, having performed positively over fences recently. Harry Junior is the one open to improvement over this longer trip, provided he settles. Pipers Cross is preferred of the others.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 5yo 2-1-3, 6yo 1-2-8, 7yo 0-1-6, 8yo 0-1-4, 9yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: The sequence of fate of favourites is 151.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Ben Pauling 1-0-1, David Pipe 1-0-1.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses / Suitability |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Ambition | Proven winner of this race. Highly suitable mark (3lb higher than last year’s win) and benefits from jockey claim. Recent chase form is positive. | None apparent; holds clear claims. |
| Max’s Champ | High Master RPR (108). Recent winner over this trip on good ground. | Consistency is questionable, as his win was unexpected and his subsequent run was remote; others are considered safer. |
3.02 Peter Black 80th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 4)
Distance: 2m 4f
TimeWise Master Top Two
Note: The majority of Master RPR data for this race is missing from the source material. Captain Boudet (122) is the only runner with an explicit RPR Master rating. To provide a top two, the highest available RPR Master is used, followed by the horse with the highest official rating (OR) as a proxy.*
- Captain Boudet (122 RPR Master)
- Gold In The Rivers (118 OR)
Recent Form and Comments Summary
| Horse | Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Captain Boudet | 2 wins from 3 runs over fences. Wins were on soft and good ground (defeated on heavy). | Has an edge in chasing experience over his rivals. Up the weights but should cope. |
| Gold In The Rivers | Won a maiden hurdle for Gordon Elliott previously. Hasn’t been at that level for his current yard. | Makes his chasing debut. Brings no momentum into this race. |
Spotlight Verdict
All runners except Captain Boudet are making their chase debuts. Followcato looks ripe to be a better chaser than hurdler and is the selection. Other highly regarded chase debutants include Silver Thorn, Kalif d’Airy, and Dangerous Touch.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 5yo 2-4-13, 6yo 3-2-12, 7yo 3-2-15, 8yo 2-2-16, 9yo 0-4-15, 10yo 0-1-6, 11yo 0-0-1, 13yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: The sequence of fate of favourites is F15F331412.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Ben Pauling 0-1-2.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses / Suitability |
|---|---|---|
| Captain Boudet | Highest numerical Master RPR (122). Experienced chaser with a strong record (2-3). Proven on both soft and good ground. | Is up the weights. |
| Gold In The Rivers | Highest OR (118) in the field. Previous maiden hurdle winner. | Chasing debutant. Has lacked momentum and has been performing below his previous level for his current yard. |
3.37 Download The Raceday Ready App Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 5)
Distance: 2m
TimeWise Master Top Two
The two horses with the highest “latest master” RPR ratings are:
- Sea Thrift (104)
- Inion Tiogair (101)
Recent Form and Comments Summary
| Horse | Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Sea Thrift | Recently won a small-field seller at Stratford (2m2f, good to soft). | Hit with a 10lb rise. The form of the recent seller win may be dangerous to take at face value. |
| Inion Tiogair | Has generally struggled in handicaps. Showed signs of finding her level when running fourth (front-running style) at Uttoxeter in March (2m, good). | Softer ground shouldn’t trouble her, as she ran acceptably in a heavy-ground maiden previously. |
Spotlight Verdict
If she handles the likely slower surface, Princess Keri will have every chance of going one better than at Chepstow, especially as that form was recently franked. Basilette is right on her game and is feared most, ahead of Everest.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses / Suitability |
|---|---|---|
| Sea Thrift | Holds the highest Master RPR (104). Recent winner. | Received a punitive 10lb rise, and the quality of her last win (a seller) is questionable. |
| Inion Tiogair | High Master RPR (101). Demonstrated suitability for the 2m distance with a front-running fourth recently. Can handle softer ground. | Has struggled consistently in handicaps prior to her latest encouraging run. |
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