Based on the sources provided, here is the analysis of the Cheltenham races scheduled for Friday, 14 November 2025, worked through in chronological order.

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13:10 Lycetts Insurance Brokers Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle

(Challenger Stayers’ Hurdle Qual) (Class 3, 2m 5f, Good to Soft)

Rank	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Odds
1	Kalium (FR)	Tim Vaughan	Roisin Leech (7)	12/1
2	Lucky Manifest (IRE)	T Lacey	Toby McCain-Mitchell	6/1

Recent Form and Comments

• Kalium (FR): Made it four wins from his six starts (3-5 over hurdles) when defying a bad mistake at Newbury (2m3f, good) in March. The 5yo is unexposed and there is optimism he will continue to progress. He has also previously won on soft ground.
• Lucky Manifest (IRE): Won a novice hurdle at Kelso (2m5f, good) in May and followed up on his handicap/stable debut there (2m6f, good) three weeks ago. He won both races in smooth style.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict selects PRIORY PARK (nap), noting that the strong pace and the Cheltenham hill should suit his hold-up style, and significant rain would not be an issue. Lucky Manifest impressed on his stable debut and is nominated as the chief danger, ahead of fellow 5yo Lord Of All Saints.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: The 5yo age group has the most wins (8 wins) and placements (11 places) from the most runners (48) in recent runnings, followed by 6yos (1 win, 9 places, 52 runners).
• Fate of Favourites: Favourites have a mixed recent record, winning 6 out of 10 runnings (141514U2F1).
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): David Pipe has 2 wins from 14 runners (14 days form). Tim Vaughan (0-1-4) and Tom Lacey (0-1-1) have placed runners but no wins in the specified record.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Kalium (FR):
  • Strengths: Top TimeWise Master rating. Highly progressive (4 wins from 6 starts over hurdles) and unexposed. Acts on soft ground.
  • Weaknesses: Roisin Leech claims 7lb. Returns from a long absence (237 days).
  • Suitability: Meets the prominent 5yo age trend. Should be fit to run well if retaining form following the break.
• Lucky Manifest (IRE):
  • Strengths: Progressive, convincing winner on handicap debut recently. Thought to be potentially ahead of the handicapper, despite carrying a 9lb rise.
  • Weaknesses: Unproven on slow ground.
  • Suitability: Enters calculations as the main danger according to the Spotlight analysis. Needs the going (Good to Soft, Good in places) to remain favourable and avoid slower conditions.

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13:45 Unibet Middle Distance Veterans’ Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase (Qualifier)

(Class 2, 2m 4f 44y, Good to Soft)

Note: This is a new race for 2025, replacing the cancelled Cross Country Handicap Chase.

Rank	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Odds
1	Gunsight Ridge	Olly Murphy	Sean Bowen	4/1
2	Mister Coffey (FR)	N J Henderson	Nico de Boinville	11/2

Recent Form and Comments

• Gunsight Ridge: Campaigned mostly at 2m. He has the ability to play a big role. Ended last season strongly, winning at Sandown (heavy) and then running well at Aintree. He looked a big threat at this meeting 12 months ago before falling at the final fence.
• Mister Coffey (FR): Has a five-year losing spell and is 0-16 over fences, although he has accumulated eight seconds (including at Cheltenham). His recent form in 3m 5f cross-country races does not suggest that this marked drop back in distance is ideal for him.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict is for FUGITIF, who has plenty of useful form at Cheltenham and looks attractively handicapped with the benefit of a 5lb claim. Can You Call (second choice) and Eldorado Allen are also well weighted, while Lord Baddesley warrants respect.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: The race is exclusively for horses aged 10yo+.
• Fate of Favourites: No historical trends for this specific race.
• Trainer Records (Chasers at Cheltenham): Trainer Evan Williams has a 23% SR, and Nicky Henderson has a 19% SR. Olly Murphy (Gunsight Ridge’s trainer) is 1-23 (4%) with chasers at this track.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Gunsight Ridge:
  • Strengths: Top TMR rating. Demonstrated high ability last season and can handle heavy ground.
  • Weaknesses: Needs to prove effectiveness over this distance, having mostly run at 2m.
  • Suitability: Has the class to compete here, assuming the longer trip is manageable.
• Mister Coffey (FR):
  • Strengths: Trainer Nicky Henderson has good course statistics (19% SR with chasers). Frequently placed (8 seconds).
  • Weaknesses: Winless in five years and 0-16 over fences. The distance drop from long cross-country races is a negative factor.
  • Suitability: Highly likely to finish placed but difficult to endorse for a win given his 0-16 chase record.

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14:20 Sun’s “Save Our Bets” Novices’ Chase (Listed Race)

(Class 1, 3m 1f, Good to Soft)

Rank	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Odds
1	Leave Of Absence (FR)	A J Honeyball	Rex Dingle	3/1
2	One Big Bang (IRE)	J P Owen	Alex Chadwick	4/1

Recent Form and Comments

• Leave Of Absence (FR): Won a handicap at Newbury (2m7f) in March on his third chase start. He rallied to win a novice over this C&D last month on his reappearance. He carries a 3lb penalty, is a sound jumper, and holds strong claims.
• One Big Bang (IRE): Won over hurdles at Haydock (3m, good to soft) in February. He subsequently placed well in major hurdles races (5th Pertemps Final, 3rd Punchestown). He has won on soft/heavy ground. He is making his chase debut and is pitched in at the deep end, but his trainer has high hopes for him over fences.

Spotlight Verdict

C&D winner Leave Of Absence is a solid option, but preference is for WADE OUT (who is TMR rated below the top two). Wade Out’s chase debut win reads well, and he is expected to be even better now upped in trip. Double Powerful and chasing newcomer One Big Bang could also be involved.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 11/11 winners were aged between 5-8. The 6yo age group has the most recent wins (4 wins).
• Fate of Favourites: 9/11 favourites placed in the top 2, and 6/11 were winning favourites or joint favourites (4 of the last 6). Favourites have a strong record, winning 8 of the last 10 runnings (2123112311).
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Paul Nicholls has 4 wins from 5 runners. The Tizzard yard has 2 wins from 11 runnings.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Leave Of Absence (FR):
  • Strengths: Top TMR rating. Experienced novice chaser, already a C&D winner. Form is proven over this distance and a sound jumper.
  • Weaknesses: Carries a 3lb penalty. Unraced on soft/heavy ground.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable if the ground remains Good or Good to Soft. Holds strong claims based on recent wins.
• One Big Bang (IRE):
  • Strengths: Excellent hurdles form at 3m. Proven ability on soft/heavy ground. Trainer holds high hopes for his chasing career.
  • Weaknesses: Making chase debut against experienced rivals in a Listed race.
  • Suitability: A potential star making his chase debut; if he adapts quickly to fences, his stamina and proven class make him a major contender.

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14:55 Shloer Chase (Grade 2)

(Class 1, 1m 7f 199y, Good to Soft)

Rank	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Odds
1	Jonbon (FR)	N J Henderson	Nico de Boinville	4/5
2	L’Eau Du Sud (FR)	Daniel Skelton	Harry Skelton	7/2

Recent Form and Comments

• Jonbon (FR): A top-class and supremely consistent chaser. He has a strike-rate of 18-23 under rules and has never finished worse than second. He won the Melling Chase at Aintree in the spring. Returns after a wind operation. He has made a winning reappearance in this race for the last two years (2023, 2024).
• L’Eau Du Sud (FR): Completed a four-timer last term, including a Grade 2 Kingmaker win at Warwick and an impressive C&D win at the November meeting. He ran well when finishing fourth in the Arkle. He is considered the type who could improve further in top open company.

Spotlight Verdict

Jonbon has won this race for the last two years and sets the standard if he is in top form. The most plausible punting alternative is L’EAU DU SUD (narrowly preferred), along with Libberty Hunter, both of whom may show further progress this term.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 11/16 winners were aged 7 or older; 7/16 won by a horse aged 8 or older. 7yo horses have the most wins (3 wins). Jonbon (9yo) meets this age profile.
• Fate of Favourites: 15/16 winners returned 4/1 or shorter. Favourites have a strong record, with 12/16 finishing 1st or 2nd, and 9/16 winning outright.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Nicky Henderson (saddles Jonbon) has 3 wins from 5 runners in recent runnings. Dan Skelton (saddles L’Eau du Sud) has 2 wins from 6 runners.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Jonbon (FR):
  • Strengths: Clear top TMR rated. Exceptional consistency (never outside the top two). Proven champion at this level and proven specialist in this specific race. Wind operation may aid performance.
  • Weaknesses: None apparent from the form profile; considered “impossible to oppose”.
  • Suitability: Extremely suitable; the one to beat in his bid for a hat-trick in this race.
• L’Eau Du Sud (FR):
  • Strengths: C&D winner at this meeting. Highly promising second-season chaser. Expected to progress.
  • Weaknesses: Needs to overturn the form deficit against Jonbon at this level.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable as a progressive chaser but facing an immense task against the favourite.

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15:30 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)

(Registered As The Hyde Novices’ Hurdle) (Class 1, 2m 5f, Good to Soft)

Rank	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Odds
1	Intosomethinggood	N A Twiston-Davies	Nico de Boinville	16/1
2	No Drama This End (IRE)	P F Nicholls	Harry Cobden	4/1

Recent Form and Comments

• Intosomethinggood: A 4yo. Won three times during the summer. Recently went down fighting to finish runner-up in a Carlisle novice, conceding 7 lb to the winner. He represents the yard that won this race last year.
• No Drama This End (IRE): A 5yo. Bolted up in a point-to-point and was an impressive winner of a soft-ground Warwick bumper in December. Finished mid-field (9th) in the Champion Bumper here. This stiffer test (2m 5f) promises to suit now switched to hurdles. He is well regarded by his trainer.

Spotlight Verdict

The top selection is NO DRAMA THIS END, who finished ninth in the Champion Bumper and is highly regarded by Paul Nicholls. King’s Bucks is second choice, ahead of Imperfectlyperfect.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 15/20 winners were aged 5 years-old. The 5yo age group also leads in recent running data (8 wins, 9 places, 44 runners).
• Fate of Favourites: 19/20 winners were priced 10/1 or shorter. Only 4/20 were winning favourites. Favourites have a mixed record (3 wins, 7 losses in the last 10 runnings).
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Paul Nicholls (saddles No Drama This End) has 1 win and 2 places from 5 runners. Dan Skelton has 0 wins and 3 places from 6 runners.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Intosomethinggood:
  • Strengths: Highest TMR rating. Solid recent runner-up performance. Trainer won this race last year.
  • Weaknesses: Has limitations that may be exposed in this Grade 2 company. Is a 4yo, whereas the statistics favour 5yos.
  • Suitability: Should run creditably but may find the quality of opposition too strong.
• No Drama This End (IRE):
  • Strengths: Well regarded. Meets the preferred 5yo age profile. The longer trip is expected to suit him well, capitalizing on his bumper form. Selected by the Spotlight analyst.
  • Weaknesses: Finished 9th in his last run.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable, given the expected improvement over hurdles and belief from his stable.

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16:00 Valda Energy Novices’ Handicap Hurdle

(Class 3, 2m 87y, Good to Soft)

Rank	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Odds
1	Fortune De Mer (IRE)	Daniel Skelton	Harry Skelton	9/2
2	Jack Hyde (IRE)	Fergal O’Brien	Mr T P Broughton (5)	10/1

Recent Form and Comments

• Fortune De Mer (IRE): Won a Grade 2 novice hurdle over C&D three weeks ago (with a hood fitted for the first time). He also won a Listed bumper at this meeting last year. He carries top weight but is open to further progress.
• Jack Hyde (IRE): Ties in with Fortune De Mer based on their recent C&D running. His form is noted as having levelled off, which may allow his rival to improve beyond him. He was beaten when attempting to run off this handicap mark previously.

Spotlight Verdict

Topweight FORTUNE DE MER (nap) took well to a first-time hood when winning a Grade 2 and is taken to follow up now back down in class. French Emperor is second choice, ahead of solid handicap debutant Shade Of Winter.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: The 5yo age group has the most wins (5 wins) and placements (13 places) in recent runnings.
• Fate of Favourites: Favourites have been inconsistent, winning 5 out of the last 10 runnings (421020314).
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Fergal O’Brien (saddles Jack Hyde) has 1 win and 3 places from 13 runners. D J Jeffreys is 1-0-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Fortune De Mer (IRE):
  • Strengths: Top TMR rating. Proven class and a C&D winner who handles the track. Hood appears highly effective. Still open to further progress.
  • Weaknesses: Carries top weight. Has a tendency not to settle without the hood.
  • Suitability: High chance of success given his class and the drop from Grade 2 company.
• Jack Hyde (IRE):
  • Strengths: Course experience.
  • Weaknesses: Form has levelled off and he was already beaten off this mark. The Spotlight suggests rivals are likely to improve past him.
  • Suitability: Looks vulnerable to more progressive rivals such as Fortune De Mer.