Newcastle; Analysis of the Timewise top two rated + the spotlight verdict + race stats.

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This comprehensive response addresses your query by analysing the Newcastle races in chronological order, drawing exclusively on the provided sources.


12:10 Newcastle Flooring Maiden Hurdle (Class 4)

(2m 4f 62y)

RankHorse (Total TimeWise Rating)TrainerJockeyOdds
1Kids Say LastgojoeM D HammondCallum Bewley7/1
2Lewisham GroveJennie CandlishSean Quinlan100/30

Recent Form & Comments Summary

  • Kids Say Lastgojoe (5yo): Form figures: 15U-73. This horse won a Catterick bumper a year ago. His hurdling career started disappointingly last season. Most recently, he was well held when finishing third in a modest 2m1f maiden here a fortnight ago. He moves up in trip today, and improvement is required.
  • Lewisham Grove (4yo): Form figures: -F5562. This horse displayed promise on his hurdle debut. He bounced back from a lesser effort when finishing second (though well held) at Uttoxeter over 2m4f on good to soft ground a fortnight ago. He may still have a bigger run in him and is expected to be very competitive here.

Spotlight Verdict

WALK ON SON shaped as though today’s longer trip might suit when third at Carlisle last month and gets the vote. Uttoxeter runner-up Lewisham Grove does not have an entirely convincing profile but is still nominated as second choice. Country Code and Mooserwirt showed more than enough in points to warrant close attention in the betting before this run-of-the-mill maiden hurdle.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Historical Winners): 5yo 1-0-1, 6yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records (Recent Form %): R Jefferson (Walk On Son – Spotlight pick) 50%; J Candlish (Lewisham Grove – TW Top 2) 33%.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Kids Say Lastgojoe (Top 1): Strengths include winning a bumper previously. Weaknesses are a disappointing start to his hurdling career and a modest recent third. Suitability relies on the extended trip sparking significant improvement.
  • Lewisham Grove (Top 2): Strengths include a strong recent effort finishing second over 2m4f on good to soft ground. The TimeWise rating and recent form suggest he ought to be very competitive. Weaknesses noted by the spotlight are a lack of an entirely convincing profile. His suitability for the distance (2m 4f 62y) is strong based on his latest run.

12:45 Get Raceday Ready Novices’ Handicap Chase (Class 5)

(2m 4f 19y)

RankHorse (Total TimeWise Rating)TrainerJockeyOdds
1Fat HarryJ Parkinson & S SmithDaniel McMenamin100/30
2Too Cool Forshrule (IRE)Mrs Jackie StephenDylan Johnston (3)9/2

Recent Form & Comments Summary

  • Fat Harry (8yo): Form figures: F323-1. This lightly raced 8yo showed improvement on his hurdle form when scoring as a well-backed winner on his chase and seasonal debut last Thursday at Sedgefield (2m3f, good). He could have much more to offer over fences. He runs here under a 7lb penalty.
  • Too Cool Forshrule (6yo): Form figures: 5-42U1. He had two quick wins over hurdles and fences in March. He returned to winning ways in a chase at Ayr (2m4f, soft) a fortnight ago. He can be prone to mistakes but must be respected despite a 4lb rise for his recent win.

Spotlight Verdict

The very lightly raced 6yo ATHAIR MOR ran a lot better on last month’s chase and stable debut at Perth than the margin of defeat suggests and he gets the nod. Fat Harry was a well-backed winner on last week’s chase debut at Sedgefield and is feared most under a 7lb penalty. Too Cool Forshrule and Couldbeaweapon also arrive in top form.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records (Recent Form %): J Parkinson & S Smith (Fat Harry) 67%; J Stephen (Too Cool Forshrule) 40%.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Fat Harry (Top 1): Strengths include his immediate success and improvement on his chase debut, suggesting he is progressive. Weaknesses are carrying a 7lb penalty and that his suitability for the forecast slower ground is questionable, as his recent win was on good ground.
  • Too Cool Forshrule (Top 2): Strengths are his excellent current form, including a recent win over this distance on soft ground. Weaknesses include his tendency to make mistakes and being 4lb higher than his last winning mark. His suitability for the distance (2m 4f 19y) and potentially slower ground is good.

1:20 Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-Ready.com Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)

(2m 4f 62y)

RankHorse (Total TimeWise Rating)TrainerJockeyOdds
1Looking SplendidGary RutherfordDylan Johnston (3)7/2
2SummergroundsN G RichardsMiss Ella McGarry (10)4/1

Recent Form & Comments Summary

  • Looking Splendid (7yo): Form figures: 3F3-11. He was largely consistent last season. He launched his current campaign with two wins on good ground last month (2m5f/2m4f). He is evidently in very good nick.
  • Summergrounds (9yo): Form figures: 11-522. This late-maturing 9yo finished last season with two wins over 2m4f on good to soft ground. He has shown even better form recently in defeat on his last two runs at Perth. He generally races on good or good to soft ground.

Spotlight Verdict

Looking Splendid was in excellent form on good ground last month but significant rain here might scupper his hat-trick bid. Preference is for triple C&D winner NORTH PARADE, who won’t mind what the weather does. The 10yo has fitness to prove after his 203-day break but is sure to appreciate this ease in grade. Aquitaine Boy, also a C&D winner, can pose the main threat if back on song after last month’s disappointing seasonal debut.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records (Recent Form %): G Rutherford (Looking Splendid) 0%; N Richards (Summergrounds) 100%.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Looking Splendid (Top 1): Strengths are his current winning form (seeking a hat-trick) and suitability for the distance. Weaknesses revolve around the ground, as he will have something to prove if the ground is slower than good to soft.
  • Summergrounds (Top 2): Strengths include high recent form figures in defeat and previous wins over this distance on good to soft ground. His trainer is in hot form (100% recent form score). Weaknesses are primarily his unproven form on slow ground.

1:55 Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Chase (Class 4)

(2m 4f 19y)

RankHorse (Total TimeWise Rating)TrainerJockeyOdds
1Tedwin Hills (IRE)W J GreatrexHarry Bannister9/4
2Yealand (IRE)Jennie CandlishSean Quinlan7/1

Recent Form & Comments Summary

  • Tedwin Hills (8yo): Form figures: 5PU-11. He won easily at Stratford last month and subsequently made all to score by 10l at Warwick ten days ago. He commands respect under a 7lb penalty.
  • Yealand (6yo): Form figures: 31132-. This horse took well to fences last season, including a C&D win in February. He finished the season with a good second at Bangor and seems very versatile ground-wise.

Spotlight Verdict

Tedwin Hills returned from a break with two emphatic wins this autumn and is 2lb ahead of the handicapper under his penalty here but his record on good to soft ground is poor and he was withdrawn from engagements on soft ground by both his previous stables. He is opposed with ARTHUR’S QUAY, who got going just too late to reel in Moodofthemoment here a fortnight ago but remains well handicapped. Recent Kelso winner Chapel Green is also respected.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records (Recent Form %): W Greatrex (Tedwin Hills) 60%; J Candlish (Yealand) 33%.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Tedwin Hills (Top 1): Strengths are his recent, highly emphatic winning form, winning twice in quick succession. He is technically running 2lb ahead of his future handicap mark. Weaknesses are his poor record on good to soft ground, and the forecast rain is a major concern, leading the Spotlight to oppose him.
  • Yealand (Top 2): Strengths include being a proven C&D winner who handles varied ground conditions. Weaknesses centre on his fitness, as he returns after a break of 216 days. His high suitability to the conditions makes him a strong player if tuned up.

2:30 Get The Inside Track With Raceday-Ready.com Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)

(2m 7f 149y)

RankHorse (Total TimeWise Rating)TrainerJockeyOdds
1Do No Wrong (IRE)Justin LandyMr William Maggs (5)9/2
2You Some Girl (IRE)Rebecca MenziesRoss Chapman4/1

Recent Form & Comments Summary

  • Do No Wrong (9yo): Form figures: 951P21. He has won his last two runs over hurdles, scoring at Cartmel in August and over C&D (on good ground, with William Maggs riding) 15 days ago. He is back up another 5lb.
  • You Some Girl (8yo): Form figures: 093141. She won this specific contest last year. She has since taken two further hurdle starts and recently scored on her chase debut here 15 days ago. She is running off a career-high mark.

Spotlight Verdict

Top of the list is DO NO WRONG who has won his last two hurdle races and did so with some aplomb over C&D last time out. Soft ground, however, could swing it away from him and from last year’s winner You Some Girl, in favour of the reappearing It’s Maisy. Bidding for a hat-trick on her first start for her new connections, Queens Venture also needs a prominent mention.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Historical Winners): The 7yo age group has the most historical winners in this race (5-5-28). The 8yo (You Some Girl) has a reasonable record (1-2-14).
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical): 1311310642.
  • Trainer Records (Historical Winners): Rebecca Menzies (You Some Girl) 1-0-2.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Do No Wrong (Top 1): Strengths are his strong recent winning form, including a C&D victory 15 days ago. Weaknesses are the additional 5lb penalty and the concern that soft ground may negatively impact his chances. Suitability for the distance is proven.
  • You Some Girl (Top 2): Strengths include winning this race last year and her proven recent form (three wins in recent starts). Weaknesses include facing a career-high mark and having more to prove on soft ground.

3:05 Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (Class 5)

(2m 75y)

RankHorse (Total TimeWise Rating)TrainerJockeyOdds
1Majestic Moment (IRE)D P SummersbyBryan Carver4/1
2Mcgrath From Clune (IRE)T R GrettonBenjamin Macey (7)11/8

Recent Form & Comments Summary

  • Majestic Moment (6yo): Form figures: P04581. He recently opened his account in fortuitous circumstances at Fontwell (2m2f, good to soft). He comes home alone after an incident at the final fence. He remains on the same mark.
  • McGrath From Clune (9yo): Form figures: -36051. His overall record is only 2-28, but his latest win came at Hereford (2m, good) last week. He was out of the weights in that win but is effectively only 2lb higher here and is due to go up 4lb in future.

Spotlight Verdict

McGrath From Clune is inconsistent and has a modest strike-rate but he holds a leading chance provided the form of his Hereford success is backed up. POWEROFJET (nap), who may well build on his creditable reappearance effort, is a solid alternative. Take Centre Stage (second choice) is interesting returned to the scene of his sole win.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records (Recent Form %): D Summersby (Majestic Moment) 0%; T Gretton (McGrath From Clune) 100%.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Majestic Moment (Top 1): Strengths include running off the same mark following a win. Weaknesses: His last win was fortuitous; the Spotlight suggests he is “no certainty to follow up”. Suitability is marginal, as his last win was over 2m2f, slightly longer than this 2m 75y trip.
  • McGrath From Clune (Top 2): Strengths are his recent winning form and the fact he is technically “well-in” before a future 4lb rise. Trainer T Gretton has a 100% recent form score. Weaknesses: His overall record is poor (2-28) and he is inconsistent. Suitability is good, having won recently over 2m.

3:40 attheraces.com/Marketmovers ‘Junior’ National Hunt Flat Race (Class 5)

(2m 190y)

RankHorse (Total TimeWise Rating)TrainerJockeyOdds
1Miss VeronikaB EllisonCraig Nichol20/1
2Power QuestArchie WatsonMiss Brodie Hampson6/1

Recent Form & Comments Summary

  • Miss Veronika (3yo): Form figures: 9. She had wind surgery in July. On her sole start, she was beaten 21l when finishing ninth of ten at Huntingdon (2m, good) early last month.
  • Power Quest (3yo): Form figures: 37. He finished a close third on debut at Exeter (1m5f, good to firm) last month. His subsequent Aintree race was deemed a “much stiffer task” where he was soundly beaten.

Spotlight Verdict

The two who have run look vulnerable if the newcomers possess significant ability. STRIKING MIDNIGHT is the first foal of the useful hurdler Good Thyne Tara, who also won two of her five bumpers, including first time out. The Russell-Scudamore pair Majordomo and Marvel Magic could also pack a punch.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Historical Winners): 3yo 1-1-5.
  • Fate of Favourites: Only one previous winner is noted, Hunters Spring (11-10 fav).
  • Trainer Records (Recent Form %): B Ellison (Miss Veronika) 100%; A Watson (Power Quest) 100%; L Russell & M Scudamore (Majordomo/Marvel Magic) 44%.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Miss Veronika (Top 1): Strengths: Trainer B Ellison is 100% in form. Weaknesses: Her sole running performance was extremely poor, beaten 21 lengths, and she is noted as potentially “vulnerable”. Suitability: Standard bumper distance (2m 190y).
  • Power Quest (Top 2): Strengths: Placed third on debut; trainer A Watson is 100% in form. Weaknesses: Soundly beaten on his second, tougher outing; regarded as potentially vulnerable by the Spotlight. Suitability: Standard bumper distance (2m 190y). The Spotlight leans heavily towards unexposed newcomers (Striking Midnight, Majordomo, Marvel Magic) due to the vulnerability of the runners who have previous form.

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