Southwell; Analysis of the Timewise top two rated + the spotlight verdict + race stats.

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This analysis covers all Southwell races scheduled for Friday, 14 November 2025, in chronological order, using the requested rating system and source data. The going for the Southwell meeting is generally Good to Soft (Soft in places), although individual racecards often list the going as Good.


12:22 Join Southwell Golf Club Novices’ Handicap Chase (Class 5)

Distance: 1m 7f 182y | Going: Good | Runners: 8 (Gwennie May Jem is a non-runner)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Catchim (IRE) (7yo, 12-0)
  2. Gwennie May Jem (FR) (5yo, 11-9) (Note: Gwennie May Jem is a non-runner)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Catchim (IRE): A 7-year-old gelding who is 1-2 over hurdles but 0-7 over fences. He finished second at Huntingdon (2m4f, good) on Tuesday, finding only the favourite too strong. His best master Racing Post Rating (RPR) is 108.
  • Gwennie May Jem (FR): This 5-year-old was progressive earlier this year in handicap chases around 2m. His progression “hit the buffers” on his final run for Dan Skelton, but he remains in the same ownership after moving yards and may still have more to offer. His best master RPR is 106.

Spotlight Verdict

The weak field may offer POTTERSJETAMAY the right opportunity to break his duck, having found one too good on his last three starts. Catchim is also expected to run well.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Previous Winners): 5yo 2-0-2, 6yo 0-1-4.
  • Fate of Favourites: 1 win from 2 races (12).
  • Trainer Records (Charles and Adam Pogson): In the last 14 days, they have 0 wins and 3 places from 6 runners.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Catchim (IRE):
    • Strengths: He is coming off a close second place just days ago, indicating current good form, and is expected to receive another positive ride.
    • Weaknesses: His chase record stands at 0-7.
    • Suitability: The drop back in trip is noted.
  • Gwennie May Jem (FR):
    • Strengths: Has shown prior progression in this sphere.
    • Weaknesses: Recently disappointed; is a non-runner.
    • Suitability: His best form was over about 2m.

12:57 Join Elite Racing Club From £59 Handicap Chase (Class 4)

Distance: 3m 60y | Going: Good | Runners: 6

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Golan Loop (IRE) (5yo, 12-2)
  2. Kayce Dutton (IRE) (7yo, 11-13)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Golan Loop (IRE): A 5-year-old who won an Irish point in May 2024 and then a novice hurdle at Ffos Las (2m6f, good) in May by 12 lengths. This form has been boosted. He is making his handicap debut straight over fences and is interesting given his stamina background (will stay 3m).
  • Kayce Dutton (IRE): The 7-year-old had four seconds last season before winning at Market Rasen (2m6f, good) in May using first-time cheekpieces. He is up 4lb and returning from a break (although he won in 2023 after a similar break). He holds a 3m maiden hurdle win from 2023 and may have more to offer in the retained headgear. His best master RPR is 113.

Spotlight Verdict

PAPER MILL is the one tipped to emerge on top, being an experienced and successful pointer and an interesting recruit to handicaps. Golan Loop is feared most following his graduation from hurdles. Kayce Dutton (1-1 in cheekpieces) and course specialist Ali Star Bert also demand a mention.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Previous Winners): 6yo 1-2-7, 7yo 3-0-10, 8yo 0-2-6.
  • Fate of Favourites: 3 wins from 4 races (1411).
  • Trainer Records (in this race): Trainer W Greatrex (Golan Loop) has 3 wins and 6 places from 17 runners in the last 14 days. Trainer C & A Pogson (Kayce Dutton) has 0 wins and 3 places from 6 runners in the last 14 days.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Golan Loop (IRE):
    • Strengths: The form of his hurdle win has been boosted, and he has demonstrated stamina (will stay 3m). Trainer W Greatrex has an 18% win rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Making his debut in a handicap chase.
    • Suitability: Good ground winner who is expected to stay the distance.
  • Kayce Dutton (IRE):
    • Strengths: Proven 3m winner over hurdles; 1-1 record in the cheekpieces he retains. Has previously won returning from a break.
    • Weaknesses: Raised 4lb in the weights; returning from a break.
    • Suitability: Suitable for the trip, especially if the headgear continues to work.

1:32 Case IH A Winning Team Novices’ Handicap Chase (Class 4)

Distance: 2m 4f 88y | Going: Good | Runners: 6

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Admiral Stewart (IRE) (6yo, 12-2)
  2. As The Fella Says (IRE) (6yo, 11-8)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Admiral Stewart (IRE): A 6-year-old point/hurdle winner who has low mileage and is a half-brother to a useful chaser. He had a walkover on his intended chase debut on Sunday and is considered to be on a workable mark for this first handicap, making him an interesting contender for the in-form Jamie Snowden yard.
  • As The Fella Says (IRE): Also a 6-year-old who won his third Irish point. He was an expensive failure over hurdles, being turned over as favourite in all four starts, including falling early on his handicap debut at Plumpton after initial wind surgery. He returns after another break, having undergone further wind surgery, and holds significant potential if this switch to chasing helps him.

Spotlight Verdict

Point/hurdle winner ADMI R A L S T E W A R T gets the vote, looking on a workable mark for his first handicap chase and benefitting from being a half-brother to a useful winner in this sphere. He is preferred over As The Fella Says, who was expensive to follow over hurdles but still has low mileage and could be a big factor if he clicks on his switch to fences.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Not explicitly provided for this race class/type.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided for this race.
  • Trainer Records (Jamie Snowden): In-form, with a 45% strike rate (10 wins/2 places/22 runners) in the last 14 days. Trainer N Henderson (As The Fella Says) has 4 wins and 7 places from 22 runners in the last 14 days.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Admiral Stewart (IRE):
    • Strengths: Low mileage, solid pedigree for chasing, workable mark, and trained by a yard with a strong recent strike rate (45% in 14 days).
    • Weaknesses: Has not yet contested a proper chase (walkover only).
    • Suitability: Expected to run a big race on handicap/chase debut.
  • As The Fella Says (IRE):
    • Strengths: Proven winner in points, has low mileage, and the switch to fences might unlock his potential.
    • Weaknesses: Costly failure over hurdles, suggesting fragility; recent form includes an early fall.
    • Suitability: Considered a major factor if he takes to chasing.

2:07 Own A Share With Owners Group Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (Class 5)

Distance: 1m 7f 182y | Going: Good | Runners: 11

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Gidge (5yo, 10-9)
  2. Granite Sands (FR) (4yo, 11-2)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Gidge: This 5-year-old mare is a half-sister to the connections’ smart bumper and hurdle winner, Crambo. She was well backed on her Uttoxeter debut (2m, good to soft) in March, finishing a promising second after coming from off the pace. She is a big player on her return.
  • Granite Sands (FR): A 4-year-old gelding with a useful pedigree. He showed promise and made some late headway when fourth on his debut at Doncaster (2m, good) in March. He should know more this time and could get involved if he builds on that initial effort.

Spotlight Verdict

Top of the list is GIDGE, who has a striking pedigree and was a promising second on her Uttoxeter debut in March. The main threat could come from Irish point runner-up Vango Can Go. Granite Sands is also noted in the mix.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 1-1-5, 5yo 0-0-2.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records (Fergal O’Brien): 6 wins and 8 places from 33 runners in the last 14 days. Trainer D Killahena & G McPherson (Granite Sands) 0 wins/2 places/8 runners in last 14 days.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Gidge:
    • Strengths: Strong pedigree link to Crambo; demonstrated ability and a good finishing style on debut.
    • Weaknesses: Returning from a break since March.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable profile for this race.
  • Granite Sands (FR):
    • Strengths: Useful pedigree; debut run showed encouraging late pace.
    • Weaknesses: Needs a significant step forward from his fourth place.
    • Suitability: Expected to build on his debut effort.

2:42 Checkout Case IH’s New Optum Tractor “National Hunt” Maiden Hurdle (Class 4)

Distance: 1m 7f 182y | Going: Good | Runners: 11

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Mount Gay Run (IRE) (7yo, 11-4)
  2. Wondering Why (IRE) (4yo, 11-4)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Mount Gay Run (IRE): A 7-year-old who previously ran well in a Listed novice hurdle at Sandown (2m, soft) and a maiden at Cheltenham (2m4f). He unseated mid-race when switched to fences. He has moved yards to Dan Skelton and holds the best form under Rules. His best master RPR is 121.
  • Wondering Why (IRE): A 4-year-old filly from a good German Flat family. She showed plenty of encouragement on debut in a valuable Newbury bumper and then made all for a comfortable win at Huntingdon (both on good ground). She recently joined Ben Pauling for £54,000.

Spotlight Verdict

Mount Gay Run has the best form under rules and is likely to progress further now with Dan Skelton. Marginal preference, however, is for WONDERING WHY, who has also changed yards after showing significant promise in two bumpers.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 3-4-14, 5yo 1-1-10.
  • Fate of Favourites: 2 wins from 4 races (12F1).
  • Trainer Records (Dan Skelton): 17 wins and 58 places from 207 runners in the last 2 years. Trainer Ben Pauling (Wondering Why) has 22 wins and 19 places from 119 runners in the last 2 years.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Mount Gay Run (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest proven form in the race (Listed hurdle placement). Now with Dan Skelton, who may be able to draw further potential.
    • Weaknesses: Has had a patchy profile and unseated on his only chase attempt.
    • Suitability: Highly interesting runner under new stable management.
  • Wondering Why (IRE):
    • Strengths: Excellent bumper form (won last time making all); obvious interest on hurdle debut after a yard change.
    • Weaknesses: Hurdle debut; previous form was entirely on good ground.
    • Suitability: Expected to be the chief danger.

3:17 Grace And Dotty Country Clothing Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)

Distance: 2m 4f 88y | Going: Good | Runners: 10

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Golden De Coeur (FR) (9yo, 11-11)
  2. Zenato (IRE) (4yo, 11-0)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Golden De Coeur (FR): A 9-year-old gelding who narrowly won a 2m3f good-ground novice in May. He is considered well handicapped on a strict interpretation of that form, as the runner-up has won since. He has tried fences previously. His best master RPR is 116.
  • Zenato (IRE): This 4-year-old has won his last two races convincingly with Fern O’Brien riding, including at Sedgefield (2m1f, good). As he carries no penalty for that recent win, he is running 7lb well in. He handles softer ground. His best master RPR is 128.

Spotlight Verdict

The well-in 4yo Zenato will be popular, but this is a better race than his last one. MOTAZZEN (who continues to run well) is preferred (nap) to Beau Quali and Golden De Coeur.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Previous Winners): 5yo 2-1-7, 6yo 3-3-13, 7yo 0-2-9.
  • Fate of Favourites: 4 wins, 1 second (41112).
  • Trainer Records (Fergal O’Brien): 6 wins and 8 places from 33 runners in the last 14 days. Trainer W Greatrex (Golden De Coeur) has 3 wins and 6 places from 17 runners in the last 14 days.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Golden De Coeur (FR):
    • Strengths: Form boost from the runner-up’s subsequent win means he looks well handicapped.
    • Weaknesses: 9yo; win rate may be suspect given his narrow victory against a single serious rival.
    • Suitability: Found consistency rewarded recently.
  • Zenato (IRE):
    • Strengths: Carries no penalty, making him 7lb well in; proven winner recently, including on soft ground. Jockey Miss Fern O’Brien has a 38% strike rate (3 wins/1 place/8 rides) in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Faces a tougher field here.
    • Suitability: Highly favoured candidate on the weights.

3:50 Golf And Gallop Novices’ Limited Handicap Hurdle (Class 5)

Distance: 2m 4f 88y | Going: Good | Runners: 12

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Ballyhiho (IRE) (5yo, 11-10)
  2. Jack Hoola (5yo, 11-8)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Ballyhiho (IRE): A 5-year-old mare who was off the mark making all in a Worcester handicap (2m4f, good) in August, and was only narrowly denied on her return visit there last month. She is up 4lb but has been progressing since a tongue-tie was added and is open to further improvement. Her best master RPR is 96.
  • Jack Hoola: Also a 5-year-old who improved greatly in a first-time visor to win on his reappearance at Huntingdon (2m3f, good) in October. He finished second there 12 days ago in a good effort, pulling 12 lengths clear of the third. He runs off an unchanged mark and is considered a key player. His best master RPR is 104.

Spotlight Verdict

This is a tight call between the progressive 5yos Ballyhiho and JACK HOOLA. Preference is for Jack Hoola, who ran into a major improver at Huntingdon and pulled 12 lengths clear of the third in that race.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Previous Winners): 5yo 0-2-3, 6yo 0-0-3, 7yo 1-0-2.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records (T Lacey): Trainer T Lacey (Jack Hoola) has an excellent 78% run-to-form rate (1 win/3 places/12 runners) in the last 14 days. Trainer D J Jeffreys (Ballyhiho) has a 25% win rate (1 win/1 place/4 runners) in the last 14 days.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Ballyhiho (IRE):
    • Strengths: Progressive, especially since fitted with a tongue-tie; proven front runner. Expected to continue improving.
    • Weaknesses: Up another 4lb.
    • Suitability: Strong contender, only narrowly denied last time.
  • Jack Hoola:
    • Strengths: Highly consistent since applying a visor; races off an unchanged mark despite producing a very strong finishing effort last time (12L clear of third); trained by a yard currently running into form (T Lacey 78% RTF).
    • Weaknesses: Found one too good recently.
    • Suitability: Key player in this contest.

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