The prevailing weather conditions, marked by significant rainfall across the UK and Ireland, are creating challenging ground conditions at various racecourses, often described as soft, heavy, or soft to heavy.

The following horses and connections are identified in the sources as benefiting from or being suited to these likely testing conditions:

Key Beneficiaries at Cheltenham

At Cheltenham, the going has eased to Soft (Good to Soft in places), with the forecast indicating moderate showers and expecting up to 27.21mm of rainfall throughout the day. Several horses are explicitly noted for preferring or handling such conditions:

• Parchment (12:35 Triumph Trial): This horse readily justified favouritism during its sole French start on very soft ground and should find the going to its liking.
• Precious Man (12:35 Triumph Trial): This British debutant showed promise in France on heavy/very soft ground, and connections believe he will appreciate the forecast rain ahead of the race.
• Hunter Legend (2:20 Paddy Power Gold Cup): The recent rain has been a major positive for this runner, who has previously won on heavy ground.
• Coming Up Easy (2:20 Paddy Power Gold Cup): Described as loving soft ground, this horse is a heavy-ground maiden hurdle winner and the easier ground is described as no issue for him.
• Vincenzo (2:20 Paddy Power Gold Cup): This contender is proven on soft ground, having won over fences on soft in January and run well on soft in March.
• Panic Attack (2:20 Paddy Power Gold Cup): This mare previously won a handicap chase on soft ground and could outrun her odds if the ground turns testing.
• July Flower (1:45 Arkle Trial): This mare is suited by plenty of cut and made a successful chasing debut on yielding to soft ground in Ireland. She is expected to appreciate the easy ground.
• Supremely West (3:00 Handicap Hurdle): All three of this horse’s previous hurdle wins were achieved on soft or heavy ground, and he should prove well suited by the much softer ground today.
• Jurancon (3:30 Intermediate Handicap Hurdle): Has an excellent 62.5% win rate (5 wins in 8 runs) on similar going and won his latest start on soft ground.
• Last Rodeo (3:30 Intermediate Handicap Hurdle): Acts on soft and good to soft ground and won a maiden hurdle on soft ground in February.
• Jubilee Express (1:10 Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase): This horse performs well on easier ground, having been a good runner-up in the Welsh National (3m6f) on soft ground.

Key Beneficiaries in Ireland

At Navan, the going is particularly challenging, described as Soft to Heavy. Horses whose profiles suggest handling these severe conditions include:

• Maxxum (2:10 Lismullen Hurdle): This strong stayer handles testing ground well.
• The Yellow Clay (2:10 Lismullen Hurdle): Completed a four-timer last season, including a Grade 1 novice hurdle on soft ground.
• Touch Me Not (2:45 Fortria Chase): A Grade 2 novice winner on soft ground, the testing ground is expected to suit him.
• Its Not Over Yet (12:25 Handicap Hurdle): The softer conditions are in her favour, as her previous hurdles win came on soft ground.
• I’Ll Sort That (1:35 For Auction Novice Hurdle): He is a dual bumper winner on softer conditions.
• Colonia Victoria (1:00 Handicap Hurdle): She is believed to be able to cope with the testing conditions here, having previously won a maiden hurdle on soft ground.
• Moudan (3:20 Beginners Chase): Won previous handicaps on heavy ground, although this is a stiff task on chase debut.
• Leonard Vallis (3:55 Bumper): Had a positive debut on soft ground over hurdles and is entitled to improve when switched to a bumper.

Key Beneficiaries at Other UK Tracks

At Uttoxeter (Going: Soft) and Wetherby (Going: Good to Soft), several contenders also benefit:

• Aworkinprogress (1:17 Uttoxeter Chase): Gained his last three wins in his first season over fences on soft/heavy ground.
• Gold Clermont (1:17 Uttoxeter Chase): This thorough stayer won two marathon chases on soft ground and makes his stable debut from a good mark.
• Passing Kate (1:52 Uttoxeter Chase): Her two wins over fences earlier this year were gained on soft ground.
• Drayton Flyer (3:02 Uttoxeter Hurdle): Shaped encouragingly when fading only late on in a previous run on soft ground and holds potential for this handicap debut.
• Supremely West (3:00 Cheltenham Hurdle): As noted above, his preference is for soft or heavy ground.
• Carismatic Soldier (1:25 Wetherby Hurdle / 2:35 Wetherby Hurdle): Showed plenty of ability in the mud during his first three starts and won a novice hurdle on heavy ground.
• Heltenham (3:43 Wetherby Chase): Won a novice hurdle here on soft ground and has previously won on heavy ground.

Horses Whose Chances Are Worried by Softer Conditions

Conversely, the sources note some horses whose prospects are negatively impacted by the conditions:

• Riskintheground (2:20 Paddy Power Gold Cup): Although he acts on good to soft, the forecast rain is a concern for this Dan Skelton runner.
• Breaking Cover (1:45 Arkle Trial): Soft ground would be a concern for this horse.
• Hamsiyann (3:30 Intermediate Handicap Hurdle): Won this race last year on good ground and is considered to have more to prove on testing ground.
• Lime Drop (1:52 Uttoxeter Chase): The ground might be slower than she prefers today, as her previous win in this race was on good ground.

In essence, the deluge shifts the advantage significantly towards horses with proven form handling deep, stamina-sapping ground, particularly those campaigned successfully in French or Irish heavy-ground races, or those who demonstrated wins on soft/heavy ground in the UK winter circuit (like Aworkinprogress, Gold Clermont, and Supremely West). This is typical in racing, where performance on testing ground is a distinct skill set, separating the ‘mud-larks’ from those who prefer a quicker surface.