TimeWise Chronicles

Kelso: Analysis of the Timewise top two ranked + The spotlight verdicts + Race stats

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This comprehensive response addresses your query by working through all Kelso races chronologically, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their details, providing the Spotlight Verdict, and assessing their chances based on the sources provided.

Kelso Racecard Analysis (November 25th)

1. 12.55 racingtv.com/freetrial Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (3m 100y)

RankHorse (Odds)ORTSMaster RPR
Top 1Be The Difference (7/2)9395101
Top 2Guernesey (5/1)9898106

Recent Form and Comments

  • Be The Difference (IRE) (Trainer: P Kirby): This 9yo has just one win since late 2021 (at Catterick, 3m1f, good, last December). He placed here (2m5f) and at Ayr (3m, soft) on his last two starts, but made only modest late headway on the latter occasion.
  • Guernesey (FR) (Trainer: J Stephen): This 9yo has no win since October 2022. He ran a respectable effort when fourth over 2m6f here (good to soft) last December, but made no significant impact on his recent reappearance at Ayr (3m; sixth, beaten 14l). He now sits 2lb lower.

Spotlight Verdict

A modest opener. Be The Difference doesn’t win often but is fairly weighted and has managed to make the frame the last twice, while Guernesey competes from a sub-100 mark for the first time. However, with this sharp track suiting front-runners, the tentative pick is VICTORY CLUB.

Race Statistics

The source material does not contain specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for the Kelso races.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Be The Difference:
    • Strengths: Consistent recently, placing in his last two outings. Has proven winning form over a slightly longer trip. Considered fairly weighted.
    • Weaknesses: Does not win often. His latest effort saw him making only modest late headway.
    • Suitability: Has shown form here (2m5f).
  • Guernesey:
    • Strengths: Now competing from a sub-100 mark for the first time. Holds the superior Master RPR (106).
    • Weaknesses: Has not won since 2022. Failed to make an impact on his recent reappearance.
    • Suitability: Distance is appropriate (ran 3m last time).

2. 1.25 Jumps Looks Better On Racing TV Novices’ Handicap Chase (2m 7f 96y)

RankHorse (Odds)ORTSMaster RPR
Top 1Frisby (11/2)109106124
Top 2Golden Point (10/1)105112119

Recent Form and Comments

  • Frisby (Trainer: P Neville): This 7yo is still seeking his first win under rules (0-7) but has been consistent. He was runner-up in September latest at Perth (2m4f, good), when running 3lb out of the handicap. His point win was over 3m. Recent form figures: 43-342.
  • Golden Point (FR) (Trainer: L Russell & M Scudamore): This 6yo was a narrow winner of a 2m4f mares’ novice hurdle at Ayr (soft) in January. She subsequently lacked fluency when down the field on her C&D chasing debut (good; 13-2) 24 days ago. Recent form figures: 3125-5.

Spotlight Verdict

It’s a tricky puzzle and the market will be useful for assessing the merits of Nick Alexander’s three runners. Patrick Neville’s FRISBY is back on his correct mark after competing from out of the handicap at Perth, while the returning Meetmeinthemorning has already illustrated he can operate over fences around this track. Of the chasing newcomers, I Wish You (second choice) could make his presence felt.

Race Statistics

The source material does not contain specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for the Kelso races.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Frisby:
    • Strengths: Consistent form. Now runs off his correct mark. Previous point win over 3m suggests strong suitability for this trip. Holds the highest Master RPR (124).
    • Weaknesses: Still a maiden under rules.
    • Suitability: Respected in an open contest.
  • Golden Point:
    • Strengths: Holds a high Topspeed rating (112). Has hurdles winning form on soft ground.
    • Weaknesses: Lacked fluency and disappointed on her recent chasing debut over this C&D. She is noted as probably being of less interest than stablemate I Wish You.
    • Suitability: Has recent C&D experience, though disappointing.

3. 1.55 Get A Free Racing TV Trial Now Maiden Hurdle (2m 4f 189y)

RankHorse (Odds)ORTSMaster RPR
Top 1Eagles Reprieve (11/10)11199124
Top 2Fairlawn Skipper (4/1)108100120

Recent Form and Comments

  • Eagles Reprieve (IRE) (Trainer: L Russell & M Scudamore): This 4yo was a Wetherby bumper winner last December (2m, soft). He has been runner-up on all three starts over hurdles. Last time, he finished clear of the rest when beaten by a stable companion over 2m here (good to soft). He is bred to stay well, being a half-brother to a Welsh National winner. Recent form figures: 122-2.
  • Fairlawn Skipper (Trainer: M Bowen): This 5yo won a Stratford bumper in July. He has finished third on all three starts over hurdles, his last run being on handicap debut at Newcastle (2m7f, good). He has shown promise on good to soft ground, and the drop in trip is noted as being “no problem”. Recent form figures: -12333.

Spotlight Verdict

An interesting maiden hurdle can go to bumper winner EAGLES REPRIEVE, who is bred to stay well and should improve on his three previous hurdle runs now stepped up in trip. The G Wizard should also run well.

Race Statistics

The source material does not contain specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for the Kelso races. Note: Saint Malinas is a Non-Runner.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Eagles Reprieve:
    • Strengths: Consistent high level of form (bumper winner, three hurdle seconds). Bred to excel over staying trips. Likely to improve significantly being stepped up in trip. Holds the highest Master RPR (124).
    • Weaknesses: None explicitly cited; he is the spotlight selection.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for the step up in distance.
  • Fairlawn Skipper:
    • Strengths: Bumper winner and consistently placed (three thirds) over hurdles. Handles good to soft ground.
    • Weaknesses: Not always the most fluent jumper.
    • Suitability: Expected to run well, with the trip adjustment being favourable.

4. 2.25 Results At racingtv.com Novices’ Hurdle (2m 51y)

RankHorse (Odds)ORTSMaster RPR
Top 1Triple Crown Ted (6/5)111101111
Top 2Linalene (3/1)––106

Recent Form and Comments

Note: They’Re Chancers is a Non-Runner.

  • Triple Crown Ted (IRE) (Trainer: L Russell & M Scudamore): This 5yo was runner-up in both bumpers. He was a weakening third on his C&D hurdles debut last month (good to soft; 3-1 favourite), which did not live up to market expectations. He may strip fitter for that run. Recent form figures: 22-3.
  • Linalene (FR) (Trainer: L Russell & M Scudamore): This 4yo showed ability in bumpers (placed at Aintree and Bangor). However, she got no further than the first on her C&D hurdles debut last month (9-2), unseating the rider. She is still regarded as one to be interested in today. Recent form figures: 339-U.

Spotlight Verdict

Two-time bumper runner-up TRIPLE CROWN TED was third on last month’s hurdle debut over C&D and this looks a good opportunity to get off the mark. His stablemate Linalene may be the chief danger.

Race Statistics

The source material does not contain specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for the Kelso races.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Triple Crown Ted:
    • Strengths: Consistent high-level bumper form. Has C&D experience over hurdles. Expected to strip fitter for his recent run.
    • Weaknesses: Disappointed as the favourite last time.
    • Suitability: Looks to have a good opportunity to achieve his first hurdles win.
  • Linalene:
    • Strengths: Showed ability in bumpers. Connections retain interest.
    • Weaknesses: Failed to complete on her hurdles debut.
    • Suitability: Regarded as the chief danger to the top selection, provided she handles the jumping better.

5. 2.55 Join Racing TV Now Handicap Chase (2m 1f 14y)

RankHorse (Odds)ORTSMaster RPR
Top 1Ballyfort (7/2)10446109
Top 2Moon Phases (100/30)105––

Recent Form and Comments

  • Ballyfort (IRE) (Trainer: N Alexander): This 7yo former pointer got off the mark on his third chase start when beating Trac by 0.75l over C&D last time. Trac is now 1lb better off. He should go well again. Recent form figures: 4149-1.
  • Moon Phases (IRE) (Trainer: L Russell & M Scudamore): This 6yo was a £150,000 purchase in 2023. He is lightly raced since and has shown signs of promise in two races over hurdles at Ayr (2m, soft). He may fare better now chasing. Recent form figures: 40/2-4.

Spotlight Verdict

In an open race TREATY BOY is taken to win his third race over fences despite not being quite at his best when second here last time. Chumlee and Trac should also go well.

Race Statistics

The source material does not contain specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for the Kelso races.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Ballyfort:
    • Strengths: Recent C&D winner. Proven successful chase experience.
    • Weaknesses: Only beat Trac narrowly last time. Low Topspeed rating in the card (46).
    • Suitability: Expected to be a strong contender given his last outing.
  • Moon Phases:
    • Strengths: Highly valued purchase with potential. Showed promise over hurdles and is now switching to chasing.
    • Weaknesses: Very limited chase experience. No recent RPR data provided in the card.
    • Suitability: Entering a chase career, which is anticipated to be an improvement.

6. 3.25 31 Days Free On Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (2m 51y)

RankHorse (Odds)ORTSMaster RPR
Top 1Magnolia (2/1)110102127
Top 2Joltin N Jiving (11/4)12084114

Recent Form and Comments

  • Magnolia (FR) (Trainer: M D Hammond): This 6yo is Ex-French and got off the mark for Micky Hammond when winning over C&D last time in good style (good), beating an in-form rival. She has form on testing ground. Recent form figures: 6532-1.
  • Joltin N Jiving (IRE) (Trainer: D McCain): This 5yo is a winning Irish pointer (3m, good to yielding). He won his hurdles start at Carlisle in February (2m1f, good to soft; won by 8l). He faced a stiff task next time and is considered interesting on handicap debut. Recent form figures: /1218-.

Spotlight Verdict

Although facing a stiffer task having been put up 8lb, MAGNOLIA (nap) is taken to follow up last month’s C&D win with Joltin N Jiving (second choice) and Kingston Narcissus his most likely dangers.

Race Statistics

The source material does not contain specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for the Kelso races.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Magnolia:
    • Strengths: Recent C&D winner in good style, demonstrating current form and C&D suitability. Has the highest Master RPR (127). Proven on testing ground.
    • Weaknesses: Faces an 8lb rise which constitutes a stiffer task.
    • Suitability: Selected as the Nap (most likely winner).
  • Joltin N Jiving:
    • Strengths: Has hurdles winning form (won by 8l). Makes his handicap debut, which offers potential for improvement.
    • Weaknesses: Lower Master RPR than Magnolia. Latest start was a stiff task.
    • Suitability: Regarded as the second choice and a likely danger.

Race Statistics Summary (Kelso)

Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, and Trainer Records:

The provided sources, including the detailed excerpts from the “Kelso Racecard: November 18th Jumps Fixtures” and “Kelso Racecourse: 18th November Raceday Spotlight,” do not contain explicit summary statistics for Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records specific to the Kelso meeting. These statistical summaries are provided only for the Lingfield and Limerick meetings in the sources.

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