This response details the Ffos Las races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their form, providing the Spotlight Verdict, Race Statistics, and assessing their chances based on the sources provided.
Ffos Las Races (Chronological Order)
1.05 tigerbet.co.uk New Betting SIte Maiden Hurdle (1m 7f 182y)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Rating (Total) | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klimt Madrik (FR) | Top Rated | 6-4 |
| 2 | There Runs Mary (IRE) | Second Rated | 8-13 |
Klimt Madrik
- Recent Form & Comments: Shaped with significant promise in two heavy-ground Irish points early in 2024. Made a rules debut recently, finishing a creditable fourth (belied 33-1 odds) in what appeared to be a strong maiden hurdle here (2m4f, soft) three weeks ago.
- Suitability/Weakness: It is uncertain if the drop in trip (from 2m4f) will benefit him.
There Runs Mary
- Recent Form & Comments: She is a sister to the useful Irish chaser She’s A Fine Win, and her dam was a dual Irish Grade 3 hurdle winner. She won a heavy-ground Wincanton bumper on debut in January and was second at Newbury (soft) in March.
- Suitability/Weakness: She ought to make her presence felt on her seasonal/hurdle debut.
Spotlight Verdict
This will probably be fought out by KLIMT MADRIK and There Runs Mary. Slight preference is for Klimt Madrik, who made a good start to his hurdling career here three weeks ago.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 4yo 1-4-21, 5yo 4-2-18, 6yo 0-1-6, 7yo 0-1-1, 9yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 11112.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Evan Williams 1-0-6, Bernard Llewellyn 0-1-4.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Klimt Madrik: Strength lies in his highly promising rules debut and his high Master RPR of 131. Weakness is the question mark over the shorter trip today.
- There Runs Mary: Strength is her exceptional pedigree and proven form in bumpers on heavy and soft ground. Weakness is that this is her seasonal and hurdling debut, making fitness and jumping ability unknowns under rules.
1.35 tigerbet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase (2m 7f 177y)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Rating (Total) | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esperti (IRE) | Top Rated | 13-8 |
| 2 | Shot Boii (IRE) | Second Rated | 6-1 |
Esperti
- Recent Form & Comments: Although no longer the force he once was, he caused a 16-1 surprise over C&D (heavy) in February. He returned to action with a creditable second at Newton Abbot (3m2f, good to soft) last month.
- Suitability/Strength: Sean Bowen takes the ride. He is considered a major player if he is in the right mood again.
Shot Boii
- Recent Form & Comments: He failed to win last season but was placed on three of his seven outings. He returns on a good mark. His usual tongue-tie is left off.
- Suitability/Weakness: The trip and ground are suitable. He could have a say if fully tuned up.
Spotlight Verdict
He is patently not as good as he was but ESPERTI scored over C&D on heavy ground in February and returned to action with a big run in defeat at Newton Abbot last month. He gets the vote ahead of Try The Money. Shot Boii is next on the list.
Race Statistics
Race statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for this specific race are not available in the provided tables.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Esperti: Strength is his confirmed course and distance success on heavy ground and a recent highly respectable second. He is suitable for slower ground conditions.
- Shot Boii: Strength is that he returns on a competitive mark with suitable trip and ground. Weakness is a lack of a recent run (217 days since last run), suggesting a need to be fully tuned up.
2.10 tigerbet.co.uk New Bookmaker Maiden Hurdle (2m 4f)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Rating (Total) | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gee Force Flyer (IRE) | Top Rated | 11-10 |
| 2 | Tamarind Bay (IRE) | Second Rated | 4-1 |
Gee Force Flyer
- Recent Form & Comments: Won convincingly on his Irish point debut last December (yielding ground). He made a promising start to his rules career three weeks ago, keeping on well for third over C&D (soft).
- Suitability/Strength: He is expected to have a lot more to offer.
Tamarind Bay
- Recent Form & Comments: Posted a sound effort when finishing second at Kelso (2m6f, good to soft) this month.
- Weakness: He is 0-9 over hurdles and is becoming frustrating; others in the line-up are thought to have more potential.
- Suitability: He should cope well with the slower ground today.
Spotlight Verdict
The suggestion is GEE FORCE FLYER, who probably didn’t have the race run to suit his patient tactics when third over C&D on last month’s hurdling debut and still has significant potential. Worcester bumper runner-up Legendary Luke is second choice.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 4yo 2-6-25, 5yo 3-9-40, 6yo 4-2-17, 7yo 1-0-6, 8yo 0-1-4, 9yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 3121332122.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): David Pipe 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Gee Force Flyer: Strength is his significant potential and strong recent C&D debut, keeping on well.
- Tamarind Bay: Strength is his recent placement at Kelso and suitability to the ground. Weakness is his frustrating career record of being 0-9 over hurdles, suggesting he may lack the winning mentality needed in this field.
2.45 tigerbet.co.uk Bet On Racing Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (2m 4f)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Rating (Total) | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Bandido Pancho | Top Rated | 11-8 |
| 2 | Glengolly | Second Rated | 6-1 |
El Bandido Pancho
- Recent Form & Comments: Made all bravely at Newton Abbot (2m5f, heavy) in April. Returned from a break in even better form ten days ago, scoring convincingly by 7 lengths over C&D (soft).
- Suitability/Strength: Commands respect under a 7lb penalty. A course and distance winner.
Glengolly
- Recent Form & Comments: Has been unplaced in all 11 hurdling starts. Ran well at Ffos Las (3m, good to soft) in April before weakening into fourth. Was given a wind operation during a subsequent seven-month break.
- Weakness: Others have more pressing claims.
Spotlight Verdict
The most obvious answer is EL BANDIDO PANCHO, who made all for a convincing C&D success ten days ago and still looks well handicapped under a 7lb penalty.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 4yo 0-0-5, 5yo 1-4-13, 6yo 2-2-8, 7yo 0-0-1, 8yo 0-0-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 413.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Evan Williams 0-1-5.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- El Bandido Pancho: Strength is his demonstrated recent form, winning his last two starts impressively on heavy/soft ground, including over C&D. He remains competitive even with the penalty.
- Glengolly: Weakness is his 0-11 hurdle record. Strength is that he performed respectably over course fences previously and has had a wind operation, indicating potential improvement on return.
3.18 tigerbet.co.uk Online Betting Handicap Chase (2m 3f 83y)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Rating (Total) | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaipaletemps (FR) | Top Rated | 8-13 |
| 2 | A Great Excuse (IRE) | Second Rated | 7-1 |
Jaipaletemps
- Recent Form & Comments: A three-time chase winner when based in France. He returned from a break ten days ago with a very comfortable course win (2m, soft) under Rian Corcoran.
- Suitability/Strength: He will be fine over this longer trip and is an obvious contender under his 7lb penalty.
A Great Excuse
- Recent Form & Comments: He is an unexposed 5yo who showed minor promise in three maiden hurdles (2m-2m3f) earlier this year.
- Suitability/Weakness: He is making his stable, handicap, and chase debut after a nine-month break; the market should be monitored for clues.
Spotlight Verdict
Jaipaletemps looked in excellent nick when winning by 8l here ten days ago and is respected under his 7lb penalty. However, a speculative alternative to consider is Jaunty Viking. Chasing debutant A Great Excuse is also worth a look.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 5yo 1-0-2, 6yo 1-0-6, 7yo 0-2-4, 8yo 0-1-2, 9yo 0-0-1, 11yo 0-0-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 12.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): David Pipe 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Jaipaletemps: Strength is his recent highly impressive course win (8l). He handles the conditions and the longer trip. Weakness is the 7lb penalty.
- A Great Excuse: Strength is his unexposed nature and entry into handicapping/chasing off a potentially favorable mark. Weakness is the significant nine-month absence and the massive leap of faith required as this is his debut over fences and for the stable.
3.48 winningpost.co.uk Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (2m 5f 192y)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Rating (Total) | SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Followango (IRE) | Top Rated | 11-8 |
| 2 | Somethingtosomeone (IRE) | Second Rated | 3-1 |
Followango
- Recent Form & Comments: She is yet to build on her course bumper win two years ago. She started the season with two creditable seconds this autumn (maiden hurdle and handicap chase).
- Suitability/Strength: She will be suited by the return to this track and today’s slower ground, and ought to be right in the thick of things again.
Somethingtosomeone
- Recent Form & Comments: She is 0-4 over hurdles. Looked suited by the step up in trip when finishing a keeping-on second on handicap debut here (2m4f, good; first-time tongue-tie) in March. She had a wind op during an eight-month break.
- Suitability/Strength: She is open to more improvement if this stiffer stamina test suits.
Spotlight Verdict
Lady Harriett (second choice) will be tough to beat if she returns from her layoff in prime form, while Somethingtosomeone may still have some potential. However, this could be a good opportunity for FOLLOWANGO (nap), who has posted a couple of good efforts this autumn and has conditions very much in her favour today.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 5yo 0-0-2, 6yo 0-2-6, 7yo 1-0-1, 8yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 413.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Ben Clarke 1-1-2.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Followango: Strength is her consistency this autumn (two seconds) and the strong suitability of the course and ground conditions. She is proven at the track.
- Somethingtosomeone: Strength is the potential for improvement following a wind operation and having shown promise when stepping up in trip previously. Weakness is the 0-4 hurdle record and the fact she is returning from an eight-month break.
Leave a comment