1. Market Moves Summary

Analysing the morning betting markets is a crucial step in assessing the day’s racing landscape. By identifying significant market movers, we can gain insight into stable confidence, professional sentiment, and public opinion. Horses that are heavily backed (“steamers”) often carry a weight of expectation, while those whose odds lengthen (“drifters”) may be facing doubts. This section breaks down the most notable market shifts across today’s cards.

Significant Steamers

The following horses have seen the most substantial and positive market support this morning, suggesting they are particularly well-fancied.

Horse	Race	Price Change	Move %
Abingworth	3:35 Newbury	33/1 to 10/1	70%
San Hilario (FR)	3:00 Fairyhouse	11/1 to 7/2	68%
Tutti Quanti (FR)	2:15 Newbury	9/1 to 3/1	67%
Idaho Sun (IRE)	11:30 Bangor	2/9 to 1/12	64%
Ravens King	8:30 Wolverhampton	20/1 to 8/1	60%

A clear pattern emerging from the complete list of steamers is the considerable market confidence behind runners from the Gordon Elliott stable, particularly at the Fairyhouse meeting. Multiple horses have attracted strong support, including San Hilario (11/1 into 7/2) in the 3:00 handicap hurdle and Wendrock (15/2 into 4/1) in the 1:19 Grade 3 hurdle, indicating a potentially strong day for the yard.

Notable Drifters

Conversely, the following horses have seen their odds lengthen significantly, indicating a lack of confidence from the market.

Horse	Race	Price Change	Move %
Cool Master	11:00 Bangor	18/1 to 100/1	456%
Rosco Rogers (IRE)	8:30 Wolverhampton	4/1 to 22/1	450%
Lieutenant Sir	4:30 Wolverhampton	9/2 to 18/1	300%
Liberty Bird	7:30 Wolverhampton	5/2 to 7/1	180%
Hackney Diamonds	8:30 Wolverhampton	6/1 to 16/1	167%

The drifters list is spread across various cards, though a notable cluster of significant negative moves has occurred in the all-weather races at Wolverhampton.

This analysis of market sentiment provides a valuable layer of context, which can be further refined by considering the impact of any race-day changes.

2. Non-Runners Overview

The withdrawal of a horse, or a “non-runner,” is a critical factor that can fundamentally alter the dynamics of a race. Late changes can affect the pace, remove key contenders, and lead to significant adjustments in the betting market, thereby reshaping the opportunities and challenges for the remaining runners.

The provided source documents for today’s analysis did not contain any information on non-runners.

We now turn our attention from market dynamics and race-day changes to expert selections.

3. Spotlight Tips Round-Up

Expert selections, such as the “Spotlight” tips, serve as a valuable reference point for form analysis. These tips, crafted by seasoned racing journalists and analysts, often highlight horses with strong form credentials, favourable race conditions, or other positive attributes that might not be immediately obvious to the general public.

The source data for today’s report did not include any “Spotlight” selections, and therefore a comparison with market movers or our data-driven ratings is not possible.

With the absence of expert tips, we now proceed to a purely data-driven analysis using the TimeWise ratings system.

4. TimeWise Top Two Rated Horses By Meeting

This section offers a systematic, data-driven perspective on today’s races using the TimeWise Master Rating. This comprehensive rating synthesizes numerous variables—including recent form, speed figures, jockey and trainer performance, and more—into a single objective figure. By highlighting the top two rated horses in each race, we can identify runners with the strongest statistical profiles.

Bangor

• 11:00: Daylatedollarshort (IRE) (Rating: 276, Odds: 11/4) & Atlantic Lad (Rating: 249, Odds: 5/2)

• 11:30: Idaho Sun (IRE) (Rating: 332, Odds: 1/12) & Noble George (IRE) (Rating: 226, Odds: 8/1)

• 12:02: Ilovethenightlife (Rating: 287, Odds: 2/1) & Regal Renaissance (Rating: 279, Odds: 11/8)

• 12:37: Laganhill (Rating: 312, Odds: 8/1) & Ki Woo (FR) (Rating: 304, Odds: 8/1)

• 1:12: Jour Devasion (FR) (Rating: 291, Odds: 11/8) & Passing Kate (Rating: 273, Odds: 11/4)

• 1:47: Bridget Mary (IRE) (Rating: 256, Odds: 7/2) & Be The Difference (IRE) (Rating: 250, Odds: 2/1)

Fairyhouse

• 11:36: Jimmy Du Seuil (FR) (Rating: 372, Odds: 11/10) & The Big Westerner (IRE) (Rating: 332, Odds: 15/8)

• 12:09: Kiltealy Park (IRE) (Rating: 313, Odds: 7/2) & Speculatrix (Rating: 292, Odds: 11/2)

• 12:44: Mirazur West (IRE) (Rating: 358, Odds: 15/8) & Special Cadeau (Rating: 325, Odds: 7/2)

• 1:19: Murcia (FR) (Rating: 402, Odds: 2/1) & Im Slippy (IRE) (Rating: 321, Odds: 2/1)

• 1:53: L Evangeliste (FR) (Rating: 287, Odds: 7/2) & Some Song (IRE) (Rating: 251, Odds: 10/1)

• 2:25: Dysart Dolomite (IRE) (Rating: 372, Odds: 11/10) & Skylight Hustle (IRE) (Rating: 276, Odds: 6/4)

• 3:00: Jordans (FR) (Rating: 373, Odds: 3/1) & Billy Lee Swagger (IRE) (Rating: 280, Odds: 8/1)

• 3:30: Thankyouforthedays (IRE) (Rating: 218, Odds: 25/1) & Generous Risk (FR) (Rating: 173, Odds: 7/4)

Newcastle

• 11:42: Le Beau Madrik (FR) (Rating: 348, Odds: 6/4) & Gaelic Rover (IRE) (Rating: 285, Odds: 5/2)

• 12:15: Hello Judge (Rating: 343, Odds: 6/1) & Maghlaak (Rating: 286, Odds: 10/1)

• 12:50: Get On George (IRE) (Rating: 347, Odds: 12/1) & Zanndabad (IRE) (Rating: 310, Odds: 100/30)

• 1:25: The Big Breac (IRE) (Rating: 289, Odds: 4/1) & Ribeye (Rating: 279, Odds: 12/1)

• 2:00: Anzadam (FR) (Rating: 469, Odds: 9/4) & The New Lion (Rating: 430, Odds: 13/8)

• 2:35: Homme Public (FR) (Rating: 302, Odds: 7/1) & Brace For Landing (IRE) (Rating: 297, Odds: 11/4)

• 3:15: Hang In There (IRE) (Rating: 351, Odds: 12/1) & Cruz Control (FR) (Rating: 350, Odds: 7/2)

Doncaster

• 11:48: Storming George (IRE) (Rating: 315, Odds: 2/5) & Filibustering (Rating: 294, Odds: 5/2)

• 12:22: Josh The Boss (Rating: 293, Odds: 9/4) & Hecouldbetheone (IRE) (Rating: 290, Odds: 7/1)

• 12:57: Madame Luna (Rating: 289, Odds: 9/4) & Scavengers Reign (IRE) (Rating: 277, Odds: 9/2)

• 1:32: Kalium (FR) (Rating: 307, Odds: 15/8) & High Dancer (Rating: 275, Odds: 4/1)

• 2:07: Fierce Warrior (IRE) (Rating: 324, Odds: 9/4) & Broomfields Cave (IRE) (Rating: 256, Odds: 15/2)

• 2:42: Aviemore (Rating: 277, Odds: 5/1) & Le Yacht (FR) (Rating: 271, Odds: 5/2)

• 3:22: Luna Grace (Rating: 214, Odds: 14/1) & The Lakes (Rating: 115, Odds: 50/1)

Newbury

• 11:55: La Conquiere (FR) (Rating: 373, Odds: 9/4) & Jaminska (FR) (Rating: 353, Odds: 16/1)

• 12:30: Booster Bob (IRE) (Rating: 349, Odds: 11/2) & Scarface (IRE) (Rating: 347, Odds: 10/1)

• 1:05: Kalkbrenner (IRE) (Rating: 344, Odds: 13/8) & Kocktail Bleu (FR) (Rating: 337, Odds: 5/1)

• 1:40: Ludor (FR) (Rating: 358, Odds: 5/1) & Dargiannini (IRE) (Rating: 357, Odds: 25/1)

• 2:15: Live Conti (FR) (Rating: 382, Odds: 14/1) & Give It To Me Oj (Rating: 374, Odds: 6/1)

• 2:55: Resplendent Grey (IRE) (Rating: 414, Odds: 8/1) & The Changing Man (IRE) (Rating: 395, Odds: 8/1)

• 3:35: Doyen Du Bar (IRE) (Rating: 333, Odds: 7/1) & General Medrano (IRE) (Rating: 322, Odds: 7/2)

Wolverhampton

• 4:30: Palmeira (Rating: 299, Odds: 11/8) & Fortification (Rating: 241, Odds: 10/11)

• 5:00: Urgent Call (IRE) (Rating: 258, Odds: 15/2) & Lavender Gold (FR) (Rating: 254, Odds: 2/1)

• 5:30: Queen Sana (Rating: 245, Odds: 15/8) & Diamondinthedark (Rating: 238, Odds: 5/2)

• 6:00: Bahadur (Rating: 301, Odds: 9/4) & Arqoob (IRE) (Rating: 287, Odds: 18/1)

• 6:30: Sams Hope (Rating: 258, Odds: 11/2) & Woodhay Whisper (IRE) (Rating: 257, Odds: 11/4)

• 7:00: Electric Avenue (Rating: 267, Odds: 3/1) & Simply Blue (Rating: 262, Odds: 5/2)

• 7:30: Straight A (Rating: 227, Odds: 11/8) & Liberty Bird (Rating: 225, Odds: 7/1)

• 8:00: Hint Of Humour (Rating: 258, Odds: 4/1) & Popular Dream (Rating: 248, Odds: 100/30)

• 8:30: Hackney Diamonds (Rating: 233, Odds: 16/1) & Electric Bass (Rating: 232, Odds: 5/2)

This comprehensive ratings overview provides a strong statistical foundation for form analysis, leading us to our final summary and key takeaways.

5. Summary Insight & Analyst Notes

This final section synthesizes the day’s market intelligence and objective data to provide a high-level overview and actionable insights. By connecting the dots between morning sentiment and the TimeWise ratings, we can identify areas of alignment, significant divergence, and potential opportunities across the cards.

• Stable Confidence: The market has shown significant confidence in the Gordon Elliott stable, with multiple runners heavily backed at Fairyhouse. This strong support, particularly for horses like San Hilario and Wendrock, suggests the yard anticipates a successful day.

• Ratings vs. Market in the Fighting Fifth: The day’s most fascinating analytical clash comes in the Grade 1 Fighting Fifth Hurdle (2:00 PM Newcastle). While the formidable Constitution Hill (Odds: 7/4) brings a huge reputation, the TimeWise ratings decisively favour Anzadam (Rating: 469) and The New Lion (Rating: 430) over him (Rating: 366). This presents a classic scenario of objective data challenging market perception.

• Strong Rating-Price Alignment: In the 11:30 at Bangor, there is a powerful consensus between the data and the market. Idaho Sun is not only the top-rated horse by a significant margin (Rating: 332) but has also been subjected to an extremely strong market move, shortening from 2/9 into 1/12. This alignment suggests maximum confidence.

• Potential Lay Opportunities: An interesting divergence appears in the 11:48 at Doncaster. Filibustering, the second-highest rated horse in the race (Rating: 294), has drifted notably in the market from 5/4 out to 5/2. This negative sentiment against a statistically strong contender could signal a potential vulnerability or a value opportunity against him.