1. Dingwall – The Class Edge
Dingwall comes out on top thanks to a mix of raw ability and current wellbeing. He’s thriving on the all-weather and consistently running above his mark, effectively racing “well-in” compared to future ratings.
There are a couple of caveats: he’s back out quickly, he pulled hard last time, and the jockey’s interference incident wasn’t ideal. But on balance, he’s the horse with the clearest ceiling advantage.
2. Al Shabab – The Solid C&D Option
Al Shabab looks a major player, especially with the step up to 10f clearly suiting him last time. He stays on the same mark as his recent win, he has proven Chelmsford credentials, and Neil Callan is a strong booking.
The only meaningful negative is the wide draw in 14, which can force a horse to work early, but everything else points the right way.
3. Tommy’s Promise – Reliable and Knocking
He’s consistent, he’s honest, and he’s back out quickly after a good third just two days ago. He runs to a solid level for this grade and keeps finding.
The sticking point is simple: he’s still a maiden, and the way he travels can sometimes drag him into doing too much too soon. Ability is there; finishing the job remains the challenge.
4. Lady Aiyana – Each-Way Shape
Her best run came at this trip on handicap debut, and she gets back to that distance tonight. There’s still improvement to come, and the draw helps.
She didn’t convince over 12f, and the yard isn’t quite at full power, but at this trip she’s much more interesting.
5. Ribston Pippin – Capable but Hard to Trust
At his best, Ribston Pippin can dominate races and has shown he’s competitive off this exact mark. The problem is his tendency to race too freely and empty late.
He has the ability for a big run, but he’s a horse punters often back with one eye shut.
6. Beachborough Girl – Quiet Improver
Her recent AW efforts have been respectable—she’s been finishing off her races and even ran well when meeting traffic issues.
Consistency and straightness are the question marks. She’s hung left in the past and her profile is patchy, but she is going the right way.
7. Queen Sansa – Better Than She Looks
She has shaped far better than bare results suggest, finding herself stuck wide or running too keenly in several races. With Stuart Williams flying, you can’t ignore her completely.
However, she’s often slow away and that’s a major T1 handicap in a field like this.
8. Muhib – The Perpetual Maiden Threat
He usually runs well without quite threatening to win and has posted a big RPR in the past, which hints at more ability.
He kept on nicely for fourth last time over C&D, but he keeps finding one or two too strong. Place claims again, but hard to see him winning.
9. Newfire – Yard Switch Angle
Kevin Frost can improve one, and the yard is going well, so the move is interesting. She has winning form at the trip and might bounce.
But the recent run was well below her best and the long absence is a concern. Needs a big shift.
10. Rosemary’s Rose – Trip Question Mark
She’s likely to be ridden forward, and the yard feels she’s in slightly better heart than the formbook shows.
The issue is stamina. Upping her to this trip after running keenly could leave her vulnerable late on unless she settles—far from guaranteed.
11. Clipsham Noble – Too Much to Overcome
A handy draw and a workable mark are positives, but the negatives stack up: slow starts, headstrong tendencies, poor recent runs.
He’s hard to fancy with confidence.
12. Stormy Lady – Outclassed
She has one or two minor positives—she’s bred for the trip and ran her best race over C&D—but the form is simply not there.
Lowest rated, limited progress, and needing a big leap forward.
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