All-Weather Racing Analysis: Friday 5th December 2025

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Welcome to this detailed analysis of today’s all-weather racing fixtures, featuring afternoon action from Newcastle’s Tapeta track and an evening card from Dundalk’s Polytrack surface. This document provides a data-driven breakdown of each race, leveraging the TimeWise Master Ratings to pinpoint the leading contenders. Our focus is to synthesize form, statistical trends, and expert verdicts to offer key opportunities and insights for the discerning reader.

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1. 3:15 Newcastle – Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap

This Class 4 handicap, run over 1 mile and 2 furlongs for a prize of £4,972, presents a competitive opening contest at Newcastle. In a race of this nature, detailed analysis is key to separating genuine contenders from the rest of the field. Identifying horses who are in peak form and potentially hold an advantage on ratings is crucial to uncovering value.

1.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Jez Bomb (Total: 307)

• Form Summary: A model of consistency on all-weather surfaces, Jez Bomb boasts a formidable record with four wins from nine starts. His most recent victory came in tidy style over this course and distance in late October. This fine sequence of form continued with a narrow defeat over track and trip just last week, demonstrating his current well-being and effectiveness under these conditions.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: An all-weather specialist with an excellent record, proven over this course and distance, and arrives in peak form based on recent runs.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Now races off a career-high mark and is 6lb higher than for his last win, a significant challenge to overcome in a competitive handicap.

2. Humble Spark (Total: 290)

• Form Summary: This horse is a four-time winner at Newcastle, including a victory over this 1m2f trip last Christmas, marking him as a course specialist. However, he has not been seen on the track since finishing down the field in the Northumberland Vase over 2 miles here in June, and now returns from a notable break.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A proven winner at this track and distance, suggesting a clear affinity for the surface and layout.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Returns from a 160-day absence, a significant challenge, although the historical stats for this race do not show a strong bias against older, established runners. He has a bit to prove after a disappointing last outing.

1.2. Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-1-3, 4yo+ 1-1-5. These figures, while based on a small sample size, suggest that older, more experienced runners have held a slight edge in this race historically.

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): Charlie Johnston 0-1-1. The Johnston yard has had one runner place from one attempt in this specific race in recent years.

1.3. Spotlight Verdict

Among several plausible cases, that for JEZ BOMB appeals most. He’s had three wins, three seconds and a third from his last seven races, hitting new heights over C&D on the last two occasions and he so nearly grabbed a win off today’s mark last Thursday. Almekarem could pose a major threat, however, judged on the strength of his finish over 1m on his latest outing and his dam had Group 3 and Group 2 success over this trip.

[Richard Austen]

From the seasoned handicappers, we now turn our focus to the potential stars of tomorrow in a tricky two-year-old novice stakes.

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2. 3:45 Newcastle – Read Meg Nicholls Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Novice Stakes

This Class 5 contest over 7 furlongs provides an opportunity for lightly raced two-year-olds to gain valuable experience. In these events, the focus is not just on the limited form but also on debut promise, pedigree, and the market signals that often reveal stable confidence.

2.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Euston Hall (Total: 238)

• Form Summary: This son of Dark Angel shaped with considerable promise on his debut at Kempton 30 days ago, finishing fourth in a 7f novice event. That initial experience is expected to bring him on significantly, and he is positioned to take a tangible step forward in this contest.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Showed promise on his first run and is open to natural improvement. Represents a respected yard.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Lacks the race experience of some rivals and needs to confirm the promise of his debut.

2. Lake Como (Total: 235)

• Form Summary: After looking in need of the experience on his first two starts, this son of St Mark’s Basilica showed marked progression last time out. He finished strongly to take second place in a 7f Lingfield maiden 15 days ago, despite being short of room over a furlong from home. That performance suggests there is more to come.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Showed significant improvement on his most recent run and looks to be on an upward curve. The way he finished suggests there is more ability to unlock.

    ◦ Weaknesses: He is still a maiden after three starts and will need to find more to get his head in front.

2.2. Spotlight Verdict

William Haggas’ Sioux Nation newcomer King’s English (second choice) commands plenty of respect but it could pay to side with George Boughey’s LAKE COMO who advanced his form when a promising runner-up at Lingfield last time and can go one better now. Euston Hall and Victory Ace both look to have more to offer and also need factoring in.

[Peter Entwistle]

The juvenile theme continues with our next race, a 7-furlong nursery.

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3. 4:15 Newcastle – Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Nursery

This Class 5 nursery handicap is exclusively for two-year-olds, run over 7 furlongs. The analysis here focuses on identifying juveniles who are improving at the right time, assessing the fairness of their opening handicap marks, and noting any significant changes such as a new trainer or the application of new equipment.

3.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Up The Agenda (Total: 275)

• Form Summary: Please note: Up The Agenda is a NON-RUNNER. He had justified favouritism on his all-weather debut when winning a four-runner nursery over 6f here on Tuesday. Already a winner over 7f on turf, the step back up in trip would not have been an issue.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Was an impressive recent winner over 6f at this course and had been set to carry a 6lb penalty. Proven at today’s distance.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Officially declared a non-runner for this contest.

2. Jackabi (Total: 233)

• Form Summary: This colt showed a significant step up in performance on his handicap debut at Wolverhampton four weeks ago. Wearing a hood for the first time, he kept on well to finish second over 7f. The form of that race has since been franked by the winner.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Arrives on the back of a career-best effort and the form has been boosted. He competes off an unchanged handicap mark.

    ◦ Weaknesses: The effective headgear (hood) worn last time has been discarded, which raises a question.

3.2. Race Statistics

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): Ed Walker 0-1-1. The Walker stable has had one runner placed from one attempt in this race in recent years, a noteworthy statistic.

3.3. Spotlight Verdict

In a trappy contest, the suggestion is the newly tongue-tied SMARTANCK on his first start for Antony Brittain. Jackabi could easily prove capable of building on last month’s Wolverhampton second.

[Mark Rowntree]

Attention now turns to another competitive handicap featuring some familiar course specialists.

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4. 4:45 Newcastle – Win 250,000 With BetMGMs Golden Goals Handicap

This Class 4 handicap over 7 furlongs features a competitive field of experienced campaigners. The analysis will concentrate on identifying course specialists who thrive under these conditions and runners who have recently returned to form, potentially giving them an edge against their current handicap rating.

4.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Midnight Lion (Total: 303)

• Form Summary: A true course specialist, Midnight Lion recorded his seventh career victory at Newcastle just 17 days ago over this same course and distance. His affinity for this track is undeniable, and he arrives at the top of his game.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: An undisputed course specialist with an excellent track record. Comes into the race on the back of a recent win.

    ◦ Weaknesses: The handicapper has raised him 3lb for his latest success, making this a tougher assignment.

2. Mr Mistoffelees (Total: 298)

• Form Summary: This horse has returned to his very best form recently since being fitted with blinkers. He scored over a mile here two starts back and followed that with a strong runner-up performance in a 1m Southwell handicap two weeks ago, where he travelled powerfully for a long way.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Arrives in scintillating form, suggesting he is “right back to his best.” The way he travels (“going sweetly”) indicates he is in great heart.

    ◦ Weaknesses: He is now 4lb higher in the weights. The drop back from 1m to 7f is a slight question mark, although his running style suggests it will suit.

4.2. Spotlight Verdict

Jim Goldie’s course specialist Midnight Lion seems sure to go well once more after a recent C&D victory, while Eldrickjones (second choice) shaped encouragingly in fourth that day and is weighted to have a big say in his bid for a fourth C&D win. But MR MISTOFFELEES posted a fine second at Southwell last time and, with this drop to 7f likely to suit this strong traveller, he edges the vote. Another to consider in a cracking handicap is Blazing Son.

[Peter Entwistle]

Our focus now shifts to Ireland for the evening fixture at Dundalk.

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5. 5:00 Dundalk – Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap

We begin our Dundalk analysis with a competitive 5-furlong handicap for a prize fund of €15,000, open to horses aged three and older. This contest requires a careful balancing of chances, weighing the credentials of proven course-and-distance winners against those of younger, more progressive rivals who may still have untapped potential.

5.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Prairie Girl (Total: 275)

• Form Summary: This filly showed significant promise on her stable debut when finishing a close fourth over course and distance, just half a length behind Tomarlo. She built on that effort impressively when scoring readily here on Halloween, showcasing a clear liking for the track.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A recent and decisive winner at the track, suggesting she is progressive. Showed promise on her stable debut prior to that win.

    ◦ Weaknesses: The handicapper has reacted with a significant 12lb rise, a substantial burden that makes repeating her victory a formidable challenge.

2. Send Harry (Total: 250)

• Form Summary: A model of consistency, this three-year-old gained a deserved success in a 7f course handicap in September. He followed that with another excellent effort last month when denied by just a neck over the same trip, only being headed in the final stages.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A highly consistent performer who has shown excellent recent form at this track, including a win and a narrow second.

    ◦ Weaknesses: He tackles the specialist distance of 5 furlongs for the very first time, an unknown that he must prove he can handle.

5.2. Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-4-17, 4yo+ 4-6-34. The data suggests that while three-year-olds are frequently involved, the older horses have a superior win-to-run ratio in this contest.

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): T G McCourt 1-0-5, Denis Gerard Hogan 0-1-3. Of the trainers with multiple runners in this race’s history, T G McCourt boasts a win while Denis Hogan has secured a place.

5.3. Spotlight Verdict

A ready winner over C&D last time, Prairie Girl had previously finished 0.5l behind TOMARLO and a 12lb rise for the first-mentioned contender suggests Tomarlo can uphold that form. The selection finished over a length behind Buddy Batt over C&D last month but now has a 5lb swing with that rival. Send Harry has been running well here in his last two starts, including a win and now tries 5f for the first time. Market support for AW specialist Billboa should be heeded.

[Denis Harney]

Let’s return to Newcastle for the next race, another nursery handicap for the two-year-olds.

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6. 5:15 Newcastle – Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery

This is a Class 6 nursery handicap for two-year-olds over 6 furlongs. In a race for such lightly raced individuals, recent form progression is paramount. Particular attention is paid to how these juveniles might be affected by changes, such as a step up or down in trip, which can often unlock further improvement.

6.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. King Victorious (Total: 224)

• Form Summary: This Starman gelding showed a significant advancement in form when fitted with a hood for his recent run at Wolverhampton. He finished strongly to take second place in a 6f nursery, indicating that the new headgear had a positive effect and that he possesses a determined finishing style.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Clearly “advancing his form” and demonstrated a potent “strong-finishing” kick in his last race. The headgear that prompted improvement is retained.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Has been “nudged up 1lb” by the handicapper for his latest effort, a small but potentially crucial rise in a tight contest.

2. Brave Traveller (Total: 214)

• Form Summary: This Lope Y Fernandez colt took a considerable step forward on his nursery debut last time out. He finished a good second over 5f here just 11 days ago, a performance that marked a significant improvement on his previous runs in novice company.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Showed clear recent improvement on his first start in a handicap. He competes off an unchanged handicap mark, giving him an excellent chance to build on that run.

    ◦ Weaknesses: While the return to a 6f trip is a potential positive, he needs to prove he is as effective over this distance as he was over 5f last time.

6.2. Race Statistics

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): George Boughey 1-0-1. The Boughey yard has an excellent record in this contest, with one winner from one runner.

6.3. Spotlight Verdict

A tight-knit nursery in which marginal preference is for KING VICTORIOUS who improved for the fitting of a hood when a fast-finishing second at Wolverhampton recently and can go one better nudged up 1lb. Brave Traveller (second choice) and Madamoiselle Belle posted good efforts when filling the places in a nursery here last time out and appeal as the main threats. Nursery debutant Copperfield also needs factoring in.

[Peter Entwistle]

Back over at Dundalk, the card continues with a maiden where pedigree and trainer intent are just as important as the limited form on offer.

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7. 5:30 Dundalk – Irishinjuredjockeys.com Maiden

This two-year-old maiden over a mile, with a prize fund of €15,000, is a typical test for a mix of experienced juveniles and intriguing newcomers. With many contenders having only one or two runs, the focus shifts to assessing debut promise and market confidence as key indicators of potential.

7.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. God Of Power (Total: 271)

• Form Summary: This Lope De Vega colt was well-supported in the betting ahead of his debut over course and distance two weeks ago and ran a promising race to finish fourth. It was a commendable effort against more experienced opposition, and he is expected to build on that initial outing.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Brings the best form into the race based on his promising debut. The experience gained should stand him in good stead.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Faces some well-bred newcomers and will need to improve to fend them off.

2. Theorist (Total: 253)

• Form Summary: Defying market expectations, this colt ran an excellent race on debut over course and distance last month, finishing fifth at odds of 50-1. He was only 2.5 lengths behind God Of Power on that occasion and left the impression that a step up in trip would suit him in the future.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Showed significant ability on debut despite his long odds. Has course experience and is open to natural improvement.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Finished behind God Of Power last time and needs to reverse that form. May ultimately require a longer distance to be seen at his best.

7.2. Spotlight Verdict

Just one length behind in fourth on debut over C&D last time, GOD OF POWER has the best form and can use his experience against some promising debutants. Theorist was over two lengths behind the selection on that occasion. Holding an entry for next year’s Irish Derby, Frankel colt Abbotsford is of obvious interest. No Temperance is another well-bred contender making his debut.

[Denis Harney]

The analysis now moves back to Newcastle for a low-grade but compelling sprint handicap.

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8. 5:45 Newcastle – Make The Move To Midnite Handicap

This Class 6 handicap looks to be a classic clash between a horse in scintillating form, Spun To Gold, and a recent improver, Teardrops, both of whom dominate the top of our ratings. In this grade, identifying horses in a rich vein of form is paramount, as they often hold a significant advantage over rivals who have been struggling to make an impact.

8.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Spun To Gold (Total: 273)

• Form Summary: This four-year-old is in tremendous form, arriving here seeking a four-timer after completing a hat-trick of wins. Two of those recent victories have come over this course and distance. His latest success saw him get up in the final stride, a performance for which he cleverly avoids a penalty.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: In the form of his life, having won his last three races. He is a proven C&D winner and is effectively well-in at the weights.

    ◦ Weaknesses: The narrow margin of his latest win suggests the handicapper may be catching up, despite him avoiding a penalty.

2. Teardrops (Total: 233)

• Form Summary: After showing modest ability initially, this three-year-old has begun to show marked improvement on his last two starts. Following a close third over C&D, he returned just six days later to score decisively at this track, aided by the first-time application of a tongue-tie and blinkers.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A decisive last-time-out winner who is clearly on an upward curve. The headgear combination appears to have unlocked significant improvement.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Carries a 6lb penalty for that recent win, which will make this a tougher task.

8.2. Spotlight Verdict

Recent form suggests not many will get into this but the field includes three last-time winners and, of those, preference is for the improving TEARDROPS. If he can perform to a similar level to last week’s win then he can defy his penalty. Second choice is Spun To Gold, who is in terrific form. Mister Sky Blue and Superior Council are both respected.

[Jonathan Doidge]

We now turn our attention to a high-value handicap over the mile at Dundalk.

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9. 6:00 Dundalk – BAR 1 Betting New App Out Now Handicap

This is a valuable contest over one mile with a total prize fund of €25,000, attracting a field of seasoned all-weather performers. The analysis will focus on those with strong course form, recent career-best efforts, and younger, improving horses stepping into handicap company for the first time.

9.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Carolina Jetstream (Total: 306)

• Form Summary: Both of this progressive three-year-old’s career wins have come at this track, over 1m and 10.5f. After a poor run over an inadequate trip on soft turf, he posted an excellent career-best effort in a Listed race over this course and distance last month, finishing a strong fourth despite a wide trip. This will be his handicap debut.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Brings strong Listed form into a handicap, suggesting he is well-treated. Proven course and distance winner with scope for more improvement.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Making his handicap debut, which is always a new test against more experienced rivals.

2. Final Voyage (Total: 304)

• Form Summary: A seven-time all-weather winner, with his last victory coming over this C&D in February 2024. He has run numerous good races in defeat since, most recently when staying on well to be beaten just a head over C&D in October by an improving three-year-old.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A highly consistent and proven performer under these conditions. His last run was an excellent effort, suggesting he is in good form.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Finds winning difficult and is now 3lb higher in the weights than for his narrow defeat last time out.

9.2. Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 2-7-20, 4yo+ 7-10-76. The statistics show that older horses have historically dominated this race in terms of wins.

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): Adrian McGuinness 0-3-8, G M Lyons 0-2-5, J P Murtagh 0-2-3. While none have saddled the winner in recent years, the McGuinness, Lyons, and Murtagh stables have all placed multiple times.

9.3. Spotlight Verdict

Quite competitive, with the improving 3yo DALER taken to continue his progress upped in grade here. Instant Appeal, Final Voyage and Carolina Jetstream look major threats.

[Alan Hewison]

The action switches back to Newcastle for the first division of a 5-furlong sprint handicap.

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10. 6:15 Newcastle – Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (Div 1)

This is the first division of a Class 5 handicap sprint over 5 furlongs. The focus here is on identifying course specialists and those who have shown recent good form at other all-weather venues, particularly if they are moving to a new, in-form stable.

10.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. True Promise (Total: 280)

• Form Summary: This horse is a winner over 5f, 6f, and 7f at this course, highlighting his versatility and liking for the track. He has since left trainer Kevin Ryan for £13,000 after two close runner-up efforts at Southwell and now makes his debut for the in-form Fionn McSharry stable.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A multiple course winner who arrives in excellent form. Now represents a trainer whose runners are performing well.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Makes his stable debut off a 2lb higher mark, which could present a challenge against race-fit rivals.

2. Brazilian Belle (Total: 249)

• Form Summary: A dual winner over 5f on soft turf, this filly made her all-weather debut over this course and distance last time out, finishing a respectable fourth, beaten just over two lengths. That was a solid first attempt on the surface.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Has winning form over the distance and her first run on Tapeta was encouraging. Drops 1lb in the weights.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Still relatively unproven on an artificial surface compared to some of her rivals.

10.2. Spotlight Verdict

This looks open and marginal preference is for DANDY DINMONT, for whom the fitting of headgear may be able to nudge this in his favour, after some consistent efforts in defeat. True Promise is feared on his first start for Fionn McSharry, while Alondra and AW newcomer Jm Jhingree are respected.

[Jonathan Doidge]

Our analysis returns to Dundalk for the first division of a competitive mile handicap.

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11. 6:30 Dundalk – Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div 1)

This is the first division of a 0-60 rated handicap over one mile, with a €10,000 prize fund. Races in this bracket are often won by horses who have recently bounced back to form or who are dropping to a trip that better suits their running style.

11.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Una Matata (Total: 239)

• Form Summary: This mare ran well on her final two starts for her previous trainer, placing third over 7f and 1m at this track. She was only caught late on her stable debut over 7f here last month when runner-up. Last time out, she weakened into fifth over 1m from a wide draw while also hanging right.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Has consistent recent form at this track. A much kinder draw today should help her run a better race.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Showed a tendency to hang last time and needs to run straight to be fully effective.

2. Thompson Gunner (Total: 210)

• Form Summary: This maiden was beaten just a nose over C&D off a higher mark in September of last year. After a spell of poor form, he bounced back with a good second over an extended 1m2f here in November. He was sent off favourite last time under Colin Keane but travelled best before weakening into fourth.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Proven to be competitive off higher marks at this track. Drops back to his ideal trip of 1m, wears a first-time visor, and has a 10lb claimer on board.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Remains a maiden and has a habit of finding one too good.

11.2. Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-2-14, 4yo+ 3-4-28. The historical data points to a clear advantage for the older, more seasoned campaigners in this race.

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): Adrian McGuinness 1-0-3, Andrew Slattery 0-1-2, Tom McGuinness 0-1-1. Adrian McGuinness is the only trainer represented to have saddled a winner in this contest’s recent history.

11.3. Spotlight Verdict

Following good efforts over further in his last two starts here, THOMPSON GUNNER now drops to 1m and with an added visor and a claimer taking 10lb off he may finally make the breakthrough. Una Matata has run well in recent starts here and has a kinder draw to work with now compared to last time when fifth. Beat The Devil showed weak form on turf but appeared to take well to this surface when keeping on for third latest and he could have more to offer.

[Denis Harney]

It’s back to Newcastle for the second division of the 5-furlong sprint.

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12. 6:45 Newcastle – Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (Div 2)

This is the second division of the Class 5, 5f handicap. The analysis will prioritise recent improvers, especially those who have shown a liking for the Tapeta surface, and proven course and distance winners who may be returning to a competitive handicap mark.

12.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Orbital Chime (Total: 256)

• Form Summary: A 6f turf winner who has shown significant improvement on the all-weather recently. He went close over this course and distance two starts ago before scoring comfortably over 6f at Southwell last time out.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: The most obvious improver in the field. His recent form suggests he is still well-treated despite a 3lb rise.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Needs to prove he is as effective back at 5f, though his C&D second suggests it is not an issue.

2. Castan (Total: 235)

• Form Summary: A four-time course and distance winner who typically races prominently. He was a little slow away and failed to settle on his most recent start here, which can be excused. He remains on his last winning handicap mark.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A C&D specialist who is dangerously well-handicapped on his best form.

    ◦ Weaknesses: His latest run was disappointing, and he needs to bounce back to be competitive.

12.2. Spotlight Verdict

Four-time course winner Castan could again make an impact if settling better this time, while Dark Kestrel also goes well here and has been supported a couple of times lately. He should be thereabouts again but preference is for ORBITAL CHIME (nap), who has shown he acts here and is the one obvious improver in the field. Something close to his latest effort could make him tough to beat.

[Jonathan Doidge]

Our attention now returns to Dundalk for the second division of their mile handicap.

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13. 7:00 Dundalk – Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div 2)

This is the concluding division of the 0-60 rated handicap over one mile, again with a purse of €10,000. The focus will be on last-time-out winners and horses who have shown a recent aptitude for the Dundalk surface, particularly if they are unexposed under these conditions.

13.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Wellwhatshappenin (Total: 234)

• Form Summary: After six unsuccessful runs for a previous trainer, this horse came good for his current connections when winning over 7f here in October off a mark of 54. He backed that up with a good runner-up finish behind a progressive rival last time out.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: In excellent form, with a recent win and a second to his name. Steps up to 1m off an unchanged mark.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Has been handed a very wide draw, which is a significant concern over this trip at Dundalk.

2. Hell Left Loose (Total: 231)

• Form Summary: This nine-year-old followed a wide-margin win on heavy ground at Gowran in October with a game victory over this course and distance last time out, running on well to win by a short head.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A last-time-out C&D winner who is clearly in great form. Retains the services of an experienced claimer and has a decent draw.

    ◦ Weaknesses: He is now 4lb higher in a competitive race and, as a nine-year-old, may be vulnerable to younger, more progressive rivals.

13.2. Spotlight Verdict

A wide draw is a worry for WELLWHATSHAPPENIN, but if he can overcome it, he has strong claims following a win over 7f here in October and a runner-up finish latest. Givehertilxmas makes his AW debut and, if reproducing her penultimate effort at Bellewstown, she is dangerous. Last time C&D winner Hell Left Loose and Alex Belardo round out the shortlist.

[Denis Harney]

The penultimate race from Newcastle is a specialist handicap for amateur jockeys.

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14. 7:15 Newcastle – Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Amateur Jockeys Handicap

This is a Class 6 handicap over 7 furlongs, restricted to amateur jockeys. In these races, horses who are straightforward to ride and have a good relationship with their regular amateur partner often have an edge. Course form is also a significant plus.

14.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Aisling Oscar (Total: 238)

• Form Summary: This ex-Irish four-year-old has been revitalised since joining his new stable, completing a double when holding off Concert Boy over 1m here on Tuesday. He is now unbeaten in two starts at this track.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Arrives in scintillating form, seeking a hat-trick. Unbeaten at the track and is officially 2lb well-in under a penalty.

    ◦ Weaknesses: This is a quick turnaround after Tuesday’s race, and he drops back in trip from 1m to 7f.

2. Concert Boy (Total: 227)

• Form Summary: A four-time track winner, this horse has been in superb form recently with figures of 2312 at this venue since October. He was narrowly denied by Aisling Oscar over 1m here on Tuesday and did well to overcome trouble when winning over C&D on his penultimate start.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A course specialist in the form of his life. He runs off an unchanged mark and the drop back to his winning trip is a major positive.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Needs to reverse the form with Aisling Oscar from their meeting just three days ago.

14.2. Spotlight Verdict

The resurgent 4yo Aisling Oscar made it 2-2 at Newcastle when completing a double here on Tuesday, but CONCERT BOY was only narrowly denied in that race and he has form figures of 2312 at this track since October. It’s a tight call in this rematch but Concert Boy is on an unchanged mark and may be able to come out on top this time. Spartan Fighter turned things around with a near miss here last week and could be a handful if he can back that up, while Pit Boss and Rory also enter the reckoning.

[David Moon]

The Dundalk card continues with a maiden test over a middle distance.

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15. 7:30 Dundalk – DundalkStadium.com Maiden

This is a maiden run over 1 mile, 2.5 furlongs for a prize of €12,000. The key to this race is identifying the horse with the strongest piece of form and the most scope for improvement, particularly those who are stepping up to a trip that should suit their pedigree.

15.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Seola (Total: 256)

• Form Summary: This Le Havre filly showed greenness on her first two starts before taking a big step forward over 1m here last month. She chased home a clear odds-on winner to finish second, with Land Of The Giants 2.25 lengths behind in third. The step up in trip is expected to suit.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Brings the strongest piece of form into the race after her excellent second last time. The application of a first-time tongue-tie and the step up in trip are potential positives.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Still lightly raced and needs to prove she can handle the longer distance, although her profile suggests she will.

2. Soaring Sun (Total: 222)

• Form Summary: The pick of this four-year-old’s four career runs came on his latest start over this course and distance when he was up with the pace throughout before finishing third. A reproduction of that effort would see him involved again.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Has proven form over this exact course and distance, which is a significant advantage.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Appears more exposed than his main rival and may be vulnerable to a horse with more potential for improvement.

15.2. Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 2-4-18, 4yo+ 0-0-7. The statistics are stark, with three-year-olds having won both recent runnings and boasting all the placed form.

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): Joseph Patrick O’Brien 0-1-3. The O’Brien yard has secured a place from three runners in this race’s recent history.

15.3. Spotlight Verdict

Second here last month over a mile, a first-time tongue-tie and a longer trip could see SEOLA (nap) get off the mark at the third attempt and confirm form with Land Of The Giants. A more dangerous threat could come from Soaring Sun, a decent third over C&D last time. Hallelujah Rose would have claims if staying this longer trip.

[Alan Hewison]

The penultimate race of the evening is an apprentice handicap over a staying trip at Dundalk.

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16. 8:00 Dundalk – Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Apprentice Handicap

This 0-60 rated handicap over 1 mile 4 furlongs is restricted to apprentice jockeys and has a prize fund of €10,000. The analysis will focus on recent winners with scope for more improvement and course specialists who have run well in similar contests.

16.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Power Of Prayer (Total: 252)

• Form Summary: After a promising handicap debut last month following a 183-day break, this three-year-old appreciated the step up to this trip when asserting late to win 16 days later. As a lightly raced type, he likely has more to offer.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: A recent winner who is unexposed at this distance and open to further improvement.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Has been raised 4lb by the handicapper, which will demand another step forward.

2. Someones Wish (Total: 249)

• Form Summary: This horse has run two solid races at Dundalk recently. He finished third behind Nibras Rainbow over 1m2f and then ran keenly but stayed on for third behind Numidia over 2m. The return to this intermediate trip looks ideal.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Has strong collateral form with recent winners in this grade. The drop back in trip appears to be a positive move.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Has been running well without winning and needs to find a little extra to get his head in front.

16.2. Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-2-10, 4yo+ 2-2-18. While younger horses have placed, the older runners have been responsible for the victories in this race.

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): Patrick J Flynn 1-0-1. The Flynn stable has a perfect 100% strike rate in this contest, winning with their only runner.

16.3. Spotlight Verdict

Lots of collateral form here with recent winners Numidia, Nibras Rainbow and the selection POWER OF PRAYER, the lightly raced three-year-old with likely more to offer off this 4lb higher mark. Someone’s Wish holds definite claims too on recent efforts here.

[Alan Hewison]

The final race of the day is a valuable and intriguing handicap at Dundalk.

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17. 8:30 Dundalk – Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap

The final race of the evening is a valuable handicap over 1 mile 4 furlongs with a €25,000 purse. This intriguing contest features smart dual-purpose horses, progressive stayers, and course specialists returning from a break, making for a fascinating puzzle to solve.

17.1. Top-Rated Contenders

1. Gaucher (Total: 368)

• Form Summary: A very smart hurdler who won a Grade 3 contest at Tipperary in October. He made his all-weather debut over 2m here last week as favourite, running keenly under restraint and wandering under pressure when finishing fourth, 1.75 lengths behind Gentleman Joe.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: Brings a high level of class from the jumps sphere. A stronger pace and the drop back in trip could suit him better.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Needs to settle better than on his debut and prove his class can translate effectively to this discipline.

2. Quatre Bras (Total: 295)

• Form Summary: A turf maiden who has been thriving on this surface, recording two wins over 1m2f, most recently off a mark of 76. In between those victories, he found Lady Lunette too strong over today’s longer trip.

• Chance Assessment:

    ◦ Strengths: In excellent form and clearly loves the surface.

    ◦ Weaknesses: Faces Lady Lunette on 7lb worse terms than when he was beaten by her over this course and distance, a significant challenge to overcome.

17.2. Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 3-2-8, 4yo+ 3-8-40. The win and place statistics are evenly split between the three-year-olds and the older horses, suggesting no significant age bias.

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): Denis Gerard Hogan 0-1-1. The Hogan yard has placed with its sole representative in this race’s recent past.

17.3. Spotlight Verdict

An intriguing handicap. LADY LUNETTE beat Quatre Bras over C&D in late October and can confirm the form with that rival who has since won over 1m2f and now meets the former on 7lb worse terms. Gentleman Joe ran well here last week but really wants further, while both Old Peculier and Tyson Fury can’t be ruled out despite both lacking a recent run.

[Alan Hewison]

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