1.0 Punchestown Racecard Analysis

Today’s eight-race National Hunt meeting at Punchestown is set to challenge competitors with heavy ground conditions across the card. The following detailed analysis delves into each race, leveraging the quantitative insights of TimeWise Master Ratings alongside expert form assessment to identify the key contenders and evaluate their prospects.

1.1 11.50 Matchbook Betting Exchange Rated Novice Chase

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Its Bilbo	297
St Faz	269

Form & Analysis

Its Bilbo A course maiden hurdle winner on his Irish debut just over a year ago, this four-year-old has been tested at a high level, including a run at Grade 2 level at Fairyhouse. He made a solid and satisfactory debut over fences when finishing fourth in a competitive event at Navan. Benefitting from a valuable 6lb age allowance in this contest, he commands serious respect.

St Faz Formerly trained by the late Edward O’Grady, St Faz brings plenty of experience to this race, including three wins over fences. While experience is a valuable asset, his recent form has been unconvincing. A key positive, however, is that he represents a stable currently in terrific form, which could spark a revival.

Overall Race Assessment

This contest presents a fascinating clash. Its Bilbo holds several key advantages: his solid chasing debut, a previous course victory over hurdles, and a valuable 6lb weight-for-age allowance. His profile suggests he is a leading contender. However, the Spotlight verdict highlights the “bright prospects” of Pure Steel after a promising Naas run, and at 9/4, he cannot be overlooked. While Its Bilbo’s allowance makes him a major player, he may have to be at his best to see off both the experienced St Faz and the promising Pure Steel.

Spotlight Verdict

Jimmy Mangan, who won this with the high-class Spillane’s Tower two years ago, saddles Pure Steel with bright prospects after a promising Naas run. However, he might not cope with the 4yo ITS BILBO, a course maiden hurdle winner who made a satisfactory chase debut at Navan. This trip is probably shorter than ideal for Chance Another One and Harvard Guy.

Alan Sweetman

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 1-2-4, 6yo 1-0-9, 7yo 0-0-1, 8yo 0-1-1

• Fate of Favourites: 16

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): James Joseph Mangan 1-0-1, Gordon Elliott 0-1-1, Henry De Bromhead 0-1-4, Thomas Gibney 0-1-1

1.2 12.20 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Argento Boy	328
Ballygunner Castle	325

Form & Analysis

Argento Boy Considered to be of similar ability to his stablemate Ballygunner Castle over hurdles, Argento Boy has valuable course experience. He secured a wide-margin maiden hurdle win here on heavy ground in February and subsequently competed in three Grade 1 events, suggesting he is held in high regard.

Ballygunner Castle This runner from the powerful Willie Mullins yard also possesses a high level of ability as a hurdler. He completed a hat-trick of wins in 2024 and placed in Graded races before a tame final run last season. The booking of stable jockey Paul Townend is a significant indicator of the stable’s confidence.

Overall Race Assessment

While both hail from the powerful Willie Mullins stable, the source notes Ballygunner Castle is “marginally inferior to Argento Boy on hurdle ratings”. Argento Boy also has a notable advantage in having previously delivered a commanding victory over this course on heavy ground, proving his suitability for today’s conditions. However, the booking of Paul Townend for Ballygunner Castle is a powerful statement and often proves decisive, making this a difficult puzzle to solve between the two stablemates.

Spotlight Verdict

Willie Mullins, who won this with the talented but ill-fated Dancing City last year and with the very useful Embassy Gardens in 2023, provides four runners. BALLYGUNNER CASTLE has Paul Townend aboard, and may prove best, though he is marginally inferior to Argento Boy on hurdle ratings. With the benefit of the age allowance, Kurasso Blue rates a serious threat. Butch Cassidy also looks capable of winning a race in this category.

Alan Sweetman

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 0-1-2, 6yo 0-1-5, 7yo 2-0-5, 8yo 0-1-3

• Fate of Favourites: 11

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): W P Mullins 2-0-3, Gordon Elliott 0-1-2, Henry De Bromhead 0-2-2

1.3 12.50 Matchbook Backs Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Fillyoureye	306
Whatsanotheryear	249

Form & Analysis

Fillyoureye Boasting a strong pedigree as a half-brother to the smart mare Colreevy, Fillyoureye made a highly promising start to his hurdling career. On debut at Fairyhouse last month, he chased home an odds-on winner over this trip on very soft ground, suggesting he is well-suited to the conditions and has a bright future.

Whatsanotheryear This gelding has shown ability in his previous runs over hurdles. After two runs over a shorter trip of 2 miles last month, the return to this longer distance is expected to suit him well and bring about improvement. He sets a decent standard with an official rating of 117.

Overall Race Assessment

Fillyoureye appears to set a very high standard and is the likely favourite. His strong breeding, combined with a promising debut performance, suggests he is a horse of considerable potential. Whatsanotheryear has more experience and has demonstrated a fair level of ability, with the return to a more suitable trip being a key factor. He sets a decent benchmark with his official rating of 117 but may be vulnerable to a rival with more potential.

Spotlight Verdict

No match for an odds-on winner at Fairyhouse on his first run over hurdles, FILLYOUREYE can prove equal to the task in a race in which the standard is set by the 117-rated gelding Whatsanotheryear and the 112-rated mare Zanoosh. Hurdling newcomer American Jukebox could test the selection, whose trainer’s Hens Tooth deserves respect as a point-to-point and bumper winner.

Alan Sweetman

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 1-4-18, 6yo 0-0-7, 7yo 1-0-3

• Fate of Favourites: 12

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): W P Mullins 1-0-3, Henry De Bromhead 0-2-2

1.4 1.20 Matchbook 50:50 Graduation Series Mares Novice Hurdle (Listed)

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Amen Kate	314
Switch From Diesel	313

Form & Analysis

Amen Kate After respectable runs in good bumper company, Amen Kate made a pleasing start over hurdles when third at Listowel before securing a straightforward victory at Galway. While she is open to further improvement, she appears held by her rival, Switch From Diesel, on their comparative bumper form.

Switch From Diesel A smart performer in bumpers, Switch From Diesel won three times and was twice runner-up to the top-class Bambino Fever in Graded events. She confirmed her class with a win on the Flat over 1m4f on heavy ground in October. Although she was defeated by an outsider on her hurdling debut at Navan, she is held in high regard and is expected to improve significantly from that run.

Overall Race assessment

In this competitive Listed race, the profiles of the top two contenders present a classic dilemma. Amen Kate brings a solid hurdling win to the table, but Switch From Diesel possesses a significantly higher level of overall form, evidenced by her smart bumper career and a recent Flat victory. Her defeat on hurdling debut is seen as a stepping stone, and given her proven ability in Graded company, she has the stronger credentials to excel at this level.

Spotlight Verdict

Despite having lost to an outsider on her hurdling debut at Navan, SWITCH FROM DIESEL (nap), a smart mare in bumpers and also a Flat winner, may prove too strong for the maiden winners here. Echoing Silence made a good impression when trouncing Divaboriva at Cork. The unbeaten 4yo Chosen Comrade may find one or two of her older rivals too strong.

Alan Sweetman

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-3-7, 5yo 6-4-23, 6yo 0-2-10, 7yo 0-0-3, 8yo 0-0-2

• Fate of Favourites: 134311

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Gordon Elliott 1-3-8, Henry De Bromhead 1-1-5

1.5 1.50 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Espresso Milan	262
Blue Velvet	261

Form & Analysis

Espresso Milan Formerly trained by Fergal O’Brien, Espresso Milan brings respectable bumper form to his hurdling debut. His three runs in that sphere included a commendable seventh-place finish in a large and competitive 22-runner bumper at the Punchestown festival, form which has been well advertised since.

Blue Velvet This mare made a winning start to her career under rules in a Thurles bumper a year ago. She subsequently ran with credit in Graded company, finishing third at Naas to end her season. Having been purchased for €170,000 after showing promise in her sole point-to-point, she is a mare of significant potential.

Overall Race Assessment

Both top-rated horses, trained by Willie Mullins, make their hurdling debuts. A comparison of their bumper form suggests Blue Velvet holds the stronger credentials; her record includes a victory and a creditable third in a Grade 2 contest, marking her as a mare with high potential. While Blue Velvet appears the stronger of the Mullins debutants based on bumper form, the Spotlight verdict suggests both may be vulnerable to the race-fit Newbrook Diamond, who brings the benefit of a recent hurdles run and hails from a yard in flying form.

Spotlight Verdict

With the Elliott team in flying form, NEWBROOK DIAMOND can benefit from the experience of a first hurdles run to account for the Mullins pair in a race that can be narrowed to three serious contenders with some confidence. Blue Velvet is a point winner and boasts stronger bumper form than Espresso Milan who showed ability for Fergal O’Brien.

Alan Sweetman

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 0-2-11, 6yo 1-0-2, 8yo 0-0-1

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): W P Mullins 1-0-2

1.6 2.20 Solo Arte – An Irish Art Gallery At Punchestown Hurdle

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Charlus	294
Plontier	286

Form & Analysis

Charlus This four-year-old showed fine form in defeat on the Flat over the summer and was a maiden hurdle winner at Naas on heavy ground last season. While his subsequent run in the Triumph Hurdle was poor, he is the selected runner of stable jockey Paul Townend today, a significant factor that demands respect.

Plontier A stablemate of the top-rated horse, Plontier also won his maiden hurdle last season before running a respectable race in a Grade 2 novice event. He has been in solid form recently, putting in good efforts in valuable Flat handicaps, and warrants consideration.

Overall Race Assessment

The key to this race appears to be the jockey booking from the powerful Willie Mullins stable. The decision for Paul Townend to ride Charlus suggests he is considered the leading chance over Plontier, despite the latter’s solid recent form on the Flat. However, analyst Tyrone Molloy looks beyond the Mullins pair, tipping Jigoro. Despite some below-par recent efforts, he is still rated 133 in this sphere and could improve after a break, making him a significant threat to all.

Spotlight Verdict

Though JIGORO hasn’t been at his best on last few starts, including over fences, he is still rated 133 in this sphere and can improve on his run last time after a break. As the Willie Mullins selected runner, Charlus has to be respected, though his stablemate Plontier can’t be ignored either.

Tyrone Molloy

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 1-1-4, 5yo 0-0-3, 6yo 0-1-3, 7yo 0-0-1, 8yo 0-0-1, 9yo 1-1-2

• Fate of Favourites: 12

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): W P Mullins 2-0-4

1.7 2.50 Matchbook Best Odds On Festive Racing Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Cosmo Renfro	221
Yoursimplythebest	217

Form & Analysis

Cosmo Renfro A dual hurdle winner for his previous yard, including a victory over this trip, Cosmo Renfro showed a welcome return to form on his debut for the Gavin Cromwell stable. After two poor runs, he bounced back to finish a remote second at Limerick, a performance he will need to build upon.

Yoursimplythebest This horse has shown marked improvement in his recent handicap runs, finishing third at both Sligo and Punchestown over 2m4f. He remains on an unchanged mark, which gives him a solid chance, but he faces a new challenge today as he steps up to this longer trip for the first time.

Overall Race Assessment

This handicap presents a choice between proven stamina and progressive form. Cosmo Renfro has the distinct advantage of being a previous winner over this 3-mile trip, while Yoursimplythebest is consistent but has stamina to prove. While both hold claims, the Spotlight verdict makes a case for Teds Corner, who was a beaten favourite over 2m4f last time and is expected to relish this step up in trip, potentially recouping those losses.

Spotlight Verdict

A beaten favourite when 12l behind at Fairyhouse last time over 2m4f, TEDS CORNER can recoup those losses stepped up in trip today. Take Chance has a shout if the cheekpieces work as well as last time. Yoursimplythebest won’t be far away if staying this trip.

Tyrone Molloy

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-2, 5yo 1-4-11, 6yo 1-1-23, 7yo 0-2-9, 8yo 1-1-6, 9yo 0-1-4, 10yo 0-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1, 12yo 0-0-1

• Fate of Favourites: 131

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Gavin Cromwell 1-0-1, P J Rothwell 1-0-2, A J Martin 0-1-3, Brian M McMahon 0-1-2, D E Fitzgerald 0-1-1

1.8 3.23 Matchbook Best Odds On Festive Racing Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Pebble Bleu	270
Lough Nigara	241

Form & Analysis

Pebble Bleu A versatile performer, Pebble Bleu is a chase winner at this track and finally got off the mark over hurdles with a narrow victory at Tramore (2m5f) last time out. The step up to this 3-mile trip should be well within his compass, and he arrives in winning form.

Lough Nigara This maiden has been a model of consistency recently, running two “cracker” races in defeat at Fairyhouse over this trip on his last two outings. Although he has been raised another 2lb for his placed efforts, he is very likely to be closely involved once again.

Overall Race Assessment

The top two contenders offer different propositions: the winning form of Pebble Bleu versus the consistent placed efforts of Lough Nigara. While Pebble Bleu arrives with winning momentum and a proven liking for the track, his 4lb rise for a narrow victory presents a challenge. In contrast, Spotlight analyst Tyrone Molloy makes a compelling case for the consistent maiden Lough Nigara, who has run two “cracker” races in defeat and may finally get his day if ridden more prominently.

Spotlight Verdict

Having come from a fair bit back to be second at Fairyhouse lastg time over this trip, LOUGH NIGARA could go one better if able to lay a bit closer. Pebble Bleu should go close even with a 4lb penalty for her Tramore success last time. Sallap had every chance when falling at the last last time and is a player. County Champs can go well if handling this ground.

Tyrone Molloy

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-2, 5yo 1-4-11, 6yo 1-1-23, 7yo 0-2-9, 8yo 1-1-6, 9yo 0-1-4, 10yo 0-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1, 12yo 0-0-1

• Fate of Favourites: 131

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): P J Rothwell 1-0-2, Brian M McMahon 0-1-2, F G Hand 0-1-1, Patrick T Foley 0-1-1

As the action concludes at Punchestown, our focus shifts to the evening’s all-weather meeting at Chelmsford City.

2.0 Chelmsford City Racecard Analysis

The evening entertainment comes from Chelmsford City, with a competitive eight-race evening card on the Polytrack surface. The analysis continues to leverage the TimeWise Master Ratings, pinpointing the key contenders in each race to provide a comprehensive guide to the action.

2.1 5.00 Sky Bet Club Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Cardinal Point	252
Enthused	226

Form & Analysis

Cardinal Point This filly has an excellent record at this track, having run well in all three of her starts here. This includes a last-ditch success over 1m5f in October, and she has produced even better form in defeat in two subsequent runs. She is highly likely to be involved in the finish again.

Enthused A previous course winner over 1m2f in June, that victory was achieved under an inexperienced amateur. His jockey today, Miss Evie Lee, is having only her third start under rules. While he has been in fair form over hurdles recently, other contenders hold more appeal back on the Flat.

Overall Race Assessment

Cardinal Point boasts a rock-solid profile as a course specialist who is currently in excellent form. In contrast, Enthused has a more mixed profile with concerns over his jockey’s inexperience and recent focus on hurdling. While Cardinal Point’s claims are compelling among the top-rated pair, the Spotlight verdict tips up Captain Robert. He has gone close on his last two starts, is 3lb well-in, and appears to be building towards a victory, making him a major player against the course specialist.

Spotlight Verdict

Spectacular Style was given a fine ride when winning at Wolverhampton in October but a 6lb rise isn’t excessive given he came home 12l clear of his rivals. He is high on the list, along with the in-form pair Cardinal Point and Daaris, but CAPTAIN ROBERT is building up to something bigger and this could be his day.

Paul Smith

Race Statistics

No specific race statistics were available in the provided context for this race.

2.2 5.30 Sky Bet For The Fans Nursery Handicap

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Mythical Night	223
Kuiama	223

Form & Analysis

Mythical Night After showing little in her first two starts, this filly improved significantly when finishing runner-up in a Brighton maiden in August. That form has been boosted by subsequent wins for the first and fourth-placed horses. Returning from a break with cheekpieces now applied, she should have more to offer on her nursery debut and is respected.

Kuiama This filly has strong recent course-and-distance form, having finished runner-up on her stable debut here in October. She went one better at Wolverhampton next time out, and her latest run is excusable as she likely went off too fast. Racing off a mark only 2lb higher than for her penultimate run, she is a key player.

Overall Race Assessment

The joint top-rated runners present a classic contrast. Mythical Night offers unexposed potential with form that has been boosted, while Kuiama offers the more solid proposition of proven course form and a recent win. However, the Spotlight vote goes to Forceful Lady. She made a bold bid when a clear second at Wolverhampton and is considered open to more progress on this drop back in trip, potentially having the edge on them all.

Spotlight Verdict

Several have possibilities but the vote goes to FORCEFUL LADY, who made a bold bid when a clear second at Wolverhampton and is open to more progress on this drop back in trip. Far Too Fizzy, who scored over C&D on his penultimate run, is feared most ahead of last month’s Wolverhampton winner Kuiama. Another to consider is nursery newcomer Mythical Night, who showed clear promise at Brighton in August and looks interesting with cheekpieces added on her return.

David Moon

Race Statistics

No specific race statistics were available in the provided context for this race.

2.3 6.00 Irish EBF Future Stayers’ Novice Stakes

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Naqada King	313
York Tower	283

Form & Analysis

Naqada King A $200,000 yearling, he made a promising start to his career on debut at Kempton last month. He finished second behind a well-backed and impressive 5-length winning stablemate. With that experience under his belt, he is expected to be more streetwise today and is respected.

York Tower Despite being a 20-1 outsider on his debut at Yarmouth in October, this colt finished with a powerful late run to be a close second behind an odds-on favourite. That was a highly promising effort, and he is expected to improve for the experience.

Overall Race Assessment

This contest features two very promising individuals based on their debut runs. York Tower sets a “fair standard” with his eyecatching performance and is considered a “big player” with expected improvement. Naqada King also made an excellent first impression and, being more “streetwise” for the experience, is a respected opponent. It promises to be a close-run affair between two colts with bright futures.

Spotlight Verdict

Naqada King made a promising start when runner-up behind an impressive stablemate at Kempton last month but slight preference is for YORK TOWER, who was a close second on his Yarmouth debut in October and sets a fair standard on that eyecatching effort. Another interesting contender is the Gosdens’ well-bred newcomer Quartermaster who cost 140,000gns as a yearling.

David Moon

Race Statistics

No specific race statistics were available in the provided context for this race.

2.4 6.30 Sky Bet Matchday Assist Restricted Novice Stakes

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Turku	273
Gatehouse	262

Form & Analysis

Turku This colt showed improvement from his debut when finishing fifth of 14 in a 1m novice race here five weeks ago. He shaped as though the step up to today’s 1m2f trip would be beneficial, but he will still require significant improvement to feature.

Gatehouse Having been sent off as the 5-2 second favourite, Gatehouse ran on well to finish second in a Lingfield maiden nine days ago. That performance is considered the best piece of form on offer in this race, and he showed plenty of promise for the future.

Overall Race Assessment

The analysis points clearly towards Gatehouse as the stronger contender. He brings the “best form” into the race and showed “plenty of promise” in his last outing. While Turku has shown some ability and may improve for the longer trip, he needs to find “major improvement” to challenge the standard set by Gatehouse. This appears to be an excellent opportunity for Gatehouse to go one better.

Spotlight Verdict

Hot To Hot (second choice) and Norcross Brow showed promise with the late progress they made last time but not as much as GATEHOUSE who had Hot To Hot 7l behind at Lingfield. This should be a fine opportunity for Sean Woods’s charge to go one better. New Bay Star and Turku have also shown some ability.

Richard Austen

Race Statistics

• Fate of Favourites: 54331

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Charlie Fellowes 0-1-1

2.5 7.00 Fergus Haddow Loyal Stayer Handicap

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Alligator Alley	298
Cloud King	290

Form & Analysis

Alligator Alley The return to the all-weather has revived this horse’s fortunes, culminating in a victory over Cloud King at Southwell 13 days ago. That form looks solid, and a subsequent 3lb rise in the weights is not considered excessive given his ability in his younger days.

Cloud King A comfortable course-and-distance winner in August, Cloud King finished second to Alligator Alley last time out but had his momentum checked at a crucial stage and would have finished closer with a clean run. He now meets his rival on 3lb better terms.

Overall Race Assessment

This race sets up an intriguing rematch between the top two. While Alligator Alley is in resurgent form, the circumstances strongly favour his rival. Now 3lb better off at the weights and with a legitimate excuse for his last run when his momentum was checked, Cloud King has a clear opportunity to reverse the form. As a previous C&D winner with more to offer on the AW, he profiles as a “leading contender”.

Spotlight Verdict

Diomed Spirit and Alligator Alley arrive on the back of wins and are respected but this may rest between the Robert Cowell-trained pair Almaty Star and CLOUD KING (nap). Preference is for the latter, who finished behind Alligator Alley 13 days ago but after having his momentum checked 1f out. He looked good over C&D in August on his only run at this track and remains capable of better on AW.

Paul Smith

Race Statistics

No specific race statistics were available in the provided context for this race.

2.6 7.30 Sky Bet Acca Freeze Novice Stakes

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Champagne Powder	261
Rastnet	252

Form & Analysis

Champagne Powder This horse possessed useful form when trained in France early in his career. While his progress has stalled slightly, his two recent defeats in Britain still represent a strong level of form in the context of this race, setting a clear standard for his rivals to aim at.

Rastnet A consistent performer, Rastnet has finished second in a pair of 1m novice events at Kempton this autumn. He remains capable of better and is a key danger, but he has found others to have achieved more in his races to date.

Overall Race Assessment

This novice stakes presents a good opportunity for Champagne Powder to get off the mark. His form, particularly his earlier French runs, sets him apart from this field. Rastnet is the most obvious danger, bringing a consistent and solid profile to the race. However, while he can be expected to feature, he may once again find one too good in the shape of the top-rated contender.

Spotlight Verdict

Rastnet (second choice) remains capable of better and can feature, while both Oceans Five and Thermal Energy are bred to leave their inauspicious debut runs well behind. That said, CHAMPAGNE POWDER looks to have been found a good chance to belatedly shed his maiden tag.

Paul Smith

Race Statistics

No specific race statistics were available in the provided context for this race.

2.7 8.00 Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Two Tempting	366
Blue Rc	338

Form & Analysis

Two Tempting This six-year-old was described as “better than ever” when readily winning at Kempton three weeks ago. He is a previous winner at Chelmsford, boasting a 100% record from his only start here, and a 4lb rise for his recent victory may not be enough to stop him.

Blue Rc A lightly raced and progressive three-year-old, Blue Rc has won three of his six starts. He produced a career-best effort when second at Kempton seven weeks ago, notably doing best of those who raced close to a strong early pace, a run which strongly suggests he is capable of winning off this mark.

Overall Race Assessment

This handicap features two contenders with very strong claims. Two Tempting represents the proven, in-form horse who is a course winner and arriving at the top of his game. In contrast, Blue Rc is the unexposed, progressive three-year-old with significant potential for further progress. His profile suggests he is not yet the finished article and, with the potential for further progress after just six starts, his claims may hold a slight edge.

Spotlight Verdict

Serengeti made an encouraging start for new connections at Wolverhampton and the return to 1m could be beneficial on that evidence. Bravais needs a market check on his first run for Ian Williams but Two Tempting and BLUE RC appeal most. The former was better than ever when winning at Kempton three weeks ago but Blue Rc is open to further progress after just six starts and his latest Kempton second, when only giving best to a more patiently ridden course specialist, offered significant hope that this mark was in range.

Paul Smith

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 3-3-18, 4yo+ 7-13-61

• Fate of Favourites: 4243411202

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Ed Walker 1-0-1, David O’Meara 0-2-8, Ian Williams 0-1-3

2.8 8.30 Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK Handicap

TimeWise Top-Rated Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Love Your Work	264
Liv My Life	257

Form & Analysis

Love Your Work A prolific all-weather winner, this nine-year-old veteran is currently enjoying a “purple patch” of form. He followed a Kempton win in October with a course victory over 1m2f just two weeks ago. He is in the form of his life but faces a 5lb higher mark in a stronger race today.

Liv My Life This mare is a consistent performer at this level. She won at Southwell off today’s mark in January and was only headed close to home when finishing second at Wolverhampton 17 days ago. She can be relied upon to run her race and should remain competitive.

Overall Race Assessment

The veteran Love Your Work arrives in a “purple patch” of form, but faces a tougher assignment off a 5lb higher mark. Liv My Life offers a more consistent profile at this level. While both are respected, the Spotlight’s marginal preference is for Tonal. He arrives in fine form after two recent wins, had a legitimate excuse when caught wide in his hat-trick bid last time, is 2lb well-in, and holds strong claims to get back to winning ways.

Spotlight Verdict

A competitive race of its type. Rajinoora is still open to improvement and appeals as being ahead of her mark but she has a four-month absence to overcome and she’s drawn widest too. Marginal preference is for TONAL, who arrives in fine form and is better drawn today than when second at Kempton in his recent hat-trick bid.

Paul Smith

Race Statistics

No specific race statistics were available in the provided context for this race.