This document provides a detailed, data-driven assessment of every race at the Dundalk and Southwell meetings for Friday, December 12th, presented in chronological order. The analysis identifies the top two contenders in each race based on TimeWise Master Ratings and evaluates their chances based on form, statistics, and expert commentary to provide a comprehensive view of each contender’s chances.

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1. 4.30 Southwell – Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Alasrae	264
Guernsey Angel	247

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Alasrae showed considerable promise on his stable debut for George Boughey at Kempton last week. Finishing second over 6f, he was noted as being “badly impeded” by the winner in the closing stages, suggesting the performance was better than the result. The key question today is whether he will cope with the drop back to 5f, but the speed shown in that run indicates he should be sharp enough to handle it.

Guernsey Angel has demonstrated solid form in nurseries, securing a well-backed win on her handicap debut at Wolverhampton in October. She confirmed that ability with a respectable third-place finish at Lingfield last month. The commentary suggests she “remains capable of better,” and her consistency makes her a reliable contender in this field.

The key question is whether Alasrae’s untapped potential outweighs Guernsey Angel’s proven form. Granted a clear passage, Alasrae appears to have the scope to overcome this field, though the shorter trip is a slight unknown. Guernsey Angel is a solid alternative and the Spotlight’s second choice, but Alasrae looks the one with the superior upside.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 2yo 1-2-12

• Fate of Favourites: 30

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r): George Boughey 2-0-2

Spotlight Verdict

Only six runners but still more competitive than many nurseries run at this time of year. Guernsey Angel (second choice) and Noelies Dream are high on the list but ALASRAE ran a good race on last week’s stable debut and it is unlikely we have seen the best of him just yet.[Paul Smith]

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2. 4.45 Dundalk – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Fox In Flight	296
Amiata	291

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Fox In Flight arrives with winning momentum, having successfully dropped back in trip to score over this course and distance just nine days ago. That performance confirmed his versatility and effectiveness on this surface. However, the expert analysis notes that he faces a “much more competitive race” today, which will test the true quality of that recent victory.

Amiata put in a “tame effort” on his all-weather debut here four weeks ago, finishing as an unplaced favourite. However, there are reasons to expect a significant bounce-back. He was previously noted as “unlucky in running” and the return to a sharp 5f trip could be exactly what he needs. Furthermore, the 5lb claim from jockey Nicola Burns is a significant advantage that enhances his prospects considerably.

This race likely hinges on whether Amiata can recapture his best form under these more suitable conditions. While Fox In Flight has a recent C&D win to his name, he faces a tougher grade. Amiata, with a significant weight allowance and a return to his optimal trip, has a compelling profile to reverse his fortunes and confirm the Spotlight’s confidence.

Key Race Statistics

• Fate of Favourites: 4131

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Daniel James Murphy 1-0-2

    ◦ Jack W Davison 1-0-2

    ◦ M D O’Callaghan 1-1-2

Spotlight Verdict

Strictly on last month’s 6f clash, Sovereign Edge has an edge over AMIATA, whose best 5f form earns him the vote to make amends, with the help of the 5lb claimed by Nicola Burns. Final Melody also holds a definite chance. [Alan Sweetman]

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3. 5.00 Southwell – Win £250,000 With BetMGM’s Golden Goals Fillies’ Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Stateira	292
Mostar Dreams	256

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Stateira, a course winner on debut, returned from a break to produce a comfortable victory at Newcastle over 1m. She made all the running to beat Donna Nook convincingly. While she faces an 8lb rise in the handicap for that win, it was her first time employing front-running tactics, suggesting there could be more to come with that approach.

Mostar Dreams has a solid record on turf, with 3 wins from 21 starts, and made a promising all-weather debut when finishing a close third at Chelmsford over 7f. The primary question surrounding her chances is her stamina, as she is trying the 1m trip for the first time.

While Stateira must defy an 8lb rise, her commanding front-running performance at Newcastle suggests she may be an improved filly capable of doing so. Mostar Dreams brings a different profile, with a question mark over this new trip. Given the options, Stateira’s proven effectiveness under these conditions makes her the one to beat.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 2-2-9, 4yo+ 1-2-12

• Fate of Favourites: 223

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ George Boughey 2-0-2

    ◦ Gemma Tutty 1-2-4

Spotlight Verdict

Andrew Balding’s STATEIRA did get an uncontested lead at Newcastle but she still bolted up and that was her first time front-running. Enola Grey looked unlucky not to win at Redcar last time and this is more her scene. Mandana is unlikely to be far away back in trip, while Heed and Bridget’s View remain relatively unexposed.[Alistair Jones]

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4. 5.15 Dundalk – Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Una Matata	265
Launch Time	234

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Una Matata comes into this race in top form, having scored as the winning favourite over this course and distance just last week. That performance was not without its flaws, as she was noted to have hung right. She now faces a 6lb rise in the handicap, which will test her ability to remain competitive.

Launch Time lacks experience on the all-weather but brings compelling turf form into the race. His performances in the autumn, including a strong third at Navan (1m2f) and a creditable fourth over 1m at the Curragh, suggest he has the ability to be a major factor. However, as a 3-year-old, he must overcome a poor statistical trend for his age group in this race.

The race pits a proven course-and-distance winner against a contender with strong form on a different surface. Una Matata’s recent victory gives her a clear advantage, but the 6lb penalty and her tendency to hang could leave her vulnerable. Launch Time is a major threat if he can translate his quality turf form to the polytrack, though statistics are against his age group.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-6-46, 4yo+ 9-14-88

• Fate of Favourites: 6110011612

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Adrian McGuinness 2-0-5

    ◦ Andrew Slattery 2-0-4

    ◦ John C McConnell 1-1-13

    ◦ Denis Gerard Hogan 0-1-4

    ◦ Thomas Coyle 0-1-1

Spotlight Verdict

In an open race ZABEIR, unplaced here on his latest start, is the each-way suggestion in the belief that he can match the form of a Curragh third in October. Recent course form brings Una Matata, Copper Craft and Hale Bopp into the reckoning, while Launch Time appeals on his turf form. [Alan Sweetman]

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5. 5.30 Southwell – Read Meg Nicholl’s Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Uncle Nader	213
Baggot Street	209

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Uncle Nader showed marked improvement on his nursery debut at Chelmsford, finishing second over 1m. Despite “going freely” in first-time blinkers, he advanced his form significantly. The drop back in trip to 7f combined with a change in headgear could unlock further potential, making him a serious player.

Baggot Street is a consistent maiden who has been performing reliably at this level. Her most recent run saw her finish a respectable fifth over this course and distance, a performance that was by no means a step backwards. She offers a solid, if unspectacular, profile.

This contest weighs the high potential of the less-exposed Uncle Nader against the proven consistency of Baggot Street. If Uncle Nader settles better over the shorter trip, his clear scope for improvement makes him the most likely winner and a confident selection to confirm the Spotlight’s verdict.

Key Race Statistics

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Jack Jones 1-0-1

Spotlight Verdict

This can go the way of UNCLE NADER who took a step forward, despite going freely, when second on his first go in a nursery at Chelmsford and looks to have more to offer back in trip. The reliable Popty Ping heads the list of dangers with handicap debutant New Objective firmly in the picture too. Heated Moment and Watchdog also need factoring into this very open nursery.[Peter Entwistle]

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6. 5.45 Dundalk – Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Div I)

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Liberation Date	255
Gold Inn	253

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Liberation Date put in a very promising performance when finishing third over this course and distance five weeks ago. She was prominent throughout the race, demonstrating a professional attitude and a liking for the track. Based on that effort, she sets a strong standard and could be hard to beat with natural improvement.

Gold Inn also made her debut over this C&D, where she showed promise before she “ran out of steam in the closing stages.” The experience of that first run should bring her on significantly, and she is described as “likely to be capable of better with the run under her belt.”

The key dynamic here is the established form of Liberation Date versus the potential of Gold Inn. Having already demonstrated a high level of ability under these conditions, Liberation Date is the logical and solid choice to build on her debut and secure the win. Gold Inn has the scope to improve but will need to take a significant step forward to challenge the favourite.

Key Race Statistics

• Fate of Favourites: 14011

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Andrew Slattery 1-0-3

    ◦ Gavin Cromwell 1-1-4

    ◦ Joseph Patrick O’Brien 1-0-9

    ◦ Miss Natalia Lupini 1-1-3

Spotlight Verdict

It will not take much improvement for LIBERATION DATE to score here following a promising effort over C&D five weeks ago. Daring Grace and Girl Is On Fire are closely matched and can fight for the minor money with Gold Inn. [Alan Sweetman]

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7. 6.00 Southwell – Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM EBF Maiden Stakes (Div I)

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
John Harrison	212
Nanas Boy George	183

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

John Harrison, though sent off at big prices in his two runs, showed clear improvement on his second start over this course and distance. The commentary notes that he “could still have more to offer,” suggesting that further progress is possible as he gains experience.

Nanas Boy George has finished down the field in both of his career starts. The assessment that “handicaps will provide easier pickings in time” indicates that he may find this maiden contest a difficult assignment against potentially higher-caliber rivals.

While these two are the top-rated runners with racecourse experience, this maiden is likely to be dominated by well-bred newcomers. The Spotlight Verdict strongly suggests that debutants like Tales Of Wisdom from the powerful Charlie Appleby stable, or Empirical, are the ones to focus on. The experience of John Harrison may only be enough for minor honors at best.

Spotlight Verdict

John Harrison may prove the best of those with experience but the standard set is not a daunting one and it will be disappointing if this doesn’t go the way of a newcomer. Empirical and TALES OF WISDOM stand out and the latter is preferred for a stable that dominates these maiden and novice races through the winter months.[Paul Smith]

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8. 6.15 Dundalk – Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Div II)

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Great Plains Lady	261
Gonna Be Golden	229

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Great Plains Lady made an encouraging debut when finishing fourth over 6f at this track. She had to wait for an opening before staying on, suggesting she possesses both ability and a determined attitude. The step up to 7f today should suit her well and unlock further improvement.

Gonna Be Golden also shaped with considerable promise on her first start, finishing fifth of 14 runners over this course and distance. That initial effort provides a solid foundation, and as a lightly raced filly, she is open to natural progression.

The race appears to be a good opportunity for one of these promising fillies to get off the mark. Great Plains Lady looks particularly well-suited by the extra furlong and holds strong claims. However, the well-bred newcomer Duchess Of Kenli represents a top stable and adds a significant element of intrigue. While the top-rated selection sets the standard, the market must be watched for clues regarding the debutante’s chances.

Key Race Statistics

• Fate of Favourites: 14011

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Gavin Cromwell 1-1-4

    ◦ Joseph Patrick O’Brien 1-0-9

    ◦ Henry De Bromhead 0-1-2

Spotlight Verdict

Joseph O’Brien’s newcomer Duchess Of Kenli may prove the main danger to GREAT PLAINS LADY, whose debut fourth was promising. Gonna Be Golden also shaped quite well first time out. Two And Two could be primed to go well on debut. [Alan Sweetman]

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9. 6.30 Southwell – Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM EBF Maiden Stakes (Div II)

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Media Legend	244
Space Invasion	237

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Media Legend built significantly on his debut to finish a promising, running-on second in a Kempton novice race last month. That performance over 7f was visually impressive, and the expert view is that he “looks to have more to offer.” He sets a strong standard for the others to aim at.

Space Invasion hinted at ability on his debut when finishing sixth over this course and distance. While he was not an immediate factor in the finish, the experience is likely to bring him forward, and the analysis suggests he “can take a step forward now.”

Although Media Legend sets a high standard based on his Kempton run and is the Spotlight’s second choice, the strength of the Charlie Appleby yard with newcomers cannot be ignored. The well-bred debutant Wild Act poses a significant threat and could easily possess the quality to win first time out. Media Legend is the proven quantity, but the newcomer is a major danger.

Spotlight Verdict

Harry Charlton’s recent Kempton second Media Legend (second choice) seems sure to go close again but Charlie Appleby’s Oasis Dream debutant WILD ACT is bred to be well above average and is taken to make a winning start here. Fellow newcomer Alpine Culture is also well worth considering, especially if the market speaks in his favour.[Peter Entwistle]

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10. 6.45 Dundalk – New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Stadium Maiden

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Indigo Dream	260
Mveve	222

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Indigo Dream is the top-rated runner and brings a wealth of experience, having placed in four of her six maiden starts. Her most recent effort was a solid third over 1m here, where she raced freely. The drop back to 7f today should be to her advantage, allowing her to channel her energy more effectively.

Mveve has shown good form on the all-weather, including two placings over this course and distance. Her fourth-place finish in a C&D handicap just nine days ago was particularly eyecatching, as she finished her race off with a powerful late run. She appears to be in peak condition.

While Indigo Dream sets a solid standard on ratings, Mveve’s powerful finishing effort last time out suggests she is primed for a big run. Given her recent sharpness and proven liking for the C&D, she appears poised to finally break her maiden tag and represents the better proposition.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-11, 4yo+ 0-0-3

Spotlight Verdict

The top-rated Indigo Dream sets a solid standard and will appreciate the drop in trip after racing freely here over 1m last time. Ross O’Sullivan’s filly is likely to go well, but MVEVE boasts good form over C&D and should prove sharper for the run when an eyecatching fourth in a handicap here this month. Next in line is Mytimetoshine who has place claims on his AW debut. [Adrian Wall]

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11. 7.00 Southwell – Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Heretic	242
Bomb Squad	241

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Heretic was in fine form here in October, securing two victories over 1m. His most recent run resulted in a respectable fifth-place finish. While he is clearly effective at this track, the drop back to 7f is not a guaranteed positive and adds a layer of uncertainty to his chances.

Bomb Squad is a previous course and distance winner who arrives in good form. He has been unlucky in his last two starts, encountering trouble in running on both occasions which compromised his finishing position. He appears ready to strike when he gets a clear passage.

Given Bomb Squad’s repeated trouble in running over this C&D, he appears primed to capitalize on a clear passage and represents better value than Heretic, for whom the drop in trip poses a legitimate question. However, while the ratings favour this pair, the Spotlight Verdict makes a compelling case for the unexposed Rogue Identity as the day’s best bet (nap), and he must be considered a major threat to all.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-1-3, 4yo+ 1-1-9

Spotlight Verdict

Bullington Bry, Bomb Squad, Military Leader and Reginald Charles (second choice) all appear capable of winning a similar event but ROGUE IDENTITY (nap) is preferred. His recent stable debut was encouraging and he ran well at this track on debut. Still unexposed, he looks as though this drop back in trip could prompt improvement.[Paul Smith]

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12. 7.15 Dundalk – BAR 1 Betting Download New App Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Inishfallen	290
Dark Ace	281

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Inishfallen makes his stable and Irish debut in this contest. His only previous all-weather start resulted in a victory as a two-year-old, and a return to this surface could be the catalyst for a return to form after some lesser efforts on turf. He is an intriguing, unexposed quantity on this surface.

Dark Ace is a dual course and distance winner who is in excellent current form. He produced a strong performance here last time out when finishing runner-up to an impressive winner. While his wide draw is not ideal, his proven effectiveness under these conditions makes him a highly respected contender.

The assessment of this race involves weighing the unknown potential of Inishfallen on his first start for a new yard against the proven and recent C&D form of Dark Ace. Dark Ace is the more solid and reliable option given his current vein of form, but Inishfallen’s profile suggests he could be well-handicapped if the switch of stable and surface brings about a revival.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-18, 4yo+ 9-18-90

• Fate of Favourites: 2561120661

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ David Marnane 2-4-9

    ◦ Adrian McGuinness 1-3-11

    ◦ Anthony McCann 1-0-2

    ◦ Patrick J McKenna 1-1-2

    ◦ Miss Natalia Lupini 0-1-1

Spotlight Verdict

Denis Hogan saddles three in this competitive handicap but SPORTING HERO looks best equipped to come home in front. A market check is advised for Inishfallen on his Irish/stable debut, while topweight Little Queenie shouldn’t be far away under a capable 10lb claimer. Dark Ace arrives here on top form and is another for the shortlist. [Adrian Wall]

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13. 7.30 Southwell – Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Blazeon Five	326
Sax Appeal	310

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Blazeon Five is in the form of her life, arriving here seeking a hat-trick after impressive victories at Ascot and Nottingham. She is also a previous course scorer, confirming her effectiveness on this surface. Despite a 5lb rise in the handicap for her latest win, she is in such good form that she cannot be taken lightly.

Sax Appeal has been a model of consistency throughout 2025, racking up six wins, including one over 1m4f at this track. He confirmed his well-being with a solid fourth-place finish at Kempton just nine days ago and can be relied upon to be there or thereabouts once again.

This race features a fascinating clash between two in-form stayers. Blazeon Five is on a hot streak and looks difficult to oppose as she bids for the hat-trick. While the relentless consistency of Sax Appeal makes him a formidable opponent, the mare’s current momentum gives her the decisive edge.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-0-3, 4yo+ 1-3-11

• Fate of Favourites: 24

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Gay Kelleway 1-0-1

    ◦ Ian Williams 0-1-1

Spotlight Verdict

A few of these arrive with a question mark against them so this looks a very good opportunity for ENEMY to build on recent promise and resume winning ways. Fellow course scorer Blazeon Five rates the obvious threat in her hat-trick attempt with Sax Appeal also firmly in the picture in his bid to garner a seventh success of 2025. C&D victor Charging Thunder completes the shortlist.[Peter Entwistle]

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14. 7.45 Dundalk – Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
I’m Spartacus	259
Lismacbryan Hill	248

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

I’m Spartacus recorded his third course and distance win just nine days ago, impressively beating two of today’s rivals in the process. He has been handed a 4lb rise for that victory, but that is “more than offset” by his rider’s claim. Drawn well on the inside, he has very strong claims to go well again.

Lismacbryan Hill is also a recent C&D winner, having made all the running to score last time out. That performance was a step up, but he will need to find another level of improvement today to defy a 5lb higher mark in the handicap.

This contest looks likely to revolve around these two recent C&D winners, but I’m Spartacus holds the clear upper hand. With his recent handicap rise nullified by his rider’s allowance, he is effectively running off the same mark as his last win and is perfectly positioned to confirm the form. He is a strong selection, though it’s worth noting the Spotlight has made a compelling case for Masked Angel as their nap of the meeting.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 2-3-34, 4yo+ 6-13-74

• Fate of Favourites: 11434320

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Andrew Slattery 2-1-7

    ◦ Adrian McGuinness 0-1-8

Spotlight Verdict

Several of these are closely matched on recent form, but perhaps it is the turn of the frustrating MASKED ANGEL (nap) to finally put it all together. There isn’t much to separate I’m Spartacus, Sovereign Banter and Bowman on their recent clash, while Sakawakea should relish the drop back to this trip. [Adrian Wall]

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15. 8.00 Southwell – Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Speed Of Maajid	257
Beaumadier	253

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Speed Of Maajid appears to be on the verge of a victory. He ran very well at Wolverhampton two weeks ago, finishing strongly despite having to switch around rivals in the straight. He competes off the same handicap mark today and looks poised to strike if he gets a clear run.

Beaumadier is in excellent form, having won at Wolverhampton last month before a good second-place finish at Lingfield last week. However, his handicap mark looks challenging in the context of this race; he is now 9lb worse off with Popular Dream compared to their C&D meeting in October, which will make turning the tables very difficult.

Both top-rated horses bring strong recent form, but Speed Of Maajid looks better handicapped and ready to win. In contrast, Beaumadier faces a tough task at the weights relative to other rivals, notably Popular Dream, who is the Spotlight’s second choice. Speed Of Maajid’s profile suggests he is the one to side with from the top of the ratings.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-3-22, 4yo+ 4-7-36

• Fate of Favourites: 26351

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ Michael Appleby 1-0-5

    ◦ Scott Dixon 1-2-7

    ◦ Antony Brittain 0-1-3

    ◦ Robert Cowell 0-1-2

Spotlight Verdict

This is competitive with The Fixer, Speed Of Maajid, Captain Kinsella and Popular Dream (second choice) all having something to recommend them. WINCHURCH wasn’t able to show what he could do at Lingfield last time having been checked in his run up the straight and he could be the answer with headgear now added.[Paul Smith]

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16. 8.15 Dundalk – Happy Christmas From All At Dundalk Stadium Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Lady Kai	257
No More Kisses	234

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Lady Kai is a previous course and distance winner who confirmed her effectiveness here with a good runner-up performance last time out. She races off a 3lb higher mark today but is entitled to be competitive, and the application of a first-time visor could eke out further improvement.

No More Kisses produced a career-best performance last month when winning a 10.5f handicap by an impressive 5.5 lengths. The expert commentary noted she “couldn’t have won any easier.” While she faces a significant 9lb rise in the handicap and steps up in trip, her potential for further progress makes her a major player.

The key question is whether No More Kisses can overcome a 9lb rise for her dominant last-start victory. While Lady Kai is a consistent and reliable performer at this level, the sheer authority of No More Kisses’ win suggests she is a rapidly improving type fully capable of defying the handicapper and winning again.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-8, 4yo+ 1-2-18

• Fate of Favourites: 21

• Trainers In This Race (w-pl-r):

    ◦ John C McConnell 1-0-1

Spotlight Verdict

No More Kisses is improving with each run and bolted up here last month so must be respected from 9lb higher. Lady Kai and Trishuli River are closely matched and make the shortlist. Despite poor recent form figures, a chance is taken on AUTOCRAT. The five-time course winner wasn’t far away over C&D in October and the handicapper has offered him every opportunity if he can recapture his best form. [Adrian Wall]

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17. 8.30 Southwell – Make The Move To Midnite Handicap

TimeWise Master Top Two Selections

Horse	TimeWise Master Rating
Prince Quattro	270
Show Biz Kid	233

Analysis of Top Two Contenders

Prince Quattro has been a model of consistency on the all-weather recently, with form figures of 243. While today’s 1m4f trip is shorter than his ideal distance, the “galloping nature of this track should assist” his stamina-laden running style, potentially allowing him to be competitive.

Show Biz Kid recorded his sole career win at Yarmouth. His most recent outing was a fourth-place finish over 1m3f here, where he lacked the pace to make a serious claim in the finish. He remains a contender for a place but may lack the finishing kick to win.

This handicap appears to be an excellent opportunity for Prince Quattro. The long straight at Southwell should play to his strengths, mitigating the potential negative of the shorter trip. While Show Biz Kid has claims for a minor placing, Prince Quattro’s superior consistency and suitability to the track give him a clear and decisive edge.

Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-3-12, 4yo+ 3-5-29

• Fate of Favourites: 0113

Spotlight Verdict

Percy Willis steps away from Newcastle for the first time in a while, and It’s A Love Thing also needs considering in the hands of the 5lb claimer Cian Horgan. However, acknowledging that this 1m4f trip is on the short side, it could still pay to take a chance on PRINCE QUATTRO. The James Owen-trained runner is potentially better suited to this track (longer straight) than Wolverhampton. [Mark Rowntree]