Welcome to your comprehensive race-by-race analysis for the day’s cards at Catterick and Wincanton. This document provides a detailed breakdown of each contest, leveraging the quantitative power of TimeWise Master Ratings alongside expert form analysis and key statistical indicators. Our objective is to cut through the noise, identify the top contenders, and deliver a clear, credible assessment of their chances.

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1. 12:15 Catterick – AJA Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (3m1½f)

The day at Catterick kicks off with a competitive amateur jockeys’ handicap hurdle over a true staying trip. Success in this qualifier demands a potent combination of stamina, sound jumping, and tactical acumen from the saddle. Navigating this field requires a careful balance of quantitative ratings, which highlight proven ability, and qualitative form comments, which reveal crucial context about recent performances.

1.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

This section identifies the top two contenders based on the comprehensive TimeWise Master Rating system, which synthesizes dozens of performance variables into a single, powerful metric.

1.1.1. Top-Rated: Bollin Neil (Total Rating: 258)

A true course specialist on both the Flat and over hurdles, Bollin Neil arrives with strong credentials. His recent second to a progressive winner over this course and distance (C&D) marked a solid return to this discipline. Versatile regarding ground conditions and competing off a static mark, he holds solid claims.

1.1.2. Second-Rated: Born In The West (Total Rating: 241)

This six-year-old looked a horse to follow in the spring, winning at Catterick and running well over staying trips. However, his form has dipped this autumn, and he comes into this race with a significant question mark over his ability to handle soft ground, on which he is unproven.

1.2. Race Assessment

A holistic view of the race, combining the expert verdict with key historical statistics.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

The 5yo mare APIECEOVFORTUNE came clear with the runner-up to win at Southwell last month on her second handicap start and her pedigree provides optimism she can rise through the ranks. Course specialist Bollin Neil is feared most having finished second over C&D last time, with Farmer Jimmy also respected following his recent second at Wetherby. Joel Parkinson and Sue Smith continue in excellent form and the returning Kauto d’Amour is another possible player. [Ben Hutton]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 6yo 0-0-1, 7yo 0-1-2, 8yo 1-0-4, 9yo 0-1-2, 10yo 0-0-1

• Trainers In This Race: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 0-1-1

With limited historical data, the only recorded winner was an 8-year-old, suggesting proven stayers are at an advantage.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

The TimeWise ratings present a clear contrast between reliability and risk. Bollin Neil is the epitome of a solid proposition: he is a proven C&D specialist, arrives in good form after a strong recent run here, and is unconcerned by the ground. In contrast, Born In The West, while having shown promise earlier in the year, is struggling for form and faces unanswered questions about his suitability for soft ground. Based on the available evidence, Bollin Neil is the more dependable of the two highest-rated contenders.

From Catterick’s staying test, we turn to a fascinating two-horse chase at Wincanton.

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2. 12:30 Wincanton – PricedUp The Jumps ‘Chasing Excellence’ Beginners’ Chase (2m4f)

While featuring only two runners, this beginners’ chase promises an intriguing tactical matchup between two promising chasers. Both bring useful hurdling form to the table, and the analysis must dissect their respective careers and debut chase performances to determine which is better equipped to excel over the larger obstacles today.

2.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise Master Rating system has crunched the numbers on this head-to-head contest.

2.1.1. Top-Rated: Regent’s Stroll (Total Rating: 383)

A very promising novice hurdler last season, Regent’s Stroll signed off with a commendable second in a Grade 1 at the Aintree festival. He has a tendency to race “too freely,” which was evident on his chase debut, but that was still a good effort. The reapplication of a hood today could help him settle, unlocking further potential.

2.1.2. Second-Rated: Jeriko Du Reponet (Total Rating: 355)

Considered a “very useful hurdler,” Jeriko Du Reponet put a disappointing chase debut behind him with an improved performance at Kempton last month to finish second. While he needs to find further progress, he has clear potential over fences.

2.2. Race Assessment

A deeper dive into this two-horse race.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Useful hurdler Jeriko Du Reponet was not given a hard time when second in a Kempton beginners’ chase last month and can improve over fences at some stage but his best hurdling form came at around 3m and ready preference here is for REGENT’S STROLL, who was an exciting novice hurdler last season and made a good start to his chasing career last month. [Chris Wilson]

1.2.2. Top Two Contender Analysis

This is a classic head-to-head between two high-potential chasers. Jeriko Du Reponet brings solid form and the scope to improve, having shaken off the rust from his first chase attempt. However, Regent’s Stroll possesses a higher ceiling of ability, as demonstrated by his Grade 1 placed form over hurdles. His chase debut was a good start, and if the refitted hood helps him conserve energy, he has the raw talent to dominate. The Spotlight Verdict concurs, suggesting Regent’s Stroll’s exciting novice hurdle career and positive start over fences means he “ought to be a very tough nut to crack.”

The action now heads back north for a competitive juvenile hurdle at Catterick.

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3. 12:45 Catterick – Download The Raceday Ready App Now Juvenile Hurdle (1m7½f)

This contest brings together a fascinating group of three-year-old hurdlers from varied backgrounds, including accomplished French bumper winners and promising performers from the Flat. The key puzzle is determining which of these youngsters has the most scope for improvement in this sphere and the mettle to handle today’s conditions.

3.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise system has identified two key protagonists from this field of juveniles.

3.1.1. Top-Rated: Manganese (Total Rating: 343)

This filly made a deeply impressive hurdle debut at Leicester, showing tremendous grit to win despite being nearly carried out by a loose horse. That performance built on her winning bumper form in France. She carries a 7lb penalty for that victory and must now face males, but she is a key player for her in-form stable.

3.1.2. Second-Rated: Keyboard (Total Rating: 257)

After a promising stable debut on the Flat, Keyboard ran an excellent race on his first hurdles start at Musselburgh, keeping on well for second. He is clearly open to improvement in this discipline, but a key question remains as he is “unproven on softer” ground.

3.2. Race Assessment

Further analysis to contextualize the top-rated selections.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

The filly MANGANESE did extremely well to win on her hurdle debut at Leicester having suffered significant interference from a loose horse, and she can maintain her unbeaten record. Fair Flat performer Frank Stamper brings potential to his hurdle debut for the in-form Warren Greatrex and he may be the main danger ahead of Musselburgh runner-up Keyboard. [Ben Hutton]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo 9-17-101

• Fate Of Favourites: 111154112

• Trainers In This Race: Iain Jardine 1-0-1, Adam Nicol 0-1-1, Mark Walford 0-1-1, Tim Easterby 0-1-6

The strong record of market leaders in this race, with seven of the last nine favourites winning, suggests the betting is a highly reliable guide.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

This race pits proven toughness against raw potential. Manganese demonstrated not just ability but also a tenacious attitude to win on debut, a quality that will stand her in good stead. While carrying a penalty against males is a challenge, her will to win is a major asset. Keyboard showed plenty of promise at Musselburgh and is entitled to progress, but the potential for softer ground here is a significant concern. Given her proven resolution and ability to overcome adversity, Manganese holds the stronger claims despite the penalty.

Wincanton’s card continues with a true test of stamina for conditional riders.

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4. 1:00 Wincanton – Pricedup.Bet Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase (3m1f)

This conditional jockeys’ handicap chase is a thorough test of stamina for both horse and rider over an extended distance. Identifying the winner requires a sharp assessment of current form, handicap marks, and the impact of jockey claims.

4.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise system has pinpointed the following two runners as the leading contenders based on its comprehensive ratings.

4.1.1. Top-Rated: School For Scandal (Total Rating: 256)

This ten-year-old is a seasoned campaigner, as evidenced by his recent determined win at Windsor where he held on by a neck. He is now 5-33 over fences, but the handicapper’s reaction leaves him on a career-high mark, which could make him “a shade vulnerable.”

4.1.2. Second-Rated: Redbridge Rambler (Total Rating: 235)

Following a break, Redbridge Rambler has posted two respectable runs this autumn and now finds himself on the same handicap mark as for his clear-cut win at Chepstow in March. However, the analyst notes that confidence in his chances would be much higher on “good or faster ground.”

4.2. Race Assessment

A broader look at the race dynamics.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

It’s difficult to build a strong case for any of these but SHOT BOII is much better than he showed on last month’s seasonal debut and will be dangerous off his current mark if back on song. Born At Midnight (second choice) ran a big race when third at Hereford in October and should find this easier than his latest assignment. Lingfield winner The Big Reveal is next on the list. [Chris Wilson]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 1-0-2, 6yo 0-2-5, 7yo 2-1-9, 8yo 1-3-14, 9yo 0-1-4, 10yo 0-1-5

• Fate Of Favourites: 1654

• Trainers In This Race: David Pipe 0-1-1, Kevin Pickard 0-1-1, Neil Mulholland 0-2-3

This race has been a minefield for punters, with only one winning favourite from the last four renewals.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

The two highest-rated horses present classic handicapping puzzles. School For Scandal brings proven, recent winning form to the table but must defy a career-high mark to follow up. In contrast, Redbridge Rambler is attractively handicapped on his best form but may find today’s ground conditions working against him. It’s noteworthy that the Spotlight Verdict looks beyond this pair, highlighting the claims of Shot Boii, who is considered dangerous off his current mark if he can bounce back to form. This suggests the race is wide open, with the top-rated contenders facing significant challenges.

Back at Catterick, a field of novice chasers takes centre stage.

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5. 1:15 Catterick – Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Novices’ Handicap Chase (2m3f)

This novices’ handicap chase presents an opportunity for less experienced chasers to get off the mark over the larger obstacles. The field is a mix of recent hurdles winners making their chase debut and others with some chasing experience seeking to find improvement. Form over hurdles, potential for chasing, and current handicap marks are the key ingredients for success.

5.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise Master Rating system has identified two clear standouts in this contest.

5.1.1. Top-Rated: Passing Pleasure (Total Rating: 266)

This lightly raced five-year-old was a comfortable winner of a handicap hurdle at Musselburgh last week on his first start for a new stable. A runner-up in a point-to-point, he has the potential to offer more now tackling fences. He competes off the same mark as his hurdles win, making him a major player if he takes to chasing.

5.1.2. Second-Rated: Bataillon (Total Rating: 232)

While still a maiden after eight starts over hurdles, Bataillon is on a handy mark based on his previous form. His last run can be forgiven as it came after a long absence, and a much-improved performance would be no surprise on his chase debut for a respected southern yard.

5.2. Race Assessment

A deeper analysis of the race’s key factors.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Having won comfortably off this mark over hurdles last week on his stable debut, point runner-up PASSING PLEASURE is taken to follow up on his first chase start. Bataillon may be the chief threat for the Hobbs/White stable on his second run back from a long absence. Defence Witness and Mr Mahler are others who could run well. [Ben Hutton]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 2-2-8, 6yo 1-3-13, 7yo 1-2-13, 8yo 0-0-4, 9yo 0-0-4, 10yo 0-1-1

• Fate Of Favourites: 2105

• Trainers In This Race: Sam England 1-1-2

Younger chasers have dominated this event historically, with 5- and 6-year-olds accounting for three of the last four winners from a combined 21 runners, a key positive for the 5yo Passing Pleasure.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

Passing Pleasure presents an exceptionally strong profile. He arrives in peak form, is officially well-handicapped for his hurdles win, and has a point-to-pointing background that suggests chasing will suit. He sets a very high standard. Bataillon represents a danger, particularly as he is expected to improve significantly from his comeback run. However, he must prove he can translate his hurdles form to fences, whereas Passing Pleasure has all the momentum and a clear ratings advantage.

The action returns to Wincanton for a competitive novices’ hurdle.

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6. 1:30 Wincanton – PricedUp Daily Racing Boosts Novices’ Hurdle (2m4f)

This novices’ hurdle brings together a field of promising young jumpers, many of whom have shown ability in point-to-points or bumpers. The challenge is to weigh the proven form of recent winners against the untapped potential of those who may have had excuses on their hurdling debuts.

6.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise system has crunched the data to identify the top two prospects in this novice event.

6.1.1. Top-Rated: Gatineau Park (Total Rating: 314)

An Irish point winner, Gatineau Park built on his encouraging rules debut to win a Lingfield maiden hurdle last month. He carries a 7lb penalty for that victory and will likely need to improve again to win, but further progress is certainly possible.

6.1.2. Second-Rated: Piping Rock (Total Rating: 297)

After placing in an Irish point-to-point, Piping Rock made a very pleasing start to his career under rules when a clear second at Windsor last month over this trip. That performance sets a solid standard, and he ought to play a significant role once again.

6.2. Race Assessment

A comprehensive look at the race dynamics.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Joyau Allen and Hold The Serve (preferred in that order) should both be capable of considerably better than they showed on their hurdling debuts and neither can be opposed with much confidence. However, Windsor runner-up PIPING ROCK looks much less risky and is given the vote. Lingfield maiden winner Gatineau Park is also likely to be on the premises. [Chris Wilson]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-3-18, 5yo 3-4-23, 6yo 1-1-8, 8yo 0-0-3

• Fate Of Favourites: 1111

• Trainers In This Race: Jeremy Scott 1-0-1, Joe Tizzard 1-0-1, Paul Nicholls 1-2-6, Emma Lavelle 0-1-2

The market has been an impeccable guide to this contest, with the favourite winning on all four of the last renewals.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

This race features a compelling clash between a recent winner and a promising runner-up. Gatineau Park has proven he can get his head in front, but the 7lb penalty makes his task significantly harder in what looks to be a competitive race. Piping Rock brings very strong form to the table from his Windsor second, and with natural improvement, he is a formidable opponent with no penalty to carry. While the Spotlight Verdict notes the unexposed potential of others, Piping Rock’s blend of proven ability and scope for progression makes him a very solid choice.

From Wincanton, we head back north to another novice hurdle.

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7. 1:45 Catterick – John Smiths Catterick – Raise A Pint Novices’ Hurdle (2m3½f)

This novices’ hurdle has attracted an interesting field, including a penalty-carrying Irish raider and several promising bumper performers making their debuts over obstacles. The analysis requires balancing the proven hurdles form of the Irish challenger against the latent potential of those transitioning from bumpers.

7.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise Master Rating system has analyzed the field and identified the following two as the leading contenders.

7.1.1. Top-Rated: Alba Crus (Total Rating: 271)

A bumper winner at Newton Abbot in June, Alba Crus was tailed off on his hurdles debut at Newbury. However, that was a much tougher race than this, and he has since undergone a wind operation. He cannot be ruled out for a stable in tremendous form.

7.1.2. Second-Rated: William Yeats (Total Rating: 266)

After finishing second in his only British point-to-point, William Yeats built on a runner-up bumper effort to make all and win nicely at Sedgefield last month. If he can transfer that promise to hurdles at the first attempt, he is expected to play a part.

7.2. Race Assessment

A deeper dive into the race’s composition.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Clonmel winner Court Canyon holds strong claims under a 7lb penalty but he takes on a few rivals who showed promise in bumpers. Top of the list is CARD LADY, who was third at Sedgefield last time and is just the type to continue to progress for Ruth Jefferson. Joeybottles was third in a warm bumper at Perth and is second choice. Nooneteĺlsmenothin and William Yeats should also have bright futures. [Ben Hutton]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 2-5-31, 5yo 4-9-39, 6yo 1-2-19, 7yo 1-0-4, 8yo 0-1-1, 9yo 1-0-2

• Fate Of Favourites: 223323141

Market leaders have a poor record, with only two winning favourites from the last nine renewals and none finishing better than second in the last six runnings.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

The TimeWise ratings favor two horses with differing profiles. Alba Crus has the benefit of a hurdles run under his belt and represents a red-hot stable, with the potential for his recent wind surgery to bring about significant improvement. William Yeats was an impressive bumper winner on soft ground, suggesting he will handle today’s conditions, and now needs to translate that ability to jumping. It is telling that the Spotlight Verdict prefers Card Lady, suggesting this race is wide open with several promising types making the transition to hurdles.

Next, we head back to Wincanton for a packed maiden hurdle.

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8. 2:00 Wincanton – Racing Blogger Maiden Hurdle (1m7f)

This maiden hurdle is packed with runners, presenting a classic puzzle for form analysts. The field includes horses with strong bumper form, those who have shown promise in their initial hurdle starts, and some who fell when holding every chance. Identifying the horse with the right combination of proven ability and potential for improvement is key.

8.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

After a thorough data analysis, the TimeWise system has highlighted these two runners as the ones to beat.

8.1.1. Top-Rated: Swingin Safari (Total Rating: 320)

A useful bumper performer and a course winner, Swingin Safari was in the process of running a huge race on his hurdles debut at Chepstow before falling at the final flight. The form of that race has proven to be very strong since. He is clearly the one to beat if he can complete the course.

8.1.2. Second-Rated: Bespoke Tailor (Total Rating: 290)

A bumper winner at Newcastle a year ago, Bespoke Tailor has made two promising starts over hurdles for his new stable this autumn. His most recent third-place finish in a Cheltenham maiden sets a high standard of form, and he is a respected contender.

8.2. Race Assessment

A comprehensive overview of this competitive maiden hurdle.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Bespoke Tailor ran a big race when placed at Cheltenham last month and probably won’t go down without a fight but SWINGIN SAFARI was in the process of making a very promising hurdle debut before his last-flight fall at Chepstow six weeks ago and that form has worked out very well in the meantime. Constellation Walk may interest each-way punters. [Chris Wilson]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 3-3-28, 5yo 1-6-28, 6yo 1-1-8, 7yo 0-0-3

• Fate Of Favourites: 21F21

• Trainers In This Race: Anthony Honeyball 1-0-4, Paul Nicholls 1-2-4, Ben Clarke 0-1-1, Harry Fry 0-1-1

Favourites have a strong record, winning three of the last five runnings and placing second in the other two completed races.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

This race appears to revolve around the top two rated horses. Bespoke Tailor brings high-quality, completed hurdles form to the race, having proven he can be competitive in a strong Cheltenham maiden. He sets a clear standard. However, the potential of Swingin Safari is immense. He was travelling like a winner in a now-proven strong maiden before his late departure. Assuming that fall has not dented his confidence, he possesses the ability to outclass this field. The Spotlight Verdict agrees, making him a clear top pick based on the strength of that Chepstow form.

Our focus shifts back to Catterick for a mares’ handicap hurdle.

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9. 2:15 Catterick – racingtv.com Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (2m3½f)

This handicap hurdle exclusively for fillies and mares presents a competitive puzzle. The field includes runners returning from absences, some dropping in the weights, and others who have shown glimpses of form. Finding the winner requires a close look at which mare is best handicapped and most likely to handle today’s race conditions.

9.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise Master Rating system has identified the following two mares as the principal contenders.

9.1.1. Top-Rated: Suitably Surprised (Total Rating: 233)

A dual winner last November, Suitably Surprised returned to form when finishing second of 15 at Hexham in June. She is in the mix if fully tuned up for this first outing since that run, but her fitness must be taken on trust.

9.1.2. Second-Rated: Stellarmasterpiece (Total Rating: 230)

This mare was no match for the front two when third on her handicap debut at Doncaster last month. However, she has an excellent record on the Flat at Catterick, and the return of cheekpieces, which she wore for her last two Flat wins, could spark improvement. She is versatile regarding ground conditions.

9.2. Race Assessment

A broader view of the race.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Somebodycometogether has been knocking on the door but this could go to STELLARMASTERPIECE (nap), who is lightly raced over hurdles and has won four times on the Flat here. Parikarma is third choice on his debut for Samuel Drinkwater, while Irish raider Caman Rocco could also have a big say. [Ben Hutton]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-3, 5yo 1-3-8, 6yo 1-0-6, 7yo 0-0-5, 8yo 0-1-4, 9yo 0-0-1

• Fate Of Favourites: 53

• Trainers In This Race: Chris Grant 0-1-1

With favourites failing to win in the last two runnings, this race has proven difficult for market leaders to solve.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

The top two rated horses present different arguments. Suitably Surprised has proven form off a similar handicap mark, but her chances are clouded by a 192-day absence. Stellarmasterpiece, on the other hand, is race-fit and returns to a track where she has excelled on the Flat. The reapplication of cheekpieces is a significant positive, and as a lightly raced hurdler, she has more potential for improvement than many of her rivals. The Spotlight Verdict strongly agrees, making her the ‘nap’ of the day based on her course form and potential to build on her last run.

The next race takes us back to Wincanton for a handicap chase.

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10. 2:30 Wincanton – John Stranger 80th Birthday Handicap Chase (2m4f)

This handicap chase features a field of established chasers, many of whom are familiar with the demands of this course. The race will likely be won by the horse who is best treated by the handicapper on the day and can put in a clean round of jumping. Assessing recent form against past performances at this track will be crucial.

10.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise system has analyzed the data and highlights the following two horses as the key players.

10.1.1. Top-Rated: Royal Mer (Total Rating: 278)

A five-time chase winner during the 2023-24 season, Royal Mer has a proven affinity for this game. Though inconsistent last term, he returns from a 263-day absence on a workable handicap mark. If fully tuned up for this reappearance, he has strong possibilities.

10.1.2. Second-Rated: Noahsgreatrainbow (Total Rating: 273)

This unexposed six-year-old looked very promising in bumpers but had a mixed time over hurdles. However, he showed significant improvement to finish a clear second in a novice hurdle at Hereford last month. He now switches to fences for his handicap debut and could have a great deal more to offer.

10.2. Race Assessment

A deeper look at the race dynamics.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

There are some risks attached to NOAHSGREATRAINBOW, who bled from the nose on both hurdle runs last season, but he took a pleasing step in the right direction when second at Hereford last month and, if his bumper form is a guide, he’s open to significant further improvement if all goes to plan on this chase/handicap debut. Diplomatic Ash is second choice, while Flash Gorcombe can benefit from today’s return to ground slower than good. [Chris Wilson]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 1-2-4, 6yo 1-2-6, 7yo 2-1-10, 8yo 0-0-5, 9yo 0-1-6, 10yo 0-1-2

• Fate Of Favourites: 0P23

• Trainers In This Race: Charlie Longsdon 1-0-2, Robert Walford 1-0-1, Joe Tizzard 0-1-1

Market leaders have consistently failed to win this race in recent years, suggesting value can be found elsewhere.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

This contest offers a fascinating clash between an established handicapper and an unexposed novice. Royal Mer has the proven chase form in the book and is on a fair mark, but his fitness after a long layoff is a major question. Noahsgreatrainbow is the horse with the most potential. His bumper form suggests he has considerable talent, and his recent hurdles run was a big step in the right direction. If he takes to chasing, he could be very well handicapped. Despite the risks highlighted in the Spotlight Verdict, his potential for significant improvement makes him a compelling contender.

We return to Catterick for a handicap chase over the minimum trip.

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11. 2:45 Catterick – Nick Robinson Memorial Handicap Chase (1m7½f)

Speed and slick jumping are the orders of the day in this handicap chase over the minimum trip. The field is small but competitive, featuring consistent performers and an Irish challenger. The race will likely be decided by which horse can travel and jump best at a strong pace.

11.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise Master Rating system has identified two key contenders in this speedy chase.

11.1.1. Top-Rated: Prospect House (Total Rating: 242)

A dual winner at Market Rasen earlier this year, Prospect House is a model of consistency, having run well in defeat on his last seven starts. His most recent effort was a good third at Musselburgh. He is a key player if the ground conditions suit, as he is unproven on soft.

11.1.2. Second-Rated: Toon Town (Total Rating: 231)

This Irish raider, while still a maiden over fences, has run creditably on his last two starts over intermediate trips on soft and yielding ground. The application of first-time blinkers could eke out further improvement, and he features prominently in calculations.

11.2. Race Assessment

A closer examination of the race.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Irish challenger TOON TOWN has been in pretty good heart on his last two outings and is taken to get off the mark over fences. Zero Tolerance can go well fresh and is second choice on his first outing since May. The consistent Prospect House is next on the list. [Ben Hutton]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-1-2, 5yo 0-1-5, 6yo 3-4-18, 7yo 2-3-17, 8yo 3-1-9, 9yo 0-3-10, 10yo 1-1-5, 11yo 0-1-4

• Fate Of Favourites: 61P141142

• Trainers In This Race: Micky Hammond 0-1-3, Peter Niven 0-1-1

Despite some mixed results, favourites have a solid record here, winning four of the last seven renewals where they completed the course.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

This race presents a choice between proven consistency and potential improvement. Prospect House is a reliable performer who is almost certain to run his race, but the question of his effectiveness on soft ground looms large. Toon Town, representing a shrewd Irish yard, has been running well and the addition of blinkers is a positive signal. He has also demonstrated an ability to handle softer conditions. The Spotlight Verdict sides with the Irish challenger, suggesting that his good recent form makes this an ideal opportunity to break his chasing duck.

Our penultimate Wincanton race is another mares’ handicap hurdle.

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12. 3:00 Wincanton – Download The PricedUp App Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (2m4f)

This is another competitive handicap hurdle for mares, featuring recent winners and handicap debutantes who could have untapped potential. The race will likely be run at a solid pace, and the winner will need to travel strongly and see out the trip well.

12.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise system has analyzed the runners and highlights the following two as the strongest contenders.

12.1.1. Top-Rated: Bobbi With An I (Total Rating: 293)

A winner of a novice hurdle here on heavy ground in January, Bobbi With An I has launched her handicap career with two excellent fourth-place finishes last month, including one behind Apples Moon at Exeter. She looks to be a major player in this contest.

12.1.2. Second-Rated: Apples Moon (Total Rating: 283)

This mare is in excellent form, having returned from a layoff to win at Exeter last month. That victory means she is now 3-5 in handicaps. She clearly has more to offer and must be taken very seriously as she bids to follow up.

12.2. Race Assessment

A deeper analysis of this mares’ handicap.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Apples Moon returned from a layoff with a hard-fought win at Exeter last month and remains lightly raced but preference is for the close fourth from that race BOBBI WITH AN I (nap), who has a 4lb pull today and can benefit more from both the change of venue and switch to slower ground. Handicap debutantes Riviera Walk and Border Gem are also of interest. [Chris Wilson]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-5, 5yo 0-4-15, 6yo 3-1-11, 7yo 0-1-2, 8yo 0-1-4, 10yo 0-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1

• Fate Of Favourites: 420

• Trainers In This Race: Harry Fry 0-1-1

Favourites are yet to win this race in its recent history, with a second-place finish the best result from the last three runnings.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

This race looks set to be a rematch between the top two rated horses. Apples Moon proved her resolution with a game win at Exeter and is clearly a progressive type. However, the case for Bobbi With An I is compelling. She finished close behind Apples Moon at Exeter but is now 4lb better off at the weights. Furthermore, her previous win at this track came on heavy ground, suggesting that today’s slower surface will be much more to her liking. The Spotlight Verdict makes her the ‘nap’ of the day, arguing that the combination of the weight swing and more suitable conditions can allow her to reverse the form.

The penultimate race from Catterick is the bumper.

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13. 3:20 Catterick – Racing Again 28th December Open National Hunt Flat Race (1m7½f)

This closing National Hunt Flat Race, or “bumper,” has attracted a fascinating field of young horses making their way in the sport. The line-up includes expensive purchases from the Irish point-to-point scene and runners from top Irish stables, making for a high-class and informative contest.

13.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise system has evaluated the limited data available and identified two clear standouts.

13.1.1. Top-Rated: Clay Pigeons (Total Rating: 233)

An Irish point-to-point winner, Clay Pigeons followed up with a bumper victory at Cork in April. He was subsequently sold for 95,000 euros and now has his first start for the powerhouse stable of Willie Mullins. Despite carrying a 7lb penalty, he could be tough to beat.

13.1.2. Second-Rated: Let It Settle (Total Rating: 226)

This filly from another top Irish yard has shown promise in both her bumper starts at Galway and Ballinrobe. She is fitted with a first-time tongue-tie and could have a significant part to play in the finish.

13.2. Race Assessment

A closer look at this intriguing bumper.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

An interesting little field in which CLAY PIGEONS carries a penalty but there was lots to like about his win at Cork and he can make a winning start for Willie Mullins. Mickey Bowen has been doing extremely well in bumpers this season and point runner-up Landsborough is second choice ahead of the Gavin Cromwell-trained filly Let It Settle. Diamond White and I C U In My Dreams both showed considerable promise in points and can’t be ruled out. [Ben Hutton]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 9-10-59, 5yo 0-6-21, 6yo 0-1-11

• Fate Of Favourites: 111153133

• Trainers In This Race: Micky Hammond 0-1-6

Punters have had the measure of this bumper, with the favourite winning five of the last nine renewals and placing in a further three.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

The Irish raiders dominate the ratings and the market conversation. Clay Pigeons has an outstanding profile: a point winner, a bumper winner, and now in the care of Willie Mullins. While the 7lb penalty is a significant burden, his connections are masters at placing their horses, and his presence here is a strong statement. Let It Settle also brings solid Irish form to the table and represents another top stable. Although Clay Pigeons has the penalty, his proven winning ability and the “Mullins factor” make him a formidable favorite.

The final race of the day comes from Wincanton.

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14. 3:30 Wincanton – Pricedup.Bet Handicap Hurdle (1m7f)

The day concludes with a competitive handicap hurdle over the minimum trip. This race requires a blend of speed and fluent jumping, and with a large field, a trouble-free passage will be essential. The contest features recent winners, unexposed types on their handicap debut, and course specialists.

14.1. TimeWise Master-Rated Selections

The TimeWise Master Rating system has analyzed this tricky finale and identified two key contenders.

14.1.1. Top-Rated: Birthday Angel (Total Rating: 302)

This mare is in the form of her life, supplementing a Flat win in October with two good-ground hurdle victories last month, the latest of which came over this course and distance. While this race is more competitive, she is in prime form and is not yet fully exposed over jumps.

14.1.2. Second-Rated: Poet Laureate (Total Rating: 280)

After a wide-margin win at Plumpton, Poet Laureate ran well for a long way before weakening on his handicap debut at Ascot. He drops in grade for this assignment and remains a horse of interest with potential for better.

14.2. Race Assessment

A final analysis to close out the day’s racing.

1.2.1. Spotlight Verdict

Several have possibilities in this competitive finale. The answer might be SAGE GREEN, who ran well for a long way when fifth on soft ground at Cheltenham last month and may be better suited by the forecast less-testing ground here. Oakley’s Way won in pretty good style at Taunton and is second choice, ahead of last year’s winner Phoenix Risen. Others on the shortlist are Sea Warrior, Star Artist and Spuddling. [Chris Wilson]

1.2.2. Key Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 1-4-12, 5yo 0-5-16, 6yo 3-3-16, 7yo 3-1-15, 8yo 1-0-6, 9yo 0-0-3, 10yo 0-0-2

• Fate Of Favourites: 11313416

• Trainers In This Race: Jeremy Scott 1-0-1, Paul Nicholls 1-3-5, Fergal O’Brien 0-1-1

Market leaders have an excellent strike rate, winning five of the last eight renewals of this competitive finale.

1.2.3. Top Two Contender Analysis

The TimeWise ratings favour the in-form mare Birthday Angel. Her recent C&D win is a major positive, and it is always wise to side with a horse at the top of its game. The main question is whether she can continue her progression in this tougher contest. Poet Laureate is an interesting contender, with the drop in class likely to help his cause after a respectable first run in a handicap. It is notable that the Spotlight Verdict looks elsewhere, siding with Sage Green, who is expected to appreciate the less testing ground today. This highlights the open nature of the race, but Birthday Angel’s current form and proven effectiveness at this track make her a strong contender.