Pace & Race Shape
Likely strong-to-even pace.
- Steel Ally: natural front-runner, almost certain to go forward.
- Push The Button: usually prominent, may track leader.
- No Questions Asked / Jax Junior: happy stalking in midfield.
- Personal Ambition: usually held up, needs rhythm and luck.
On soft ground at Ascot, pressing the pace without over-racing is often optimal. Front-runners can be vulnerable late if pressure applied.
Contenders Breakdown
🟦 No Questions Asked – Proven / Progressive (p)
RPR 161 | TS 153 | OR 144 | Score: 9/10
- C&D winner on chase debut, then excellent 2nd in G2 at Newbury behind Wendigo.
- That Newbury run is the clear form anchor in this field.
- Has won on soft (bumper) → ground no issue.
- Strong finishing profile, no pace dependency.
- Trainer (Pauling) 31% last 14 days – clear positive.
Profile: Looks the most complete novice here. Sets the standard on figures and form.
Red Team – Primary Win Candidate
🟦 Jax Junior – Promising (P)
RPR 152 | TS 146 | OR 139 | Score: 8.5/10
- Unexposed chaser (2 runs), emphatic Kempton win (12L).
- Previous hurdle form strong, including Ascot winner.
- Slight query: Kempton win came on good ground; now deeper test on soft.
- TS spike (146) suggests real engine.
- Yard quieter recently, but profile screams upside.
Profile: Likely better than current mark; main danger if handling conditions.
Red Team – Main Threat
🟨 Steel Ally – Progressive (p)
RPR 151 | TS 124 | OR 144 | Score: 7.5/10
- Carlisle chase debut win was visually strong.
- Proven on soft, progressive over hurdles.
- 3lb penalty + likely pace pressure today.
- Front-running style could be softened up by rivals.
Profile: Talented, but race setup may not be ideal.
Blue Team – Can Win if Dictating
🟧 Push The Button – Improving but Exposed
RPR 146 | TS 120 | OR 136 | Score: 6.5/10
- Solid novice chase form; honest and improving.
- Best hurdle form came at 3m, so trip may be on the sharp side.
- Needs career-best to trouble principals.
Profile: Place contender if others underperform.
Blue Team – Place/Pace Nuisance
🟥 Personal Ambition – Talented but Regressive
RPR 150 | OR 136 | Score: 4/10
- Nearly won this race last year, but form since is patchy.
- Pulled up last time; quirky and unreliable.
- Ability there, confidence questionable.
Profile: Needs revival; market watch essential.
Blue Team – Needs Everything to Fall Right
Runner Scores Summary
- No Questions Asked – 9/10
- Jax Junior – 8.5/10
- Steel Ally – 7.5/10
- Push The Button – 6.5/10
- Personal Ambition – 4/10
Private Tissue (My Odds)
- No Questions Asked – 6/4
- Jax Junior – 7/4
- Steel Ally – 3/1
- Push The Button – 8/1
- Personal Ambition – 20/1
(Current market broadly fair, slight value edge still with the favourite if holding 13/8+)
Summary – Race Reading
This looks a proper Grade 2 novice despite small field.
Steel Ally ensures pace, which should suit stalkers with stamina and class. On balance, the horse with the best recent Grade 2 form, proven track suitability, and strongest finishing profile is the one to side with.
🧠 Smart Play (Chatgpt View)
Top Win Bet:
➡️ No Questions Asked – best form, best figures, ideal setup.
Saver / Alternative:
➡️ Jax Junior (win) if market drifts slightly – big upside, still learning.
No each-way angles with 5 runners.
Market Watch:
- Support for Personal Ambition would be notable but risky.
- Any drift on No Questions Asked would improve confidence further.
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