3.15 Newbury – Alder Demain & Akers Mares’ Chase (Listed)

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2m7½f | Good | 5 runners

On paper this is a Listed race. In reality, it’s Panic Attack vs the clock.

Small field, fair ground, galloping track — everything about this setup suits a mare who is operating miles above this level right now. There’s no obvious pace pressure and no rival here capable of forcing her out of her comfort zone.


The Shape of the Race

Likely to be run at a steady-to-even gallop, with Panic Attack either making it or sitting second. Over this trip at Newbury, that’s a perfect scenario — clean jumping, gradual squeeze, race over turning in. Anything trying to sit off her will be relying on something going wrong rather than doing better themselves.


Runner-by-Runner (briefly, because it doesn’t need more)

Panic Attack (IRE)
This is borderline unfair. She’s a dual Grade 3 handicap winner, including a big-field Newbury win over further, and she’s running here off a Listed mares’ level that she has completely outgrown. Proven at the track, proven at extreme trips, proven on all goings bar heavy. If she jumps round, she wins — simple as that.

Molto Bene (IRE)
The only one with any sort of upward curve. Tough, genuine, stays well and is improving, but her best figures put her a long way short of the favourite. She’s more a solid second than a realistic threat unless Panic Attack underperforms badly.

Ilovethenightlife
Capable on her day and has been competitive in decent handicaps, but she’s been outpaced or outclassed whenever stepping into this sort of company. Stays the trip, but lacks the gear change needed here.

Presenting A Queen
Brave and likeable, but this is well beyond her comfort zone. More at home in handicaps and will do well to keep tabs on the principals.

Mini Mildred
Has been given chances at this level and hasn’t taken them. Likely to struggle again.


Verdict

This isn’t really a contest — it’s a confirmation exercise.

Panic Attack should dominate from wherever Harry Skelton wants to ride her and win comfortably.
Molto Bene looks the clear second-best.
Everything else is running for minor money.

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