Wednesday, 4th Feb 2026
Sedgefield isn’t a track for guessing games. It’s tight, it’s undulating, and it finds out the faint-hearted. You want a horse that knows its way around here, acts on the going, and arrives race-fit.
Looking at the 2.07, one horse stands head and shoulders above the rest.
The Selection: Huit Reflets (5/2)
Mark Walford’s runner is a textbook “horse for courses”. His record at Sedgefield is superb, with form figures of 1-1-2 in his last three visits.
He was beaten less than a length here just 10 days ago. That run proves two things: he is bang in form, and he is race-hardened. In Class 5 company, fitness and track craft are worth their weight in gold.
The data backs the visual impression:
Speed: He clocks the highest recent speed rating (63.6) in the field.
Head-to-Head: He hammered rival Natural Ability by 19 lengths over this course and distance back in November.
He runs off a mark of 89 today. He’s won off 86 and went close off 89 last time. He is undeniably the one to beat.
The Danger: Begin The Luck (17/2)
If you are looking for an each-way alternative to the favourite, this is it.
Ignore the age (10yo); look at the ratings. HorseRaceBase rates him the clear top horse in the race (274.2). He carries 11-12 on the card, but Mr Robbie David claims a vital 7lbs, bringing his racing weight down to a very competitive 11-5.
He is consistent, tough, and over-priced at 17/2.
The Swerve: Forsa Bay (7/2)
I’m taking on Forsa Bay. He has to lug top weight (12-0) around Sedgefield’s twists and turns while conceding race fitness to the field (returning from a 62-day break). His HRB rating (224.9) puts him well below the top two. At 7/2, he offers zero value.
The Verdict
Keep it simple. Huit Reflets loves the track and holds the best form.
Win: Huit Reflets @ 5/2
Forecast: Huit Reflets to beat Begin The Luck