If you’re looking for the story of the winter, look no further than Stall 2. Aisling Oscar isn’t just a horse in form; he’s a statistical anomaly bidding for a record-equalling eighth consecutive victory tonight. Bought for a modest 3,200gns, he has made the “Barry And The Chuckles” syndicate the envy of the paddock.
Here is the no-nonsense breakdown of tonight’s 1-mile Class 5 handicap.
The Selection: Aisling Oscar (11/4)
Seven wins on the bounce is a feat in any grade, but the way Aisling Oscar is doing it suggests the ceiling hasn’t been hit. He’s climbed 25lb in the ratings since November, yet his recent run comments still read like a highlights reel: “unextended,” “smooth progress,” and “led on bridle.” He handled the Southwell Tapeta with ease two weeks ago over seven furlongs and the step back up to the mile shouldn’t bother him. He’s the form choice, the momentum choice, and quite frankly, the only choice until he proves otherwise.
The Danger: Marry The Night (7/2)
If the fairy tale ends tonight, Marry The Night will likely be the one holding the smoking gun.
The Case: A Course & Distance winner just 13 days ago, he’s a four-year-old on a sharp upward curve.
The Weight: Getting weight from the favourite while remaining in peak condition makes him a formidable opponent.
Tactics: He’s drawn in Stall 6 and has shown he can handle the kickback here, which is vital if the pace is hot early on.
The Each-Way Value: Soames Forsyte (10/1)
For those who prefer a price, Soames Forsyte is a triple course winner who knows every grain of this track.
The Good: He won over this track and trip in mid-January, proving he still has the engine for this grade.
The Bad: He is a “habitual slow starter.” In a race where Shaw Park and Finn Ironside are expected to set a solid gallop, he cannot afford to give away five lengths at the break.
Verdict: If he breaks on terms, 10/1 is massive. If he dawdles, he’s playing for places at best.
Final Verdict
It is rarely profitable to bet against a horse seeking an eight-timer in Class 5 company—they are usually either “group horses in a handicap” or simply thriving beyond the handicapper’s reach. Aisling Oscar fits the latter perfectly.
Aisling Oscar
Marry The Night
Soames Forsyte