Small fields at Dundalk often turn into tactical affairs, but today’s 2-mile Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (5.15) looks set to be a pure test of staying power. While several “Dundalk regulars” boast high win rates at the track, few have the proven lungs for this extreme trip.
Here is the no-nonsense breakdown.
The One to Beat: Tatateo (5/2)
The data makes Tatateo the clear selection. Currently topping the Timewise Master Ratings at 293.5, he arrives in peak health following a win over hurdles at Cork last month.
The Logic: Most of this field are middle-distance horses “trying” a new trip. Tatateo is a genuine stayer.
The Edge: He carries a featherweight 9-1. Receiving over a stone from the top weights while being the only runner coming off a recent win is a massive advantage.
The C&D Specialist: Tribal Star (4/1)
If you’re looking for the safest “each-way” alternative, it’s Tribal Star. He ran a solid third over this exact course and distance (C&D) just three weeks ago. He won’t find the 2-mile distance a shock to the system, and his 25% surface strike rate suggests he will be right in the mix when the sprint starts at the two-furlong pole.
The Class Trap: San Andreas (3/1)
San Andreas is a Dundalk legend with 10 career wins, but tread carefully. He was narrowly denied over 12f only seven days ago. Moving from 1.5 miles to 2 miles on a one-week backup for a 10-year-old is a big ask. He has the speed to lead them into the straight, but the final two furlongs may feel like climbing Everest.
🏁 Final Verdict
Tatateo has the perfect profile: hurdle-winning stamina, a high ratings ceiling, and a low weight. Expect him to outstay Tribal Star in the final 100 yards.
Tatateo (WIN)
Tribal Star (DANGER)
San Andreas (PLACE)