This Class 5 handicap over 1m3f looks a tactical affair. The pace map suggests there is little obvious early speed, so the race could be run steadily. At Kempton over this trip that often turns the contest into a positioning battle, where horses able to sit handy before quickening off the bend hold a clear advantage.
Jodhpur Blue
Jodhpur Blue brings the most reliable recent form into the race. He has finished placed on his last three starts over middle distances and has shown he can operate effectively from this sort of mark. His runner-up effort at Chelmsford last time was solid enough and confirmed he remains competitive in this grade. From a favourable draw he should be able to track the pace and avoid giving away ground in what is likely to be a steadily-run contest. The main question is that he has only one win to his name, but he rarely runs a bad race at this level.
Take The Boat
Take The Boat has found her form this winter. She won well at Wolverhampton before finishing second under a penalty at Lingfield, suggesting she is still progressing for her current yard. The handicapper has not been harsh and she remains well treated on her best figures. The slight concern is her run style, as she tends to be ridden patiently and could find herself needing luck if the pace proves slow.
Sonnerie Power
Sonnerie Power is a previous course-and-distance winner and clearly handles Kempton well. His success here in January showed he retains ability and the return to this track is a positive. However, that victory came in weaker company and he must now prove he can reproduce that level in a slightly stronger race.
Others
Voix De Bocelli arrives in consistent form with a string of placed efforts but often leaves himself too much to do.
Rizal has shown ability on turf in Ireland and is interesting on his all-weather debut, though the market may be the best guide after a break.
Kurios Lady and Naval Tribute are lightly raced but both still have something to prove in handicaps.
Verdict
In a race where tactical positioning could prove decisive, Jodhpur Blue looks the most dependable option. His recent form is solid, the trip suits and he should get the run of the race from a good draw.
Selection: Jodhpur Blue
Main danger: Take The Boat