A small but competitive seven-runner staying handicap where tactics could prove decisive. The pace forecast suggests a steady gallop, with only a couple of runners likely to go forward. At Doncaster over this trip that matters, because races run at an even tempo often favour horses sitting handy rather than those played late from the back.
Jakar Du Moulin – The Favourite with Upside
Paul Nicholls sends Jakar Du Moulin, who arrives off the back of a narrow but game success in a 3m Ascot handicap in December. That race showed two key things: he stays well and he has a willing attitude in a finish.
He is only 5 lb higher here and remains lightly raced for a staying hurdler. With relatively few miles on the clock and a yard that does well at this time of year, he’s an obvious contender. The question is whether he has much in hand of the handicapper.
Stone’s Throw – Proven at the Track
Stone’s Throw brings arguably the strongest piece of form in the race. He won at Southwell before following up over this very course and distance in December, travelling strongly and pulling clear in the closing stages.
His latest run at Chepstow is easily forgiven. That came on soft ground in a deeper race and the conditions didn’t play to his strengths. Back on good ground at Doncaster, a track he clearly handles, he looks very likely to bounce back.
Importantly, he also has the tactical speed to sit close to the pace, which could be a big advantage in what looks a tactical affair.
El Galactico – The Unknown Quantity
Neil Mulholland’s El Galactico is still relatively unexposed. He won a couple of novice hurdles before a respectable fifth on handicap debut at Ascot. That effort suggested there is more to come.
However, the big unknown is the step up to three miles. If he stays, he could easily get involved. If he doesn’t, this could expose him late on.
Others
High Dancer has bits of form that give him a chance but most of his best efforts have come over shorter trips.
I Am Max returns to hurdles after an underwhelming spell over fences and needs to rediscover earlier form.
Billy Boi Blue carries top weight after a break and may find younger legs too strong.
Breezethroughlife has been inconsistent and arrives with plenty to prove.
Verdict
In a race lacking depth, the two that make the most appeal are Jakar Du Moulin and Stone’s Throw. The former has the potential to improve again, but the latter brings proven course form, solid staying credentials and a likely favourable tactical position.
That combination makes Stone’s Throw the percentage call in what should be a steadily run staying handicap.
Selection: Stone’s Throw
Bombproof rating: Medium.