Uttoxeter serves up a typically competitive 14-runner Class 3 handicap hurdle, and the early pace map suggests this will be run at a strong gallop. HRB’s race-shape data highlights multiple forward-going types, with Kasino Des Mottes and West To The Bridge the most likely to force the tempo, while a cluster of prominent racers sit just behind.
That setup matters. When this many runners want a handy position, races often become attritional late on, particularly on soft ground at Uttoxeter over 2m4f.
The Pace Angle
HRB flags a very strong pace scenario, which raises doubts about those likely to be involved in the early skirmish. West To The Bridge, admirable as he is, could find himself vulnerable late if the race becomes a slog. The same concern applies to Kasino Des Mottes, who makes his handicap debut but may not get an easy lead.
Instead, the shape points towards horses capable of travelling midfield and finishing strongly.
The Progressive Types
The Timeform verdict focuses on A Perfect Day, and the case is easy to see. The six-year-old has won two of his five hurdle starts and shaped much better than the result at Chepstow last time. A bad mistake two out ended his chance when he was still travelling strongly.
He remains on the same mark of 120, looks the type with improvement still to come, and his running style should allow him to sit off the pace before challenging late.
Another progressive runner is Warriors Destiny, who won over this course and distance in January. He is clearly improving and remains lightly raced over hurdles, although a 7 lb rise demands further progress.
Solid Handicap Performers
Below The Radar brings one of the most consistent profiles in the field. He has finished in the frame on all three completed starts this season and the drop back in trip looks a plus after tackling further at Newbury. With a strong pace likely and a 5 lb claimer on board, he looks sure to be finishing his race.
Top weight Wellington Arch also commands respect. He was second in this race last year and arrives here after finishing runner-up in a competitive Newbury handicap. However, carrying 12-2 in soft ground in a strongly run race is no easy task.
Verdict
In a race likely to be run at a proper gallop, A Perfect Day looks the one with the most upside. His Chepstow run can be forgiven, he remains attractively handicapped, and the likely race shape should play to his strengths.
If he jumps cleanly, he has every chance of gaining compensation here.
Selection: A Perfect Day
Bombproof rating: Medium.