This is a small four–runner field but it is still an interesting race tactically. Over 3m1f on soft ground, stamina will matter and the pace setup could play a key role.
The early shape looks fairly straightforward. Great Attitude is the only confirmed front runner, so he is likely to go forward and attempt to control the race. In a small field that can be an advantage, especially if the others allow him an easy lead. However, on the numbers he looks a notch below the two main contenders.
The market is headed by Yoradreamer for Willie Mullins with Paul Townend booked. He has the highest official rating in the race and comes from a yard that dominates these types of contests. The concern is the price. His HRB total sits at 262.5, which is solid but not outstanding, and his running style can be a little inconsistent. He often finishes his races well but does not always find much when pressure is applied.
The horse that stands out on the figures is Kevins Pride. He tops the HRB ratings comfortably with a 316.6 total, which is a clear margin over the rest of the field. His recent form is progressive and the profile suggests a horse still improving over staying trips. Comment Shaper also flags him as a strong late finisher, which should suit a race where the leader could bring them along at a steady tempo before it becomes a test late on.
If the race unfolds as expected, Great Attitude will attempt to dictate from the front, with Yoradreamer tracking the pace and Kevins Pride sitting just behind ready to challenge late. In that scenario, Kevins Pride looks the one most likely to finish strongest up the Wexford run-in.
At the prices, the value lies with Kevins Pride, who brings the strongest ratings profile into the race and the right finishing style for this trip.
Selection: Kevins Pride
Confidence: Medium