This mile handicap revolves around one thing: pace pressure.
The Comment Shaper flags a strong early battle between Eazy On The Eye and West Tyrone, and neither looks the type to back off. That should ensure a proper gallop from the outset, with the race unlikely to be controlled from the front.
That immediately puts the spotlight on the top-rated Eazy On The Eye. He’s clear on TimeWise Master figures and drawn well, but this is not his ideal scenario. His profile is littered with late weakening efforts, and in a contested lead, he looks vulnerable. He’s the most likely winner on raw ratings, but the setup is against him.
Jamaican Storm, the only realistic alternative on ratings, doesn’t inspire much confidence either. He’ll be played late, but his finishing effort is questionable and he has a habit of not seeing things out strongly. In a race likely to reward a proper closer, he looks underpowered.
This opens the door for something better suited to the shape.
Book Of Life stands out. He’s a strong finisher, tactically versatile, and crucially drawn to get a perfect stalking position just behind the speed. He doesn’t need things to fall apart completely — just an honest pace, which looks guaranteed here. His recent profile shows consistent late work, and this race should play right into his hands.
Concert Boy is another who will be finishing late and is respected, especially with course form, but he may need more luck from his hold-up position.
In a race where the front end looks set to overdo it, this should be run to suit something coming through late rather than something clinging on.
Book Of Life is the one most likely to be in the right place at the right time.
Selection: Book Of Life
Confidence: Medium