This is not a race to get creative with. The data is tight, the pace is obvious, and the ratings point firmly in one direction.
Pace Will Be Steady
There is one front runner – Harry Junior. No real pressure, no guaranteed strong gallop.
That matters.
In these slowly run staying races at Wincanton:
Those on or near the pace are favoured
Hold-up horses often run out of time
So straight away, half the field is at a disadvantage.
The Race Sits With the Top Two
HRB ratings have it clear:
1. Walkinthepresent
2. Harry Junior
That aligns with long-term results — the winner overwhelmingly comes from the top two. Looking elsewhere here is guessing.
Walkinthepresent – The Right Favourite
He’s improving, stays well, and just won over 3m in a race that tested stamina.
Key positives:
Strong finisher
Progressing with racing
Top-rated
He doesn’t need to lead, just needs to sit close enough in a weak race — and he should.
If he’s within range turning in, he’s the one most likely to finish it off.
Harry Junior – Obvious Threat
Lone front runner. That’s the angle.
If he gets:
An easy lead
Cheap fractions
He could control the race and kick.
But there’s a doubt:
He’s not bombproof late on
Has folded before when pressure comes
He’s dangerous, but not entirely trustworthy.
The Rest
It’s A Breeze – improving but poorly positioned tactically
Square Du Roule / Lydeard Girl – strong finishers in a race that won’t suit
Others – outclassed
They need the race to collapse. It won’t.
Verdict
No need to overcomplicate it.
Walkinthepresent – best horse, improving, stays strongly
Harry Junior – main danger with the pace edge
👉 Selection: Walkinthepresent
👉 Saver: Harry Junior
Confidence: Medium – solid profile, but the steady pace keeps it from being a certainty.