Date: Wednesday 4th Feb 2026Race: 4.15 Kempton (Class 6 Handicap, 6f)If you strictly follow the form book figures, you’ll likely land on Magna. Her recent numbers read 112, she’s in career-best form, and she only narrowly missed out on a hat-trick over this course and distance 16 days ago.Ignore that instinct.Today’s race isn’t about ability;…

Date: Wednesday 4th Feb 2026Race: Watch RacingTV Handicap Hurdle (Class 5)Ground: SoftIf you are looking for a complex puzzle to solve, the 4.07 at Ludlow isn’t it. Sometimes the data screams the answer, and today, that answer is Following Chapter.This is a compressed handicap on soft ground, and looking at the internal ratings, there is…

Date: Wednesday 4th February 2026Race: 3.58 Punchestown – ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk Mares Handicap HurdleConditions: 2m 7f | Soft to HeavyRacing on a Wednesday in February often throws up trappy, low-grade affairs, but today’s 3.58 at Punchestown has served up a mathematical open goal.We have a field of ten mares facing nearly three miles in Soft to Heavy…

Date: Wednesday 4th February 2026Race: Darlington Mowden Park RFC Handicap Hurdle (Class 5)We are staring down the barrel of a three-and-a-quarter-mile slog at Sedgefield today. In a Class 5 contest on Good to Soft ground, you don’t overthink it. You look for the horse that is still improving, will actually stay the trip, and isn’t…

Date: Wednesday 4th Feb 2026Race: Try Unibet’s New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Class 5)Verdict: Must Believe (13/2)This race is a textbook “Man vs Machine” puzzle. The data says two horses are streets ahead of the rest, but the draw gods have stuck them both in the car park.Here is the breakdown.The Value Play: Must Believe (13/2)If…

Race: Late Roy Kneller 85th Birthday Mares Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)Verdict: Masked Dance (6/1)This is a classic handicap puzzle: do you back the “could be anything” unexposed type or the “been there, done that” course specialist? The market has sided with potential, but the data points to value elsewhere.Here is the breakdown.The Favourite: Sallyville Lady…

Let’s cut straight to the chase. The market for the 3.17 at Sedgefield has this completely upside down. We have a clear standout on the figures available at 9/2, while a regressing, exposed runner is propping up the market as the 2/1 favourite.Here is the no-nonsense breakdown of why Supreme George is the bet of…

There is no need to overcomplicate the 3.10 at Kempton today. We have a Class 4 Handicap over 7f on “Standard to Slow” ground, and the data points firmly in one direction: the younger legs have the older guard well and truly covered.This race is effectively a match between the class of Mythical Composer and…

Date: Wednesday, 4th Feb 2026Race: Attwood Memorial Trophy Handicap Chase (Class 3)Conditions: 2m4f, Soft, 16 FencesWe have eight runners going to post at Ludlow this afternoon on Soft ground. The market is tight, but the data points to a clear split between the progressive types and those struggling with the handicapper.Here is the verdict.The Selection:…

Race: ThatPrizeGuy.co.uk Novice Handicap HurdleConditions: 2m 3f | Soft to HeavyIf you’re looking for a race that perfectly illustrates the battle between potential and proven form, the 2.48 at Punchestown is it. We have a heavy-ground slog over an intermediate trip, and the data suggests the market leader is vulnerable to a very specific handicap…