This looks a deeper race than usual and the likely pace could decide everything.The race-shape data points to strong early pressure with several mares who like to go forward. Dinoblue, Spindleberry and Diva Luna have all shown front-running tendencies and if they take each other on it could turn into a proper test. Around Cheltenham,…

Selection: ABSURDEThis looks the usual County minefield on paper, but the race setup points quite firmly towards Absurde.The first thing to note is the shape. HRB’s Comment Shaper has this down as a very strong pace with high collapse risk, and that matters more than anything in a race like this. Six likely front-runners, strong…

This looks the usual Triumph minefield on paper, but the shape of the race gives us a cleaner angle than the market alone.HRB has this down as a very strong pace setup, with six front-runners, strong early pressure and a high collapse risk. Timeform says much the same: a strongly-run race, with hold-up horses usually…

A competitive Class 4 sprint over six furlongs where the race shape looks the key to solving the puzzle. HRB data points to a strong early pace with only one natural front-runner and several pressing types, which should ensure the race is run at a proper clip. At Newcastle that often sets things up for…

This Class 4 sprint looks a tactical affair with very little early pace on paper. HRB’s race shape analysis points strongly towards a weakly run race, which usually puts the emphasis on track position rather than finishing speed on Newcastle’s straight six.That immediately raises doubts about the typical hold-up types in the field. Several runners…

The early complexion of this race changed significantly with the morning withdrawal of Clonquest, who looked the most solid piece of course-and-distance form in the field. His absence leaves a fairly ordinary restricted maiden where improvement from lightly raced runners will decide the outcome.Pace & SetupHRB’s pace model suggests very little early speed. Shimmering Spirit…

This Class 5 handicap is not blessed with a great deal of quality, but it is a race where current form and finishing ability should count for plenty, particularly with no obvious strong pace angle in the field.The race shape analysis suggests a moderate tempo with no natural front-runner, which could turn this into a…

A competitive looking 1m Class 4 handicap at Chelmsford but the race revolves around one horse with clear upside: Shafdar.The Ian Williams yard runs three here, which in itself tells a story, but it’s the progressive four-year-old Shafdar who stands out. Since arriving from France he has taken a clear step forward. His Kempton third…

This looks a typical Chelmsford mile handicap where track position and pace dynamics are likely to prove decisive.Pace & Race ShapeHRB’s race-shape tool identifies a single likely front-runner in Lexington Jet with moderate early pressure behind. Chelmsford’s turning mile often favours those sitting just behind the pace, especially when the leader isn’t especially strong.A “strong…