The 1.20 at Cheltenham, the Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle, looks deep on numbers but the race still revolves around one mare: Bambino Fever.This is not a contest crying out for a wild swing. The Mullins mare has the strongest overall profile on the evidence in front of us and she is the one they all…

This 7f Class 5 handicap at Southwell looks a race where pace, rather than pure ability, will decide the outcome.The HRB race shape flags a very strong early pace with a high collapse risk, and that is the key piece of information here. Three habitual front runners line up in Goldmoyne, How Impressive and Golden…

The 1m4f Class 6 handicap at Southwell looks the usual midweek all-weather affair where proven course form and current fitness tend to outweigh potential. In a field of eight, several arrive with questions to answer, leaving a small group of runners who make genuine appeal.The likely favourite Tenadaay is easy to see the case for.…

This is a typical Southwell Class 6 sprint where the margins are small but the pace map gives us a useful angle into the race.The early speed looks fairly obvious. Faster Bee, Beneficiary and Coast all like to go forward and none of them are particularly strong finishers. With three habitual front runners in a…

Fillies’ Handicap (1m)A small field of six but tactically quite interesting. The pace data from both HRB and Timeform suggests very little early speed, meaning this could easily turn into a steadily-run race where track position becomes crucial. In that type of scenario, horses buried off the pace often struggle to get involved when the…

This does not look a deep novice and the race sets up nicely for Into The Light.Charlie Appleby’s colt made a good start at Lingfield, winning over 10f in a race that was not strongly run. He still got the job done with something in hand, which is important because this Southwell contest also looks…

This is only a seven-runner 3yo handicap, but it looks a decent little race for the grade. The market will likely centre on Artanis, and that makes sense.She returned from a break at Wolverhampton last month and did exactly what a promising filly should do. She travelled well, picked up when asked and won with…

This is not a strong race, but it is the sort of low-grade Newcastle sprint where course form counts for plenty and that points firmly towards Tomorrow Day.Mark Usher’s gelding returned from a break with a very solid second at Chelmsford over 7f, going down only narrowly and shaping like a horse ready to win.…

This is a modest Class 6 sprint, but it does not look a messy one. The likely shape of the race matters here and it points towards horses that can race handily rather than those needing everything to drop right from off the pace.The one that stands out most is Fortunate Star. He comes here…