This six-runner hunter chase at Carlisle does not look complicated. There is a bit of guesswork around one or two of them, but on the balance of the evidence A Moments Madness is the one they all have to beat.The case is straightforward enough. He has the strongest HRB rating in the field at 263,…

The 5.23 at Warwick does not look a deep race and that usually means one thing in bumper company: side with the horse who has already shown a proper level under Rules unless a newcomer has an exceptional profile.That points firmly towards Presley.Dan Skelton’s five-year-old is the only runner in the field with form that…

The 5.12 at Naas is only a six-runner mares’ bumper, but it does not take much working out. Poetisa brings the best form, the strongest connections and the most convincing overall profile, and she looks the one they all have to beat.Willie Mullins’ mare already has a bumper win on her card, having scored at…

The 5.00 at Carlisle is not a deep mares’ handicap, and that usually means there is no point dressing it up. This looks like a race between Holly Bird and Vanilla Dancer, with the rest needing either a revival or sudden improvement.Holly Bird is the one to beat. She won well at Newcastle last time,…

The 4.48 at Warwick, the Volcano Handicap Chase over 3m5f, looks the sort of race where stamina, position and a fair mark matter more than flashy form figures. This is a proper staying handicap, and with Timeform calling the pace forecast very weak, the shape of the race could be just as important as the…

This seven–runner beginners chase looks fairly straightforward on paper and revolves around the Willie Mullins trio, headed by the short-priced Ballygunner Castle.The seven-year-old brings the best profile into the race. A useful hurdler, he shaped with plenty of promise when finishing second on his chasing debut at Punchestown before falling four out when still travelling…

A small but competitive field lines up for the CopyBet Handicap Chase at Carlisle, a Class 4 staying contest over just beyond three miles on soft ground. With only seven runners declared and a weak pace forecast, this race could turn tactical rather than the usual gruelling Carlisle stamina test.In races like this the emphasis…

A small but interesting field of seven go to post for this Class 3 staying handicap hurdle at Warwick and the race looks tactically important with the pace forecast expected to be steady. In races like this around Warwick, positioning can matter as much as raw ability, especially over this extended three-mile trip.The top of…

This looks the usual proper Naas slog: a staying handicap chase where you need three things above all else — proven stamina, the ability to travel and jump on deep ground, and a mark that still leaves room for manoeuvre.The market is focusing on the right sort, but there is a clear split here between…

A small but interesting four-runner novice handicap where tactics could prove decisive. Timeform expect a very steady early pace, which often turns these races into a sprint from the second last. In that scenario, track position becomes crucial.The obvious starting point is Celestial Fashion, who arrives here in excellent form. Ian Duncan’s mare has won…