Creating your own fair odds tissue is one of the most useful habits a bettor can develop. Instead of asking “who will win?”, the question becomes “what price should each horse be?”. Once you know that, finding value becomes straightforward.HorseRaceBase (HRB) makes this process much easier because its ratings already combine several key factors such…

Low-grade Classified races rarely hide secrets. Most of these runners have been around this level for a while, so the key is finding the horse who can run closest to their best on the night, handle Kempton’s 7f, and get the right run in a race likely to be run at a solid pace.A strong…

This Class 5 handicap over 1m3f looks a tactical affair. The pace map suggests there is little obvious early speed, so the race could be run steadily. At Kempton over this trip that often turns the contest into a positioning battle, where horses able to sit handy before quickening off the bend hold a clear…

Eight three-year-olds line up for this competitive 0–85 sprint on Kempton’s polytrack. The pace projection looks fairly even, which normally means the winner will come from a horse able to sit handy, travel comfortably, and quicken turning for home.Augustus Gloop sets the standardThe most solid piece of handicap form in the race belongs to Augustus…

A tight eight-runner Class 4 sprint where recent all-weather form should prove decisive. With several runners arriving in good order, the race looks competitive on paper, but the form lines suggest the winner is likely to come from a small core group.Dyrholaey sets the standard on recent evidence. Archie Watson’s five-year-old has been in strong…

Nine runners go to post for this six-furlong handicap on Kempton’s polytrack and the race revolves around one horse arriving in peak form.Supreme King sets the standardSupreme King comes into the race chasing a four-timer after winning his last three starts, the latest over this course and distance two weeks ago. That victory was solid…

This looks a competitive but fairly typical Kempton mile handicap where recent all-weather form and track experience are likely to count for plenty. Several arrive in decent shape, but only a few make strong win cases.The one with the most convincing profile is I’M WORKIN ON IT. Rod Millman’s gelding is thriving at Kempton and…

This looks a fairly straightforward staying handicap on paper, with most of the focus likely to centre around the three runners arriving in form: Hatysa, Barenboim and Tarbat Ness.Hatysa makes the most appeal. The four-year-old won three of her last four starts last season and already has solid course form, including two wins here. Her…

This looks a proper stamina test with the ground heavy and the trip just short of three miles. The pace forecast suggests it could develop into a steadily run race, which usually favours horses ridden prominently rather than those coming from well off the pace.Brown Boots is the obvious starting point. He arrives here in…

This may only be a six-runner race, but it’s not straightforward. The pace projection suggests a very steady gallop, which means tactics and track position will decide a lot more than raw stamina. Horses able to sit close to the speed should have the edge.Spirit Of Jura sets the standardSpirit Of Jura looks the most…