My naps for Friday’s meetings based on the Timewise rankings.

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Analysis below 👇

13:40 MUSSELBURGH Fri 05 May 2023

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BET AT racingtv.com RESTRICTED MAIDEN STAKES (5)

Distance 5f 1y

Prize £3,780 Age 3yo to 5yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 7

Going Good to Soft (Good in places Round course)

The 1.40 Musselburgh race on Friday, 5th May 2023, is a Restricted Maiden Stakes featuring 7 runners over 5 furlongs on good to soft ground. Analysing the chart and considering recent form, speed, jockey, trainer, and scores for today, the top three contenders are Victory Flagship, Lady Pascha, and Daley T.

Victory Flagship has the highest total points at 297.3, with a strong last race (LR) performance of 74.2 points. This gelding by Garswood had a pleasing debut as a runner-up at Thirsk last month, and improvement is likely, making him a strong contender in this race.

Lady Pascha ranks second in total points at 276.0, with 65.9 points in her last race. She showed improvement on her debut run when finishing third at Thirsk last month, just behind Victory Flagship. With a strong jockey and trainer combination, she could be a threat to Victory Flagship.

Daley T ranks third with 266.0 total points, having scored 62.7 points in his last race. His best performance was a third-place finish over 6 furlongs at Newcastle, where he pulled hard. The drop back to 5 furlongs could suit him well and help improve his chances.

Other runners in the race include American Affair, Whisky McGonagall, Ana Emaraaty, and Rooska, but based on their recent form and scores, they are less likely to pose a significant challenge to the top three contenders.

14:15 MUSSELBURGH Fri 05 May 2023

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3R SOLUTIONS HANDICAP (6)

Distance 7f 33y

Prize £3,663 Rated (0-65) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 7

Going Good to Soft (Good in places Round course)

In the 2.15 Musselburgh race, the clear standout based on recent form, speed, and the ratings today is the likely favourite, Code Purple. With a total score of 383.6 and a strong performance in its last race, Code Purple is expected to go well in this race. The horse also has a notable edge in the jockey and trainer categories, which adds to its appeal.

Next in line is Gunnerside, with a total score of 361.1, which is decent but not as strong as Code Purple. Gunnerside has shown some solid form in recent races and has a better speed rating. Although this horse usually races at 6f, it has won over 7f before and could be a potential contender.

Rumnotred, Monhammer, The Gay Blade, Giselles Izzy, and One Last Hug have lower total scores and appear to be less competitive in this race. While some of these horses have had decent recent form or placed in previous races, they would need to step up significantly to challenge the leading contenders.

In conclusion, Code Purple is the most likely winner based on the available data, followed by Gunnerside.

14:25 NEWMARKET (ROWLEY) Fri 05 May 2023

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KING CHARLES II STAKES (Listed) (1)

Distance 7f

Prize £28,355 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Good to Firm (Good in places)

In the 2.25 Newmarket race, Majestic Pride emerges as the strongest contender with the highest total score of 563.5. The horse has shown excellent form recently, winning on soft ground at the Craven meeting last month. The combination of a solid jockey and trainer score, as well as an impressive performance over the same course and distance, make Majestic Pride the one to beat.

Iconic Moment is another notable runner, with a total score of 488.1. Despite being beaten as a favourite in its last race, the horse has won three out of four races and its latest victory came in Listed grade over 7f. Returning to turf, Iconic Moment could be a significant threat.

Shouldvebeenaring, with a total score of 456.4, is another contender worth considering. The horse has been productive and has multiple wins to its name. Its recent performance at the Craven meeting indicates it could benefit from a return to 7f, making it a strong player in this race.

Other runners such as Crystallium, Benacre, Arabian Storm, Wiltshire, and Tenjin have lower total scores and face a tough challenge against the top contenders. Some of these horses may have potential for improvement, but they would need to step up significantly to make an impact in this race.

In summary, Majestic Pride is the top pick for this race based on the available data, with Iconic Moment and Shouldvebeenaring as notable contenders.

14:35 GOODWOOD  Fri 05 May 2023

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WILLIAM HILL PICK YOUR PLACES HANDICAP (2)

Distance 5f

Prize £25,770 Rated (0-100) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Good to Soft

In the 2.35 Goodwood race, Prop Forward stands out as the top contender with a total score of 452.1. The horse has shown significant improvement on the all-weather track, and its recent win at Kempton last month after an eight-month break is a strong indicator of its form. Although the majority of its success has come on the all-weather, it has won a maiden on turf, and if it proves as effective on slow turf, it could be a strong contender.

Dream Composer, with a total score of 426.8, is another horse to watch. It achieved a career-best performance, winning a 5f handicap at Newmarket 17 days ago on good to soft ground. While it’s carrying only a 2lb higher mark, this race is more competitive, and its performance will be crucial.

Clarendon House, with a total score of 410.7, is a noteworthy runner. The horse has demonstrated strong form in its first starts of previous seasons and finished second in this race last year. However, it remains unproven on slow ground and was withdrawn from a Pontefract event last month due to the soft conditions.

Other runners, such as Whenthedealinsdone, Came From The Dark, Dubai Station, Angle Land, and Reigning Profit, face a challenging task against the top contenders. Some of these horses may have potential for improvement, but they would need to step up significantly to make an impact in this race.

In summary, Prop Forward is the top pick for this race based on the available data, with Dream Composer and Clarendon House as notable contenders.

15:10 GOODWOOD Fri 05 May 2023

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WILLIAM HILL BET BOOST HANDICAP (3)

Distance 6f

Prize £10,800 Rated (0-90) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 8

Going Good to Soft

In the 3.10 Goodwood race, Spanish Star emerges as a strong contender with a total score of 365.6. With three of its six career wins on slow ground over this course and distance, it is well-suited for these conditions. The horse also made an encouraging return in a competitive Newbury handicap two weeks ago, making it more appealing than many other runners.

Ernies Valentine has a total score of 365.1 and has had some success in 2021, scoring three wins on turf and all-weather tracks, and placed three times in 2022. However, the forecasted slow ground may be a negative factor for the horse, as its record suggests it performs better on good or faster ground.

Shobiz, with a total score of 353.6, is another horse to watch in this race. The horse won this corresponding event last year off this mark and can perform well fresh. Shobiz should also be adaptable to any ground conditions, making it a strong contender.

Other runners, including Capotes Dream, Marshal Dan, The Lamplighter, Coup De Force, and Sergeant Tibbs, face an uphill battle against the top contenders. Some of these horses may have potential for improvement, but they will need to step up considerably to make an impact in this race.

In summary, Spanish Star is the top pick for this race based on the available data, with Ernies Valentine and Shobiz as notable contenders.

16:45 NEWMARKET (ROWLEY)   Fri 05 May 2023

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NYETIMBER MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (3)

Distance 1m 2f

Prize £8,100 Age 3yo Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 9

Going Good to Firm (Good in places)

The 4.45 Newmarket (Rowley) race is a maiden fillies stakes with several promising contenders. Based on the data provided, Sahara Mist is the top pick with a total score of 379.0. Although she didn’t manage to win her maiden race at Newcastle, she demonstrated potential and was checked at a crucial stage in the race. Being a half-sister to multiple winners, including Wuheida, she is expected to improve and will likely fare better in this race.

Infinite Cosmos comes in as the second choice with a total score of 349.8. Entered in both the Oaks and Ribblesdale, she has a strong pedigree with her dam being a 1m2f and 1m4f (Listed) winner. Infinite Cosmos had a close second-place finish in a nine-runner maiden at Doncaster last October, setting a high standard for the rest of the field. She certainly has potential and should not be overlooked.

Therapist is another notable contender, with a total score of 341.5. She placed in three 1m novice races as a 2-year-old, suggesting her ability to stay at 1m2f. While she might not be the top pick to win, she could be a strong contender for a place in this race.

Other runners in the field, such as Strong Impact, Nakano, Rouen, Who Loves You Baby, Rayena, and Star of Cassandra, will need to show significant improvement to challenge the top contenders. Keep an eye on the market for important clues, particularly for Star of Cassandra, who comes from a top yard.

In conclusion, Sahara Mist is the top pick for the 4.45 Newmarket (Rowley) race, with Infinite Cosmos and Therapist being notable contenders.

17:05DOWNPATRICK Fri 05 May 2023

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RORY’S MILES2MAYO MAIDEN HURDLE

Distance 2m 5f 180y

Prize €10,000 Age 5yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 15

Going Good to Yielding (Good in places)

In this 2m6f maiden hurdle at Downpatrick, the ground is reported to be good to yielding, which should suit most of the runners. There are a total of 12 runners, and based on the ratings, recent form, speed, jockey, and trainer statistics, the top contenders seem to be Ottizzini, Bob Cigar, and Danada.

Ottizzini is the current favorite with a total rating of 312.3, showcasing consistent form in recent races. In his last race, he finished 3rd in a C&D maiden to Law Ella, setting a high standard for the other runners. With a strong jockey and trainer combination, he is likely to be in the mix.

Bob Cigar has a total rating of 240.9, and in his last outing, he finished 3rd over 3m at Clonmel. The slight drop in trip should suit him, and given his recent improvement, he has a solid chance of being in contention.

Danada is another interesting contender with a total rating of 239.5. He made an eye-catching debut at Clonmel in January, finishing 3rd over 2m. Bred to appreciate the longer trip, he could well play a significant role in the race.

Other noteworthy runners include Ballyquin Bay and Lazer Wolf. Ballyquin Bay showed promise last year, but has not managed to build upon it since then. A return to better ground may help, but stamina concerns remain. Lazer Wolf has performed creditably in his bumper runs, but may need to improve further for the switch to hurdles.

In conclusion, Ottizzini seems to be the standout contender with strong recent form and a good combination of jockey and trainer. However, Bob Cigar and Danada also have the potential to challenge for the win, with the latter possibly showing significant improvement over the longer trip.

17:35NEWCASTLE  Fri 05 May 2023

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SKY SPORTS RACING SKY 415 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (6)

Distance 1m 2f 42y

Prize £3,245 Rated (0-55) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 11

Going Standard

Based on the provided information, here’s an analysis of the race at Newcastle:

Ideal Dream is currently leading the pack with a total rating of 268.0. With a strong performance in its last race (LR) and a 120.0 Hrs score, Ideal Dream is a solid contender in this race. The jockey and trainer also contribute positively to the horse’s chances, with ratings of 32.6 and 40.2, respectively. The horse’s performance today is expected to be decent with a score of 22.1.

Caracristi comes in with a total rating of 259.1 and has been in good form recently, as shown by its LR and 2LR scores. Caracristi’s speed score (59.4) is impressive, but its jockey and trainer ratings (11.3 and 21.6, respectively) are not as strong. However, the horse is expected to perform well today with a score of 43.3.

Desert Miracle is another contender with a total rating of 249.5. The horse’s recent form is decent, but its main concern is whether it will be able to handle the extended distance, as it has not raced beyond an extended 1m before. The jockey and trainer ratings are positive at 26.4 and 35.6, respectively, and the horse is expected to perform moderately well today with a score of 13.5.

Other noteworthy runners in the race include Iron Sheriff, Fire Eyes, and Our Dickie. Iron Sheriff has been threatening lately but has yet to secure a win on the AW surface. Fire Eyes showed some improvement in its last race but needs to maintain that momentum. Our Dickie has struggled to meet market expectations in recent races, making it difficult to have confidence in its performance.

In conclusion, Ideal Dream appears to be the standout contender in this race, with a strong combination of form, speed, jockey, and trainer ratings. Caracristi and Desert Miracle are also worth considering, but their performances may depend on the ability to maintain form or handle the extended distance. Keep an eye on Iron Sheriff, Fire Eyes, and Our Dickie, as they have the potential to surprise if they can address their recent challenges.

17:40DOWNPATRICK Fri 05 May 2023

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RANDOX HANDICAP HURDLE

Distance 2m 5f 180y

Prize €10,000 Rated (80-102) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Runners 16

Going Good to Yielding (Good in places)

In analysing the Downpatrick Randox Handicap Hurdle race, I will take into account the rank, recent form, speed, jockey, trainer, and score for today. Here is my assessment of the top contenders in the race:

  1. Mighty Jeremy – This horse currently leads the pack with a total score of 405.8. Mighty Jeremy has posted back-to-back wins in handicap hurdles at Clonmel, comfortably defying an 8lb rise last time. However, he now faces a 12lb hike and might need softer conditions to excel.
  2. Herculaneum – With a total score of 298.4, Herculaneum has shown potential by winning at Naas in March over 2 miles on yielding to soft ground. However, his latest run at Down Royal resulted in a 20-length defeat. If he returns to his best form, he could be a contender in this race, and the distance should suit him well.
  3. King Ferdinand – Ranking third with a score of 280.1, King Ferdinand is a hurdle and chase winner. He performed well in his latest handicap hurdle at Cork, finishing close with a first-time tongue-tie. He is up 3lb for this race, but still has a fair chance of featuring.
  4. Loudest Whisper – With a score of 244.7, Loudest Whisper has shown mixed form under both codes last year. However, he has the form to feature in this race, and jockey Ben Harvey is on board.
  5. Jenny Flex – This winning pointer for Colin Bowe has a score of 226.7. Her most promising maiden effort was her latest, where she was beaten by 15 lengths. She starts handicapping off a low mark and could make an impact.

From the analysis, Mighty Jeremy is the current favourite and is in good form, but the weight hike might affect his performance. Herculaneum and King Ferdinand also have potential, but they would need to bounce back from their previous setbacks to have a chance. Loudest Whisper and Jenny Flex could feature as well, but they would need to step up their performance in this race.

19:20NEWCASTLE Fri 05 May 2023

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AT THE RACES APP FORM STUDY HANDICAP (4)

Distance 7f 14y

Prize £5,129 Rated (0-85) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 12

Going Standard

In the 7.20 Newcastle race, we have a competitive field of 12 runners. All The Kings Men, with a high score of 427.4, appears to be a strong contender. He has a good recent form, winning twice over 7f in France, and is expected to perform well in this race.

Swiss Ace, with a score of 357.4, has an impressive record over this course and distance. He won this race last year and, although carrying a 6lb higher mark, should do better back here, making him a potential threat.

Streak Lightning, having a score of 332.3, is a three-time course winner and arrives in good form. While he may find it tough off his current mark, he will be happier back down from 1m.

Master Richard, with a score of 326.8, has shown improvement last year but will need a career-best performance to feature prominently in this race. Ron O, having a score of 321.1, has shown sharp improvement recently and is another one to watch, although he will need another career-best to take this race.

It’s important to keep an eye on the market for any potential support or drift, as this could influence the contenders’ chances. This race appears to be quite open, with several horses having the potential to perform well.

20:10CORK Fri 05 May 2023

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IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF (C & G) MAIDEN

Distance 1m 2f 40y

Prize €15,000 Age 3yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Turf Runners 16

Going Good (Good to Firm in places Straight course)

Based on the available data and considering factors such as recent form, speed, jockey, trainer, and today’s score, the following assessment of the race is provided:

Farnborough appears to be a strong contender in this race. With a consistent performance in recent races and a close second-place finish at Leopardstown, Farnborough is expected to be competitive. However, Canute might give Farnborough a tough challenge, especially considering the blinkers remain on and better ground over this trip.

Squire Danagher is another horse to keep an eye on, with an encouraging third-place finish at Gowran last year and a step up in trip from 1 mile. The increase in distance could be beneficial for this horse.

Warrior Lion had a solid second-place finish at Naas, but the performance on its second start at Curragh leaves some questions regarding its ability to stay on pedigree. Young Ireland has had multiple chances, but its latest performance at Curragh is commendable, and the horse is known to perform well on good ground.

Hijo De La Luna is likely to put up a better performance on this surface after a disappointing run on attritional ground at Navan. Sorrento Point, despite a mid-field finish at Curragh, may show promise with a likely ability to stay on pedigree.

Overall, Farnborough, Canute, and Squire Danagher seem to be the top contenders in this race, with other horses like Hijo De La Luna, Sorrento Point, Warrior Lion, and Young Ireland possibly providing some competition.

21:00 NEWCASTLE Fri 05 May 2023

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SKY SPORTS RACING SKY 415 HANDICAP (6)

Distance 5f

Prize £3,245 Rated (0-58) Age 4yo+ Race State Declaration Surface Artificial Runners 7

Going Standard

In this analysis of the Newcastle Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap, we have a competitive field of 7 runners. The race will be run over 5 furlongs (1100 yards) on a Standard surface for Class 6, 4yo+ horses.

The standout contender in this race is Another Angel, who has been enjoying a good spell this year with multiple C&D wins, as well as victories at Southwell and Wolverhampton. The horse has shown strong performance in recent races and is expected to have an obvious chance back at 5 furlongs.

Beneficiary, another interesting runner, has shown potential in the past with a 5 furlong win at Southwell. Although the horse hasn’t been getting home over 6 furlongs recently, the return to 5 furlongs and the drop in weight could work in its favor.

Blackcurrent is a tough front-runner with a good record on the all-weather surface. The horse has shown determination in recent races, but may face competition with other early pace setters in this race.

High Security, although not in the best form in the most recent race at Pontefract, has had a good fourth place over this course and distance in March. The horse is not to be underestimated, as it has the potential to be a contender in this race.

Latin Five has not placed in all six all-weather runs but is fully effective on the Tapeta surface. The horse has been showing potential in recent starts and should have a good pace to aim at, making it one to watch closely.

Tantastic has a poor strike-rate but has beaten Another Angel in the corresponding event a year ago. Despite being 8lb lower now, the horse has underperformed since that win, so minor money might be the best hope for this runner.

Hard Solution has been running okay for the new yard, including over this course and distance. However, the horse is on a long losing run and got going too late in the most recent race at Wolverhampton, making others in the field more appealing.

Taking into account the recent form, speed, jockey, trainer, and today’s score, Another Angel appears to be the standout choice in this race, with Beneficiary, Blackcurrent, and High Security also being strong contenders. Keep an eye on Latin Five as a potential dark horse in this competitive field.

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