Analysis of the Newton Abbot card on Wednesday based on the Timewise rankings.

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1.50 Newton Abbot (7 runners)
Racing Partnership Novices Hurdle (GBB Race)
2m6f

Based on the total ratings for this race, the top three horses are “Basford (IRE)”, “Afta Party (IRE)”, and “Sylvies Dance”. We will focus on these contenders as well as others with noteworthy comments.

  1. Basford (IRE) – With the highest total rating of 412.4, Basford is the leading contender in this race. Despite being identified as somewhat difficult to manage in his last run over the course and distance (C&D), he’s expected to outshine the others again. This horse has been a bumper winner and a consistent performer over hurdles, which adds to his credibility.
  2. Afta Party (IRE) – Afta Party ranks second with a total of 306.6. This horse has shown noteworthy form on the flat. However, its hurdles performance has not been as promising, even falling on the third start. A short break and a usual hood back on, along with an increase in trip, could improve its performance, though.
  3. Sylvies Dance – Sylvies Dance has a total rating of 302.9. Although not seen under Rules since finishing second at Chepstow in March 2021, she has an impressive record in point-to-point races. Based on her past performance, Sylvies Dance could be a strong contender in this race.

Among other horses, Kylenoe Dancer, despite having a lower total rating, has shown improved form in the last race, finishing third. If she maintains this momentum, she could be an interesting prospect.

In conclusion, Basford (IRE) is the standout performer based on the total ratings and the comments, while both Afta Party (IRE) and Sylvies Dance bring distinct strengths to the race. An eye should be kept on Kylenoe Dancer as well, given her recent improvement. This race promises an exciting contest between these horses.

2.25 Newton Abbot (7 runners)
Andy Blight And His Amigos Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

Based on the provided total ratings and available comments, the horse race can be analysed as follows:

  1. Throne Hall: With the highest total rating of 542.6, Throne Hall tops the rankings. A winner of his first two starts over hurdles, he’s a horse who has shown promise. However, his recent performances seem to be affected by soft ground conditions. Given the good ground at Newton Abbot, there’s a chance he could return to his previous form, making him a top contender.
  2. Valentino Dancer: Coming in second in the ratings with a total of 460.6, Valentino Dancer made a strong start with this yard, showing versatility with wins over hurdles and on the Flat. Despite an underwhelming performance at Chepstow, this could be attributed to needing the run. There is a potential for improvement but the long break of 13 months should be a concern.
  3. Dancila (IRE): Just slightly behind Valentino Dancer, Dancila has a total rating of 453.9. An impressive start over hurdles and a previous winner on the Flat in Ireland, Dancila has potential. Despite not advancing in form recently, the horse is still early in its career and could improve, especially now switching to handicap company.
  4. Just The Man (FR): Ranked fourth with a total rating of 363.5, Just The Man had a recent good run at Ffos Las and was only headed at the line. With cheekpieces now back on, he is one to keep an eye on.
  5. Aliomaana: A total rating of 346.9 places Aliomaana fifth. Although she showed improvement by winning a handicap hurdle at Stratford, her form hasn’t been consistent. Her performance on her return from a 7-month absence will need to be assessed.
  6. Coolnaugh Haze (IRE): Although the sixth-ranked horse based on ratings, Coolnaugh Haze’s recent form has been promising. He was a close second at Warwick, showing he can deliver a good run. With a total rating of 341.1, he might be a dark horse in this race.
  7. Thahab Ifraj (IRE): Coming in last with a total rating of 340.1, Thahab Ifraj capitalised on a falling mark with a win at Fontwell. However, his recent performances have been below par and a significant improvement would be needed.

In conclusion, Throne Hall, Valentino Dancer, and Dancila appear to be the top contenders based on the ratings and comments. However, Throne Hall is deemed to have an exceptional chance of performing well, given the good ground conditions at Newton Abbot which suit his running style. Similarly, despite the long absence, Valentino Dancer and Dancila have shown potential and could pose significant challenges. Coolnaugh Haze deserves a special mention due to his recent form improvement, despite being lower in the total ratings.

3.00 Newton Abbot (5 runners)
Newton Abbot Racecourse On Facebook Handicap Chase
3m2f

Looking at the total ratings and the provided comments, the horses in this race can be analysed as follows:

  1. Hurricane Vichi (IRE): With a total rating of 399.2, Hurricane Vichi stands at the top of our list. This horse was a winner at Ffos Las and has performed well in recent starts. With a close finish off the current mark in a 23f Lingfield handicap hurdle, there’s potential for a strong performance. The horse also seems to have potential as a chaser, suggesting that he could be a serious contender.
  2. Lord Bryan (IRE): With a total rating of 374.9, Lord Bryan comes second in the ratings. The horse was in top form in the period from April to June 2022, securing a hat-trick around 3m. However, there have been recent issues, with Lord Bryan pulling up in 4 of the last 5 starts. His form needs to be considered critically, despite his good rating.
  3. Shortcross Storm (IRE): Just slightly behind Lord Bryan, with a total rating of 373.1, Shortcross Storm took advantage of a reduced mark to win over C&D 3 weeks ago. Given that similar conditions might be present in this race, there is a good chance he could do well again.
  4. Investment Manager: Ranking fourth with a total rating of 331.2, Investment Manager had a breakthrough success at Exeter, but has shown an increasingly inconsistent record. His recent performance was subpar, though the addition of sterner headgear could result in some improvement.
  5. Cresswell Queen: With the lowest total rating of 261.5, Cresswell Queen won on her chasing debut at Ffos Las. Despite a decent performance when second at Newton Abbot, her form appears inconsistent. She may need to improve to compete effectively with the other contenders in this race.

In conclusion, based on the ratings and comments, Hurricane Vichi and Shortcross Storm appear to be the top contenders. Hurricane Vichi, in particular, is of interest due to his potential as a chaser and good performance at Lingfield. Shortcross Storm also has a good chance, considering his recent victory over C&D. Despite their rankings, both Lord Bryan and Investment Manager have had inconsistent performances, so while they cannot be ruled out, they require careful consideration.

3.35 Newton Abbot (11 runners)
Talk Tidy Marketing Handicap Hurdle
2m1f

Based on the total ratings and the provided comments, we can analyse the horses in this race as follows:

  1. Hunting Percival: Holding the top rating of 411.4, Hunting Percival demonstrated that he retains ability when placing second at this course a week ago. If the race doesn’t come too soon for him, we should expect him to be a strong contender.
  2. Good Impression: This horse comes second in the ratings with a total of 345.7. It was successful twice during autumn, but hasn’t matched the same performance this spring. As such, while it can’t be ruled out, its current form raises some questions.
  3. Turpin Gold: Ranking third with a rating of 307.0, Turpin Gold opened his hurdling account in a Stratford novice. However, he has been lame at Huntingdon and pulled too hard at Ffos Las recently, which casts a shadow on his chances in this race.
  4. Buxted Too: With a total rating of 297.1, Buxted Too is a borderline useful flat winner. He hasn’t reached the same level over hurdles yet, but showed more promise in a novice at Huntingdon last time. As he’s potentially under handicapped, he may perform better than expected.
  5. Free Chakarte (FR): Coming in fifth with a rating of 285.8, Free Chakarte won on his hurdles debut at Hexham a year ago. His form dipped subsequently, but he showed some signs of encouragement when fifth at Worcester recently.

In conclusion, Hunting Percival is the top contender based on ratings and recent performance. Buxted Too also deserves special mention, as he’s potentially under handicapped and showed signs of encouragement in his last race. Good Impression, Turpin Gold, and Free Chakarte should not be discounted entirely, but their form raises some questions and needs careful consideration.

4.10 Newton Abbot (5 runners)
newtonabbotracing.com Mares Handicap Hurdle
3m3f

Analysing this horse race based on the ratings and comments provided, here is the summary of the prospects:

  1. Danzini (IRE): With the highest total rating of 385.8, Danzini is placed at the top. However, the horse arrives after a pair of poor performances, and this raises some questions about its current form. The addition of tongue strap and cheekpieces might bring a positive change, but that remains to be seen.
  2. Dancingontheedge (FR): Just a whisker behind Danzini in ratings with a total of 385.1, Dancingontheedge is a strong contender. Her performance was noteworthy in the handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter, where she narrowly missed the win. The addition of cheekpieces suggests her team is striving for that extra edge, and she could certainly make amends from only 1 lb higher. She deserves a special mention as a horse with an exceptional chance based on recent performance.
  3. Saxon Queen: This horse ranks third in ratings with a total of 314.4. Saxon Queen isn’t the most straightforward runner, but she showed promising form after a lengthy break, coming second in the handicap hurdle at Ffos Las. If she’s able to maintain that form, she’ll be a horse to watch.
  4. Rubys Reward: Holding a total rating of 247.4, Ruby’s Reward managed a good race when she came fourth in a handicap hurdle at Taunton. She has proven that she can stay well and therefore shouldn’t be ruled out entirely.
  5. Gios Girl: With the lowest rating of 242.0, Gios Girl is a winning pointer but has struggled since returning from a 2-year absence. Given her current form, it’s hard to see her posing a major threat in this race.

In conclusion, Dancingontheedge seems to be the top contender here, with recent form and the application of cheekpieces expected to improve her chances. Danzini, despite topping the ratings, is questionable due to recent poor performances. Saxon Queen and Ruby’s Reward are solid contenders who can spring a surprise if they maintain their form. Gios Girl, however, seems unlikely to challenge seriously based on her recent form.

4.45 Newton Abbot (4 runners)
Visit attheraces.com Novices Handicap
Chase (GBB Race)

2m5½f

In this analysis, we will be looking at the 4.45 Newton Abbot race, focusing primarily on the total ratings and any additional information gleaned from the comments. The runners are as follows:

  1. Chief Black Robe (IRE): Topping the total ratings with an impressive 561.9, Chief Black Robe is the standout contender. His form has improved significantly, taking a recent victory over fences at Market Rasen and following it up with another win at this C&D. He is in fine fettle and has outstanding claims of a quickfire hat-trick. He’s the top horse to watch, with a highly promising prospect based on the comments.
  2. Bagheera Ginge: Second in the ratings list with a total of 400.0. Bagheera Ginge had been steadily improving over hurdles last term with victories at Stratford and this course. However, his transition to chasing at Kempton didn’t go as planned, suggesting that a return to form here requires a leap of faith. While his rating gives him an edge, the comments suggest he might not be the most secure choice.
  3. Umndeni (FR): Third in ratings, with a total of 354.6. Umndeni has tasted victory over hurdles at this venue but hasn’t been able to replicate that success in this sphere, with a disappointing finish at Worcester recently. The change from cheekpieces to blinkers and a 5 lb mark drop might bring about some improvement, but it’s uncertain.
  4. Balko Saint (FR): The lowest-rated horse with a total of 321.9. Despite this, Balko Saint was unfortunate to meet a handicap blot at Worcester, but he gave a commendable performance finishing runner-up. The comments hint at him being the most apparent threat to Chief Black Robe, making him an interesting prospect despite his lower rating.

In conclusion, Chief Black Robe seems to have a clear advantage in this race based on his rating and recent form. Bagheera Ginge and Umndeni need to improve to threaten, with the former needing to bounce back from a disappointing chase debut and the latter needing to bring his hurdles form into this sphere. Balko Saint, although bottom in ratings, shouldn’t be dismissed lightly based on his recent showing at Worcester.

5.20 Newton Abbot (3 runners)
NewtonAbbotRace On Twitter Open
Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)

2m1f 

The 5.20 at Newton Abbot is a maiden National Hunt flat race featuring just three runners. We will focus on the ratings as the primary driver of analysis but will also consider the comments for additional insights. Here’s a breakdown of the field:

  1. Gregorian Diamond (IRE): Leading the field by a significant margin with a total rating of 396.3, Gregorian Diamond comes from an in-form yard. Despite failing to complete in both starts in points, he showed potential by placing third in a Stratford bumper just 17 days ago. This gives reason to believe he could build on that performance, making a bold showing highly anticipated. Gregorian Diamond stands out as the top contender for this race based on both the ratings and the comments.
  2. Corporal Jackjones (IRE): Second in the ratings but considerably behind the leader with 199.2, Corporal Jackjones had a mediocre debut at Huntingdon, finishing ninth in a 10-runner bumper. However, it’s suggested he may have been unsuited by racing along the inside, indicating there’s potential for improvement here. While he’s not at Gregorian Diamond’s level according to the ratings, he could be a potential candidate for place money.
  3. Palawan Du Mazet (FR): The lowest-rated horse, with a total of 126.6, Palawan Du Mazet enters the race with blinkers on debut. His lineage suggests potential ability, but with no racing history to gauge his performance, it’s hard to predict his impact on this race. The betting market may provide some insight on the day.

In conclusion, based on the total ratings and comments, Gregorian Diamond (IRE) is the standout horse in this race, and a good performance is expected from him. Corporal Jackjones (IRE) may improve on his debut run, while newcomer Palawan Du Mazet (FR) is an unknown quantity. Betting movements on the day may offer further guidance on Palawan Du Mazet’s chances.

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