Going: Good | Runners: 13 | Pace Forecast: Weak

1. Race Setup and Pace Angle

This looks a steadily-run race on paper, with only a few likely to go forward early. With no habitual trailblazers and many preferring to race off the pace, it could favour those ridden handily or with tactical speed. PRINCE OF AIR generally races prominently and should be well served, whereas confirmed hold-up types like INTHENICKOFTIME and MUST BE DREAMING might be forced to rely on luck in running if the gallop underwhelms.

There’s no draw bias to consider here on Roscommon’s chase course.


—

2. Contenders, Dangers & Notables

Strongest Contenders

INTHENICKOFTIME (5yo, E. Bolger) [118p adj] – Brought along steadily and shaped with considerable promise when third at Killarney (20.5f), only his second chase start and not ideally placed. Progressive profile and still unexposed over fences. Can improve again granted a clear passage.

PRINCE OF AIR (8yo, C. Coakley) [113 adj] – Twice a winner this season and not beaten far at Tramore when tactics didn’t suit. Well suited by a weak pace, races close up, and has been reliable in this grade.

CHARLIES PRIDE (6yo, P. Power) [111p adj] – Lightly raced and showed promise on chase debut at Tipperary when third despite market drift. Should come forward from that effort, though not yet proven beyond 17f.


Main Dangers

MUST BE DREAMING (8yo, G. Ahern) [117 adj] – Beat Prince of Air at Tramore in March and hinted at a return to form with a fair fourth over 22f last time. Often held up, so may not be ideally positioned if the pace slackens.

LUIMNEACH (8yo, D. McDonogh) [104 adj] – Yet to convince over fences but posted solid hurdle form last season. First go in handicap chase company makes him worth a second look.


Interesting Outsiders

ALIUNDE (8yo, M. McNiff) [116 adj] – Course-and-distance scorer early last season. Should strip fitter after a quiet return from a break and the jockey claim is a positive.

ANDYOURBIRDCANSING (7yo, J.P. Ryan) [115x adj] – Inconsistent and a faller in two of last four starts over fences, but her best hurdle form puts her in the mix if completing.

PAHLAVI (8yo, J.J. Hanlon) [– adj] – Stable has a good record with sole chasers on the card (+£33.95 to £1 level stake). Lightly tried over fences, recent return was below par but that was over hurdles.


Trainer Trends

No trainer has won this race before (per Timeform).

Notably cold yards: J.J. Hanlon (PAHLAVI) and James Barcoe (RED STRIKER) – both need a revival.


Hold-Up Risks

MUST BE DREAMING, INTHENICKOFTIME, and CHARLIES PRIDE are all typically ridden with restraint and will need pace and gaps.


Market Watch Flags

PAHLAVI and ELMOUNT both return from breaks of 90+ days – look for support or drifts.

CHARLIES PRIDE is making only his second chase start – significant scope for improvement and market signals could be telling.



—

3. Runner Ratings out of 10

Horse Rating /10 Notes

INTHENICKOFTIME 8.5 Unexposed, shaped well LTO, needs pace.
PRINCE OF AIR 8 Consistent, races on pace, well treated.
CHARLIES PRIDE 7.5 Scopey type, 2nd chase start. Trip the query.
MUST BE DREAMING 7 Capable on form, needs everything to fall right.
LUIMNEACH 6.5 Chase mark lenient if transferring hurdle form.
ALIUNDE 6.5 Lightly raced over fences, fitter now.
ANDYOURBIRDCANSING 6 Clumsy jumper but not hopeless.
RED STRIKER 5.5 Inconsistent, often unlucky.
BALTINGLASS HILL 5.5 Yard out of form, recent efforts modest.
PAHLAVI 5.5 Worth market check with trainer angle.
WAJAAHA 4.5 Needs revival, blinkers might help.
DREAMZ 4 Long absence and trip doubts.
ELMOUNT 3.5 Over 500 days off, risky despite past UK form.



—

4. Each-Way Angles

With 13 runners declared, each-way terms are applicable.

LUIMNEACH could sneak into the frame with improvement on his handicap chase debut.

ALIUNDE is another viable each-way prospect if sharper for his reappearance.



—

5. Private Tissue Estimate (100%)

INTHENICKOFTIME – 7/2

PRINCE OF AIR – 5/1

CHARLIES PRIDE – 6/1

MUST BE DREAMING – 8/1

LUIMNEACH – 9/1

ALIUNDE – 10/1

ANDYOURBIRDCANSING – 12/1

PAHLAVI – 14/1

BALTINGLASS HILL – 16/1

RED STRIKER – 16/1

WAJAAHA – 25/1

DREAMZ – 33/1

ELMOUNT – 40/1



—

6. Summary

INTHENICKOFTIME brings the most promise into this contest on only his third start over fences and remains on a workable mark. PRINCE OF AIR looks solid and is well suited to the likely pace scenario, while CHARLIES PRIDE is a definite improver to watch on just his second go chasing. LUIMNEACH and ALIUNDE are viable each-way options if bouncing back from recent lesser efforts. Caution is advised around those returning from long layoffs – notably ELMOUNT and PAHLAVI – unless market vibes are strongly positive.