Pace & Draw Angles:
Forecast pace: Uncontested.
Pace Hint: REAL EMPIRE is likely to get a soft lead, with no other natural front-runners in the line-up. On this sharp track and quick surface, that could be a tactical advantage.
Draw not applicable in hurdles.


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Main Contenders:

1. LAND GIRL’S LUCK (113)
In-form and progressive, with back-to-back wins in mares’ company (including over C&D 13 days ago). Likely improver again for a stable going well. Stamina assured, handles the ground, and thrives under positive tactics. Could control the race if REAL EMPIRE fades.
Suitability Scores:

Going: 9

Field Size: 9

Forecast Pace: 9

Track: 10

Distance: 9

Class: 8

Temperament: 9

Trainer: 8

Jockey: 7
Total: 78/100


2. G’DAY AUSSIE (112)
Veteran 12yo returned to form with a win at Worcester, staying on strongly off a slow pace. Effective up to this trip, goes well fresh, and has solid form on good to firm. Could build on that recent win, but not obviously well treated at 12 years of age.
Suitability Scores:

Going: 9

Field Size: 8

Forecast Pace: 7

Track: 8

Distance: 8

Class: 7

Temperament: 7

Trainer: 7

Jockey: 6
Total: 67/100



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Dangers & Outsiders:

3. REAL EMPIRE (106)
Irish raider with form suggesting he’s a modest type, but does benefit from a likely uncontested lead. Hasn’t delivered on betting support before. Stable cold, but interesting tactics-wise.
Suitability Scores:

Going: 7

Field Size: 8

Forecast Pace: 9

Track: 6

Distance: 8

Class: 7

Temperament: 6

Trainer: 4

Jockey: 7
Total: 62/100


4. MRS TABITHA (109§)
Not straightforward. Has issues with finishing her races, but has place form at the track and on this ground. Yard doing well and has place claims if putting it together. A hold-up type that needs luck.
Suitability Scores:

Going: 8

Field Size: 7

Forecast Pace: 5

Track: 7

Distance: 7

Class: 7

Temperament: 4

Trainer: 7

Jockey: 7
Total: 59/100


5. ZAMOND (???)
Off the track 653 days, needs a market check. Previously backed before pulling up. Connections respected, but layoff significant. Could sneak a place if fit.
Suitability Scores:

Going: 6

Field Size: 6

Forecast Pace: 6

Track: 6

Distance: 6

Class: 5

Temperament: 5

Trainer: 7

Jockey: 6
Total: 53/100


6. GREY SKIES (???)
Has slipped in the weights but has been well held in recent runs. Better chaser than hurdler. Interesting jockey/trainer combo but little recent promise.
Suitability Scores:

Going: 7

Field Size: 6

Forecast Pace: 5

Track: 6

Distance: 7

Class: 6

Temperament: 6

Trainer: 6

Jockey: 8
Total: 57/100



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Trends & Notes:

LAND GIRL’S LUCK is on a rapid upward curve, going for a hat-trick, including one over C&D.

Watch out for G’DAY AUSSIE: 12yo but effective when fresh and late market support is significant.

Market check needed for ZAMOND (653 days off) and hold-up risks like MRS TABITHA.

REAL EMPIRE could get a tactical lead; stable form poor, but has a race shape advantage.



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Private Tissue Estimate:

Land Girl’s Luck – 13/8

G’Day Aussie – 3/1

Real Empire – 9/2

Mrs Tabitha – 11/2

Zamond – 10/1

Grey Skies – 12/1



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Summary:

A thin race for a 0-105, but LAND GIRL’S LUCK arrives in prime form, is improving, and is proven at this venue under these conditions. G’DAY AUSSIE showed he retains ability and may go close again if the pace collapses. REAL EMPIRE holds tactical claims but has been unreliable. MRS TABITHA has ability but risks being a hostage to fortune.


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Smart Play:

Win Bet: LAND GIRL’S LUCK (Proven & Progressive)
Each-Way Saver (if prices allow): G’DAY AUSSIE (Proven & Returning Fit)