Pace Angles + Draw Angles

This is a large field low-grade handicap chase on Tramore’s turning, undulating right-handed track. No stalls here, but early positioning is crucial as the race tends to tighten significantly down the hill. The race shape here looks to have plenty of pace with Thehairyfella, Likable Chancer, Greenway Machine, and Early Arrival all inclined to race handy. Expect a strong pace and for the race to stretch out into the final circuit. Hold-up horses will face traffic risks on the downhill run, especially if caught wide.

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🔹 Strongest Contenders

1. Our Zebo – Progressive – 9/10

Returned to form since blinkers were applied; just touched off by Thehairyfella at Downpatrick last time after being slightly unlucky in the closing stages. A proven stayer with good Tramore form and arrives on a mark that still looks workable based on past 120+ RPRs. Handles sound surfaces well and is now at peak fitness. Positional speed is moderate but will sit just off the pace.

2. Early Arrival – Proven – 8/10

Has a Tramore win and two seconds here this year. A solid summer stayer who thrives in this grade and has held his form all season. Although more exposed than others, his course record and genuine running style give him major place claims.

3. Thehairyfella – Proven – 7/10

Clung on from Our Zebo two runs ago but was flat off a 4lb higher mark last time. Still, he stays well, jumps safely, and Gordon Elliott has a good record in these staying races. May struggle to confirm form with Our Zebo, but he’ll be prominent again and is fit and consistent.

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🔹 Main Dangers

4. Onefortheditch – Promising – 7/10

Two recent solid placed efforts at 3m, and likely to be suited by this drop back to 2m5f on a sharp track. Shaped like a stayer, with notable sectionals at Wexford and Kilbeggan, and is lightly raced over fences. May still be improving, but hold-up style is a tactical risk here.

5. Likable Chancer – Proven – 7/10

Genuine veteran who’s a bit of a course specialist at this level. Good recent run behind It’s Never Simple, and has previous form over this CD. Consistent but exposed, and will need a strong gallop to bring stamina into play.

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🔹 Interesting Outsiders

6. Miss Lia – Promising – 6/10

Lightly raced mare with upside. Ran a career best last time and jumps well. Profile suggests she may be best on better ground and will need to step up again on chase debut. Yard in decent form.

7. Greenway Machine – Proven – 6/10

Has three strong runs at Tramore this year including a win. A likeable veteran, typically races prominently and handles the course well. This setup could suit and would not be a surprise to see him hold on for a place.

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🔹 Hold-up Risk Types

• Onefortheditch – Will need luck down the hill.
• Miss Lia – Likely to be waited with.
• Futurum Regem – Tends to be outpaced early.

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🔹 Runner Scores & Suitability

• Our Zebo: 9/10 – Very well suited to track/trip/ground.
• Early Arrival: 8/10 – Course winner; stays well; genuine.
• Thehairyfella: 7/10 – Front-runner; strong chance if unchallenged.
• Onefortheditch: 7/10 – Unexposed over fences but tactical concerns.
• Likable Chancer: 7/10 – Reliable veteran, suited to a strong pace.
• Greenway Machine: 6/10 – Course lover, can be thereabouts again.
• Miss Lia: 6/10 – Unexposed; unknown over fences.
• Futurum Regem: 5/10 – Better hurdler; stamina a question.
• Ballagh Star: 4/10 – Form regressive and outpaced at this track.
• Tell Me This: 4/10 – Continues to disappoint over fences.
• Bondi Boy Blue: 3/10 – No recent form to recommend.
• Must Be Dreaming: 3/10 – Off form.
• Benzine: 3/10 – Poor profile.
• Fr Gilligansvoyge: 2/10 – Fully exposed and unreliable.
• Great Rainbow: 2/10 – Out of form.
• Hero In The Sky: 2/10 – Low-level chaser; weak finisher.
• Robin De Roost: 1/10 – 15yo, pulled up in 3 of last 5.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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🔹 Each-Way Angles (18 runners)

• Greenway Machine (6/10) – Proven Tramore form; capable of sticking on for a place.
• Miss Lia (6/10) – If she takes to fences, has more to come.
• Likable Chancer (7/10) – Veteran who stays and runs well here.

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🔹 Private Tissue Estimate (Selected Runners)

Horse	Tissue Odds
Our Zebo	4/1
Early Arrival	5/1
Thehairyfella	7/1
Onefortheditch	8/1
Likable Chancer	9/1
Greenway Machine	12/1
Miss Lia	14/1
Others	20/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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🔹 Summary + Smart Play

This is a wide-open 0–100 staying chase, but with several exposed types and some unconvincing profiles, Our Zebo stands out as a progressive stayer with strong recent form, excellent Tramore credentials, and still well-treated off 90. Early Arrival brings solid course form and represents a consistent summer profile, while Greenway Machine appeals as a track specialist capable of sneaking into the frame under the radar.

Smart Play:

• Win bet: Our Zebo
• Each-way saver: Greenway Machine