Pace & Tactical Overview:
A strong pace is likely. Vocito and Here Comes Georgie are both forward-going and have made all before, while Fiveonefive can sit close to the speed. This setup could test stamina late, especially for exposed or hold-up runners. Perth is a sharp, speed-favouring track, so tactical positioning will be crucial.
Contenders Breakdown
Strongest Contenders
Vocito (Olly Murphy) – Progressive. Now rated 123 but ran to a career-best RPR of 141 last time at Uttoxeter when dictating a strong pace and staying on strongly. Effective on good ground and has form up to 2m4f. Claims enhanced by Lewis Saunders’ valuable 7lb claim. Up in class but still unexposed in handicaps. Track shape suits.
Here Comes Georgie (Patrick Neville) – Proven. Won 4 of last 7 and thrives at Perth. Best on decent ground and remains fairly treated on his old form (RPRs 140–147). Effective when allowed to dominate or sit handy. Back over hurdles after solid novice chase efforts. Sharp course and conditions ideal.
Main Dangers
Rock On Pedro (Olly Murphy) – Unexposed. Made a winning debut for this yard in maiden company, travelling strongly and finding plenty. Lightly raced under rules and could take a jump forward, especially as he returns to handicaps off 115. Strong trainer/jockey combination with Bowen aboard.
Fiveonefive (Cian Collins) – Proven. Won this race 12 months ago and returned to form with a solid Cartmel win two starts ago. Needs to bounce back from a chase pull-up but better over hurdles and suited by strong pace. Ground and trip ideal.
Interesting Outsiders
Evaluation (Lucinda Russell/Michael Scudamore) – Promising. Lightly raced over hurdles, placed twice here this summer and shaped with credit. Not fully exposed and looks well-handicapped based on Flat form. Could be better suited to a stiffer test but not discounted if they go hard up front.
Ravenscraig Castle (Iain Jardine) – Exposed. Got his head back in front at Perth in July but hasn’t always backed up wins. RPR of 134 ties in competitively but needs to step up in class and field strength here.
Runner Scores & Suitability Summary
- Vocito: 8/10 – Stays well, likes the ground, in-form, race shape should suit.
- Here Comes Georgie: 7/10 – Strong course profile, pace presence, sound mark.
- Rock On Pedro: 7/10 – Likely improver, good trainer switch, unknown ceiling.
- Fiveonefive: 6/10 – Course winner, strong on best form, bounce-back needed.
- Evaluation: 6/10 – Improving, well-treated on Flat marks, track sharpness a concern.
- Ravenscraig Castle: 5/10 – Exposed, possible place claims if others underperform.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form hurdlers returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (6 runners)
No standard each-way terms, but place-heavy markets may support:
- Rock On Pedro – Potential to outrun odds on ceiling unknown.
- Evaluation – Late closer, pace collapse beneficiary if they go overly hard.
Private Tissue Estimate
- Vocito – 11/4
- Here Comes Georgie – 7/2
- Rock On Pedro – 9/2
- Fiveonefive – 13/2
- Evaluation – 7/1
- Ravenscraig Castle – 10/1
Market watch advised for runners making their second start or back off a break.
Summary & Smart Play
With Mighty Tom absent, the race is now more open and tactically influenced. Vocito is the standout progressive type with solid recent figures and a versatile run style. Here Comes Georgie has local course form and should be respected, while Rock On Pedro is the unknown with upside.
Smart Play
- Win Bet: Vocito – Progressive and in-form, should relish race conditions and pace setup.
- Alternative Bet: Rock On Pedro – Unexposed, sharp profile suggests he’s capable of further progress.
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