6.53 Market Rasen – PricedUp Pushes Handicap Chase (Class 5), 2m5f89y – Good Ground

·

Pace Angles + Draw Angles:
Pace likely to be only fair – Couldbeaweapon and Getthepot may take up the running with St Patricks Bridge and Zoffalee close up. Without Ribeye to apply pressure late on, this could turn into a steadily run affair, with the benefit swinging to those up with the pace or who can race prominently.


Strongest Contenders:

Getthepot – Proven (8/10)
Ultra-consistent at this level; second on four of his last five starts. He’ll race handily and is tactically versatile. Slight concern over finishing effort, but he stays well and handles the course. Ribeye’s absence improves his winning chances marginally, though a clear finishing effort remains his biggest challenge.

Zoffalee – Potential Resurgence (7.5/10)
Showed a big return to form latest (2nd, RPR 102) back over fences. Down the weights and fitter now. The August angle is notable – both career wins came in this month. Could easily build on latest if he reproduces the energy levels shown at Uttoxeter.


Main Dangers:

I Am Rocco – Promising (7.5/10)
British chase debut was his best in a long while (RPR 100), suggesting a corner may have been turned. Still a maiden but lightly raced over fences. Could go forward or stalk the pace, and he travelled well last time. Improvement isn’t out of the question.

St Patricks Bridge – Inconsistent but Unexposed (6.5/10)
Behind Ribeye and Zoffalee here latest; weakened late but that was just his second chase run. Fergal O’Brien often gets improvement 3rd time over fences, and he gets his conditions. Likely to be sharper now; could easily find a frame spot.


Interesting Outsiders:

Couldbeaweapon – Unreliable but Capable (6/10)
Has bits of form off similar marks, and if getting an uncontested lead could go well for a long way. Needs to be delivered perfectly and has flattened out repeatedly in recent starts.

Hardy Buck – Unknown over fences (5/10)
Pulled up latest over fences but has shaped with minor promise in low-grade hurdles. Market support would be noteworthy but very hard to recommend outright.


Hold-Up Risks:

Fast Deal and I Am Rocco are potentially held up. Given the lack of pace, they will need the race to develop favourably mid-race. Runners needing a proper gallop may struggle.


Runner Scores and Suitability:

  • Getthepot: 8/10 – Stays well, consistent, but not the strongest finisher.
  • Zoffalee: 7.5/10 – Back to form; market and seasonal angle positive.
  • I Am Rocco: 7.5/10 – Potential improver; travelled like a winner last time.
  • St Patricks Bridge: 6.5/10 – Should progress again; now 3rd chase start.
  • Couldbeaweapon: 6/10 – Could go well if unchallenged; stamina a worry late.
  • Hardy Buck: 5/10 – Lightly raced, unsure over fences; one for the long game.
  • Caballo Diablo: 3/10 – Out of weights; not enough evidence to support.
  • Fast Deal: 2/10 – Pulled up multiple times; unreliable.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form chasers returning quickly; they can be hot.


Each-Way Angles (Still 8 runners):

  • Zoffalee – Coming back into form; his two wins came in August and he shaped well last time. Interesting with form re-emerging and off a workable mark.

Private Tissue Estimate (REVISED):

  • Getthepot – 3/1
  • Zoffalee – 9/2
  • I Am Rocco – 9/2
  • St Patricks Bridge – 6/1
  • Couldbeaweapon – 8/1
  • Hardy Buck – 12/1
  • Caballo Diablo – 33/1
  • Fast Deal – 66/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.


Summary + Smart Play:

With Ribeye absent, Getthepot becomes the most reliable contender – although often second-best, he brings consistent chase form at this level. Zoffalee looks primed for a big run, back over fences, running into form, and well-handicapped in his favourite month. I Am Rocco is unexposed and could progress again for a new yard.

Smart Play:

  • Win Bet: Getthepot – consistent placer who deserves another win and gets conditions to suit.
  • Each-Way Saver: Zoffalee – back in form, handicapped to win, and well treated historically in August.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe