Exeter Race Breakdown (25 October)
1.40 PricedUp Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (2m 2f 111y, Class 4)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | TimeWise Rating Type |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Start Again (IRE) (3/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
| 2 | Emaculate Soldier (GER) (50/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
Recent Form & Comments
Start Again (IRE): This horse has dual positives to take from his bumper runs and his first two runs over hurdles, although he was well held in those races. He made a quiet handicap debut at Market Rasen. His latest running style figures are 272-37.
Emaculate Soldier (GER): He is a dual Flat winner (AW) for his previous yard. However, since joining the current yard, he has been well held in two runs, one on the Flat and one on his hurdling debut. His latest running style figure is 7. He is likely to need more time.
Spotlight Verdict
An 11-month absence is not ideal but Oakley’s Way didn’t run too badly on hurdling debut and his bumper form was encouraging. Oakley has to be respected having made the frame in Irish maiden hurdles and Start Again should also run well.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 4yo 0-1-7, 5yo 4-5-24, 6yo 0-0-3, 8yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 1U62.
- Trainer Records: Not provided in the sources for this race.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Start Again (IRE):
- Strengths: Showed promise in bumper runs and early hurdle runs. Expected to be a factor.
- Weaknesses: Has been well held recently.
- Suitability: The Spotlight Verdict suggests he should run well.
Emaculate Soldier (GER):
- Strengths: Proven ability on the Flat (dual AW winner).
- Weaknesses: Has been soundly beaten in recent runs, including his hurdling debut. Needs more time.
2.15 Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Novices’ Limited Handicap Hurdle (2m 161y, Class 5)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | TimeWise Rating Type |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guillaume (IRE) (3/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
| 2 | Chips And Rice (10/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
Recent Form & Comments
Guillaume (IRE): This horse has made it 0-10 over hurdles and has only won over fences. He was beaten 12l at Kelso a month ago, but was running fairly well in this discipline prior to that. He certainly has each-way claims.
Chips And Rice: A capable Flat performer who ran okay in maiden hurdles during the summer before losing her way. She has had wind surgery.
Spotlight Verdict
Donald McCain’s Guillaume has run a few good races this year and rates the safest option. Offiah’s Boy makes his handicap debut over hurdles after a productive summer on the Flat. Prairie Queen is best of the rest.
Race Statistics
Race statistics not provided in the sources for this race.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Guillaume (IRE):
- Strengths: Has run a few good races this year and rates as the safest option. Has genuine each-way claims.
- Weaknesses: Is a 0-10 hurdle runner (although he has won over fences).
Chips And Rice:
- Strengths: Capable Flat performer who showed some ability over maiden hurdles earlier in the season. Has had recent wind surgery.
- Weaknesses: Has recently lost her way. Others look safer.
2.50 Download The PricedUp App Handicap Hurdle (2m 7f 25y, Class 3)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | TimeWise Rating Type |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballintubber Boy (IRE) (11/8) | Total TimeWise Rating |
| 2 | Time To Bite (IRE) (3/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
Recent Form & Comments
Ballintubber Boy (IRE): He holds a strong record of 7 wins from 17 starts over hurdles. He ran well last week at Hereford (2m5f), just missing out on his return to this discipline. He stays the distance and should again be seriously involved.
Time To Bite (IRE): This horse won five good-ground chases this year, performing as an effective front-runner. He returns to hurdling, a discipline in which he is 0-13, but does so off a much lower mark. He has to be considered.
Spotlight Verdict
These small fields suit front-runner Time To Bite (nap) and he returns to hurdling off an appealing handicap mark. Ballintubber Boy rates the danger with a good strike-rate over hurdles and having run well at Hereford last week.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 5yo 2-2-11, 6yo 3-2-14, 7yo 1-4-18, 8yo 1-1-5, 9yo 0-0-3, 10yo 0-0-3, 11yo 0-0-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 1311211.
- Trainer Records: Not provided in the sources for this race.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Ballintubber Boy (IRE):
- Strengths: Excellent strike-rate over hurdles (7/17). Showed strong form last week. He is rated the main danger in the Spotlight Verdict.
- Suitability: Should be seriously involved.
Time To Bite (IRE):
- Strengths: Suited by small fields and front-running tactics. Running off a much lower mark hurdling compared to chasing. He is the designated ‘nap’ selection.
- Weaknesses: Is 0-13 over hurdles.
3.25 Download The PricedUp App Mares’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (2m 5f 137y, Class 4)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | TimeWise Rating Type |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Voodoo Angel (IRE) (11/10) | Total TimeWise Rating |
| 2 | Wheres Cato (IRE) (9/4) | Total TimeWise Rating |
Recent Form & Comments
Voodoo Angel (IRE): She had two good runs in Ireland (bumper/maiden). However, since joining the current yard, she has been badly beaten in two 2m4f maidens (by 63l and 30l). She now has a bit to prove.
Wheres Cato (IRE): Her Irish point form does not look strong. She was the last to complete on her hurdling debut last week at Chepstow (2m3f, good), but she wasn’t beaten far, and this contest might be weaker.
Spotlight Verdict
None of these are at all solid. Where’s Cato probably ran in a better race at Chepstow nine days ago and she earns a very tentative vote ahead of Voodoo Angel. Miss Tiara could yet show more.
Race Statistics
Race statistics not provided in the sources for this race.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Voodoo Angel (IRE):
- Strengths: Has previously shown good form in Ireland.
- Weaknesses: Recent performances for the current yard have been poor, beaten by significant margins. Needs to prove her current ability.
Wheres Cato (IRE):
- Strengths: May have contested a stronger race on debut and wasn’t beaten too far. Tentatively selected by the Spotlight Verdict.
- Weaknesses: Her Irish point form is weak, and she was the last horse to complete her hurdling debut.
4.00 Mrs Patricia Gardner Memorial Handicap Hurdle (2m 7f 25y, Class 5)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | TimeWise Rating Type |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cinnodin (9/4) | Total TimeWise Rating |
| 2 | Unspeakable (IRE) (3/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
Recent Form & Comments
Cinnodin: She is a multiple winner on the Flat (1m4f-2m) and is effective when fitted with blinkers in that sphere. The blinkers return for her handicap debut over hurdles, following a recent race where she raced lazily when second in a Stratford novice. She is considered a factor.
Unspeakable (IRE): He recently dug deep to win over fences last week at Hereford (3m1f, good). He runs here over hurdles off the very same mark and is stated to have clear claims.
Spotlight Verdict
Cinnodin could improve for the blinkers fitted for his first handicap and Testflight shouldn’t be far away. However, off the same mark as for last week’s win over fences, Unspeakable gets the vote.
Race Statistics
Race statistics not provided in the sources for this race.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Cinnodin:
- Strengths: Proven Flat winner, and the return of blinkers (effective on the Flat) could spark improvement on his handicap hurdle debut.
- Weaknesses: Raced lazily recently.
Unspeakable (IRE):
- Strengths: Recent winning form over fences. Runs off the exact same mark over hurdles, giving him a clear chance. Designated selection by Spotlight.
- Suitability: High due to the favorable mark following his win last week.
4.30 PricedUp.Bet Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (2m 2f 111y, Class 5)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | TimeWise Rating Type |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ugo Bingo (FR) (11/8) | Total TimeWise Rating |
| 2 | Ghost Jury (IRE) (7/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
Recent Form & Comments
Ugo Bingo (FR): He won twice last season on good to soft, and a quicker surface is acceptable. Both runs for his current yard were respectable, though he did not look ahead of his mark. A case can be made for him.
Ghost Jury (IRE): This horse was placed off 6lb higher in a handicap debut at Newton Abbot (2m1f, good) in May. He has been disappointing since then and departed early after wind surgery on his last outing.
Spotlight Verdict
Narrow preference is for Hillsin who has returned to a trainer for whom he won three times last year. Uno Bingo has run well in both his races for Joe Tizzard and he’s second choice ahead of Ghost Jury.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-1-2, 4yo 1-1-9, 5yo 1-4-15, 6yo 2-5-27, 7yo 2-2-14, 8yo 1-1-12, 9yo 0-0-4, 10yo 0-1-4, 11yo 0-0-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 1U312P1.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Kayley Woollacott 1-1-4, Alan Jones 0-1-2, Joe Tizzard 0-1-3.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Ugo Bingo (FR):
- Strengths: Proven winner on good to soft, with versatility on quicker ground. Has been running respectably for his new stable. Second choice selection by Spotlight.
- Weaknesses: Has not recently shown he is ahead of his handicap mark.
Ghost Jury (IRE):
- Strengths: Has run well off a higher mark earlier in the year (May).
- Weaknesses: Has been disappointing since May. Wind surgery benefit needs to be seen after departing early last time.
5.05 Weatherbys And Birdie Calendars “3 Yrs Old” “Junior” National Hunt Flat Race (1m 5f 38y, Class 5)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | TimeWise Rating Type |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dakota Star (7/2) | Total TimeWise Rating |
| 2 | Arc Centurion (IRE) (10/1) | Total TimeWise Rating |
Recent Form & Comments
Both horses are three-year-old debutants with no prior race form.
Dakota Star: This is the first foal of a dam who was unplaced in bumpers/hurdles. She is a half-sister to useful winners Karasenir and Solstice Son. The market will be informative as the stable runs two.
Arc Centurion (IRE): This horse’s value dropped significantly from 12,000gns as a yearling to £1,000 as a 3yo. He is related to some useful Flat winners (up to 2m). The stable is known to win these types of races and he is wearing a tongue-tie.
Spotlight Verdict
Jane Williams won this two years ago and No Boundaries, who is a half-brother to El Fabiolo, could be the pick of her two runners. The Hobbs & White team are also doubly represented with Dakota Star and Maxios Aurelius who are feared most in that order. However, with no form to go on, the betting will make for essential reference.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 10-16-95.
- Fate of Favourites: 4611P01100.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Christian Williams 1-0-4, Jane Williams 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
Since both horses are debutants, assessment is based on pedigree, trainer performance, and market expectation.
Dakota Star:
- Strengths: Decent pedigree with winners in the family. Feared most among the runners from the P Hobbs & J White yard.
- Weaknesses: No prior race experience.
Arc Centurion (IRE):
- Strengths: Trainer (N King) has a good record in these races. Related to useful Flat winners.
- Weaknesses: Significant drop in sales value from yearling to 3yo. No prior race experience.
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