If you’re looking for a silky-smooth display of hurdling, look elsewhere. Monday’s 3.00 at Catterick is a Class 4 Handicap over two-and-a-half miles on Heavy ground. It’s going to be a slog, and in these conditions, “Current Form” is often secondary to “Current Fitness” and “Course Specialist” status.
Here is the no-nonsense breakdown of where the money should go.
The Market Leaders
Kingston Narcissus (3/1) is the bookies’ darling, coming off a win at Sedgefield. He’s consistent, but he’s never truly convinced on “proper” Heavy ground. At his current price, he’s a risky proposition in a battle of attrition.
Born In The West (4/1) is the logical selection. Sam England’s yard is operating at a 44% strike rate over the last fortnight. This horse won over three miles here just 10 days ago. Dropping back in trip on testing ground is a classic trainer’s move—he’ll be staying on when the rest are treading water. He tops the HorseRaceBase ratings for a reason.
The C&D Threat
Bathgate (9/2) won over this exact track and trip 19 days ago. He’s only up a few pounds for a narrow win, and he’s proven he can handle the unique undulations of Catterick. He is the only serious threat to the selection if he can repeat that late surge.
The “Boom or Bust” Outsider
The Final Word
This race belongs to BORN IN THE WEST. He has the best recent speed figures, the best trainer-jockey stats, and—most importantly—the most proven stamina in the field. On Heavy ground, you back the horse that doesn’t know how to stop.
The Play: * Win: Born In The West (4/1)
Forecast: Born In The West / Bathgate
The 3.00 Catterick: Why Stamina is the Only Currency That Matters🏇⤵️👇
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