This is a 1m median auction fillies’ maiden on yielding ground, with a likely slow pace. That combination is important: these races often become tactical rather than stamina tests, favouring balanced, mile-suited pedigrees with enough pace to hold position rather than pure stayers.

Race Shape

Timeform’s very weak pace signal suggests this could turn into a steadily-run race.

That reduces the advantage of strong stamina pedigrees and increases the importance of tactical speed and positioning.

Fillies who need a proper test (strong gallop) may not be seen to best effect.



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Key Pedigree Themes

1. Proven + balanced profiles dominate

Mixed Feelings sets the standard:

Pedigree supports 1m well (Sioux Nation + New Approach influence).

Already shown ability at the trip.

Likely to be better positioned in a slow race.


She is the most complete profile, but not a hidden one.


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2. Strong newcomer danger with the right balance

Miss Romagna stands out on pedigree:

Make Believe × Galileo is one of the best crosses in the field for a yielding mile.

Balanced for both pace and stamina.

No flashy reputation, which keeps her price bigger than her pedigree warrants.



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3. Dam-side strength overlooked by market

Lake Bonney:

Sire is ordinary for a mile, but the dam family is deep and proven.

This is a classic case of the market focusing on the sire and missing the page strength underneath.



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4. Stamina-leaning fillies slightly disadvantaged

Snow Princess, Caitouna, Coolangatta, Venerini:

All have middle-distance or stamina-heavy pedigrees.

In a stronger-run race they would be more appealing.

Here, the likely tempo slightly blunts their edge.



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5. Potentially overrated profiles

Bang Bang:

Has ability, but pedigree leans more 7f than a testing mile.

In a tactical race, that limitation is more exposed than hidden.



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Conclusions

Most likely winner: Mixed Feelings — solid, balanced, and tactically suited.

Best value bet (pedigree edge): Miss Romagna — strongest overlooked mile pedigree in the race.

Best alternative at a price: Lake Bonney — dam-side strength not fully reflected in odds.

Underestimated type: Snow Princess — better than her bare form, but race shape not ideal.

Oppose at the prices: Bang Bang — ability respected, but pedigree not convincing for this setup.


Bottom line

This is a race where the favourite is the most likely winner, but the value lies with a well-bred newcomer.

If playing it as a pedigree race:

Back Miss Romagna

Respect Mixed Feelings

Keep Lake Bonney on side at bigger odds