This looks a well-run Class 4 handicap with a strong pace setup likely to shape the outcome.

There are two confirmed front runners (Pomme Pomme and Raulin), with additional pressure from a prominent runner, creating a strong early gallop and high collapse risk. That scenario typically favours horses ridden just off the pace or held up.

The Comment Shaper flags three key late finishers — Spioradalta, Cristo and Spoken Truth — with Spioradalta and Cristo standing out most due to stronger overall profiles.

The HRB ratings reinforce this, with:

Spioradalta (Rank 1) clear on top

Cristo (Rank 2) the main danger

Others either reliant on the pace holding (Raulin, Pomme Pomme) or lacking consistency


In short, this race is set up for a closer, and the data strongly points towards the top two in the ratings, particularly Spioradalta, as the most likely winner if the pace unfolds as expected.