Key pedigree points — 1.25 Newbury (Fred Darling)

This looks like a race where the market is focused on the obvious fillies with proven 7f form, but the pedigrees suggest there are a few less exposed runners who may be better than their prices.

Main takeaways

Touleen has the clearest top-class pedigree in the field.
By Lope De Vega out of a Dansili mare, she has the strongest blend of class, turf suitability and 7f/mile scope. On pedigree she is the most solid fit for this race, but that is already reflected in the market, so there may not be much value.

Princess Petrol has one of the best pure class pedigrees in the race.
The St Mark’s Basilica x Distorted Humor cross suggests a filly who should improve again at three and is very well suited by 7f. She looks strong on both ability and suitability.

K Sarra has a very good pedigree, but may want a little further in time.
By New Bay out of an Oasis Dream mare, she has strong long-term potential and plenty of class. The slight concern is whether this sharper 7f test is her absolute optimum today.

Catching The Moon has a stronger 7f pedigree than she may first appear to have.
Being by No Nay Never can make her look like a speed filly, but the Uncle Mo dam side gives her enough depth to stay and improve over 7f. She is a solid, obvious contender, though probably fairly priced rather than underbet.

Best value pedigree angles

Stimulative Trip is the most interesting underbet pedigree in the race.
The Hello Youmzain x Tiger Hill blend gives a very good balance of speed and stamina for a Newbury 7f on good ground. She lacks evidence because she is lightly raced, so confidence is lower, but the pedigree fit is one of the best in the field.

Splish Splash is another likely underbet filly on pedigree.
By Wootton Bassett out of Skitter Scatter, she has one of the more appealing class-speed pages in the race. Her pedigree strongly suggests 7f can suit and she looks better than her odds imply.

Zaravina has a strong pedigree, but may be more of a 1m+ filly later on.
The Zarak x New Approach background gives her plenty of upside and quality, but today’s 7f may not be the perfect spot for her to show her very best.

Blingy’s Sister could also be slightly underestimated.
The Starspangledbanner x Kingman cross gives her a better 7f profile than a simple sprint reading would suggest.

Final summary

Best pedigree in the race:

Touleen


Strongest alternatives on pedigree:

Princess Petrol

K Sarra

Catching The Moon


Most interesting value pedigrees:

Stimulative Trip

Splish Splash

Zaravina


Bottom line

On pedigree alone, Touleen is the standout.
From a value angle, Stimulative Trip and Splish Splash look the most interesting, as both appear better suited than their prices suggest.

Below is a pedigree-only assessment of the 1.25 Newbury, Fred Darling, 7f, good using the details in your paste.

I have scored each filly on:

Ability = overall class potential in the pedigree

Suitability = fit for today’s 7f / turf / Group 3 / 3yo seasonal stage

Confidence = reliability of the pedigree signal, adjusted for evidence depth


I am treating sire, dam, damsire and the cross separately, not as equal signals.

Race-level pedigree view

This looks like a race where the market is naturally drawn to the obvious proven 7f fillies, but pedigree leaves room for a few less exposed improvers.

Main pedigree themes:

Strong established 7f miler pedigrees: Touleen, Princess Petrol, K Sarra, Zaravina

Speed pedigree stretching well to 7f: Catching The Moon, Splish Splash, Blingy’s Sister

Potentially better later / more 1m+ than today’s sharp 7f: K Sarra, Spinning Lizzie, Zaravina

Underexposed pedigrees the market may not have fully priced: Stimulative Trip, Splish Splash, Zaravina, Blingy’s Sister



—

Runner-by-runner pedigree scores

1. Blingy’s Sister (Starspangledbanner x Millicent Fawcett, by Kingman)

Ability: 78
Suitability: 76
Confidence: 68

Pedigree Verdict: Solid
Market Insight: Slightly underbet
Key Angle: Better 7f potential than a pure speed reading suggests because the Kingman damsire side adds class and stretch.

Breakdown

Sire: Starspangledbanner gives pace, toughness and sharp 2yo competence, but can throw stock effective beyond 6f when the dam contributes balance.

Dam: Dam side looks helpful for 7f/mile progression rather than pure sprinting.

Damsire: Kingman is a positive class/stamina influence for this setup.

Interaction: Speed sire + more measured damsire is a logical 7f Group filly cross.


Take: Not an elite pedigree in the field, but more suitable than the market may assume.


—

2. Catching The Moon (No Nay Never x Riches And Rubies, by Uncle Mo)

Ability: 84
Suitability: 82
Confidence: 79

Pedigree Verdict: Strong
Market Insight: Fair
Key Angle: This is not just a 6f juvenile pedigree; the Uncle Mo dam side gives enough depth for 7f and perhaps further.

Breakdown

Sire: No Nay Never is strong for precocity and class; can get high-end 7f performers, especially fillies with some dam-side scope.

Dam: Dam side looks capable of carrying speed forward.

Damsire: Uncle Mo is a useful bridge between speed and middle-range scope.

Interaction: Good balance of class speed and stretch.


Take: Strong ability pedigree and sound 7f fit. Hard to call underbet because the market has already found her.


—

3. Domina Ignis (Pinatubo x Your Ladyship, by Lawman)

Ability: 82
Suitability: 80
Confidence: 63

Pedigree Verdict: Solid
Market Insight: Fair to slightly underbet
Key Angle: The pedigree says 7f should suit better than 6f, and there is room for physical/mental progression.

Breakdown

Sire: Pinatubo stock can show class and speed but often shape as proper 7f/mile types rather than raw sprinters.

Dam: Dam was effective at 1m and the page contains enough substance for progression.

Damsire: Lawman is a positive influence for 7f-1m.

Interaction: Clean, logical miler-type cross.


Take: Not bombproof due to limited evidence, but pedigree fits the race well.


—

4. Ellusive Butterfly (Invincible Army x Gheedaa, by Tamayuz)

Ability: 74
Suitability: 72
Confidence: 66

Pedigree Verdict: Neutral
Market Insight: Fair
Key Angle: Pedigree is workable for 7f, but not obviously Group 3-quality on turf pedigree alone.

Breakdown

Sire: Invincible Army leans speed; not the strongest source of top-end 7f class.

Dam: Dam side offers some help for stretching out.

Damsire: Tamayuz can add some quality and adaptability.

Interaction: Acceptable 7f blend, but lacks standout pedigree force.


Take: Ability ceiling looks lower than several rivals.


—

5. Figjam (Dandy Man x Liliofthelamplight, by Helmet)

Ability: 71
Suitability: 74
Confidence: 73

Pedigree Verdict: Neutral
Market Insight: Fair
Key Angle: Pedigree says 7f is plausible, but this is still more a toughness/speed page than a class Group 3 page.

Breakdown

Sire: Dandy Man is reliable for speed and durability; top-class 7f fillies are less common.

Dam: Dam side does not scream major class injection.

Damsire: Helmet can help with pace and some stretch.

Interaction: Balanced enough for 7f, but not a strong class-upgrade cross.


Take: Suitability is okay, ability score is the limiting factor.


—

6. K Sarra (New Bay x Parnell’s Dream, by Oasis Dream)

Ability: 86
Suitability: 79
Confidence: 70

Pedigree Verdict: Strong
Market Insight: Slightly underbet
Key Angle: One of the better raw ability pedigrees in the race, though today’s sharper 7f may be a touch on the short side compared with her full peak.

Breakdown

Sire: New Bay is an excellent source of quality, often with 7f-10f scope and progression at three.

Dam: Dam won over 1½m; immediate family has depth and stamina.

Damsire: Oasis Dream gives a useful speed injection.

Interaction: Very attractive mix: stamina base with enough pace to be effective at 7f now.


Take: Strong pedigree, especially long term. Slight risk that others are sharper for this exact test.


—

7. Princess Petrol (St Mark’s Basilica x Mot Juste, by Distorted Humor)

Ability: 87
Suitability: 83
Confidence: 77

Pedigree Verdict: Strong
Market Insight: Fair to slightly underbet
Key Angle: One of the best class pedigrees in the field for a filly developing into a proper 7f/1m performer.

Breakdown

Sire: St Mark’s Basilica brings top-level class and strong 7f-10f potential.

Dam: Dam side adds quality and should not blunt speed.

Damsire: Distorted Humor adds toughness and versatility.

Interaction: Very coherent class/stamina/speed balance.


Take: Strong on both ability and suitability. The pedigree gives her every chance to improve again at three.


—

8. Silenciosa (Blame x Ashiqana, by Giant’s Causeway)

Ability: 76
Suitability: 73
Confidence: 60

Pedigree Verdict: Neutral
Market Insight: Fair
Key Angle: Pedigree suggests 7f is fine, maybe even a minimum for later, but she may need more time or a stronger stamina test.

Breakdown

Sire: Blame tends to inject stamina and substance rather than sharp juvenile speed.

Dam: Useful support for middle-distance development.

Damsire: Giant’s Causeway is a strong toughness/stamina influence.

Interaction: More of a developmental page than an immediate Group 3 7f page.


Take: Can improve, but today may not be the ideal point of maximum pedigree leverage.


—

9. Spinning Lizzie (Kameko x Cockney Dancer, by Cockney Rebel)

Ability: 80
Suitability: 75
Confidence: 74

Pedigree Verdict: Solid
Market Insight: Fair
Key Angle: Pedigree says 1m may ultimately suit better than a strong-run 7f, so this is more ability than race-specific suitability.

Breakdown

Sire: Kameko is a good source of 7f-1m quality.

Dam: Dam side does not look sharp enough to make 7f ideal.

Damsire: Cockney Rebel is another miler influence.

Interaction: Plenty of miler logic, less obvious tactical sharpness for this exact race.


Take: Respectable pedigree, but I would not overrate it for this precise setup.


—

10. Splish Splash (Wootton Bassett x Skitter Scatter, by Scat Daddy)

Ability: 85
Suitability: 84
Confidence: 76

Pedigree Verdict: Strong
Market Insight: Underbet
Key Angle: This is one of the more interesting market-miss pedigrees: sire class plus a dam who was high-class at 6f, making 7f a very logical upside trip.

Breakdown

Sire: Wootton Bassett can get top-class fillies with pace and the ability to carry it.

Dam: Skitter Scatter was a quality juvenile; that matters more than raw produce count here.

Damsire: Scat Daddy is a powerful speed/class broodmare influence.

Interaction: Strong class-speed cross with enough stretch for 7f.


Take: Better pedigree than her price suggests. One of the sharper underbet angles in the field.


—

11. Stimulative Trip (Hello Youmzain x La Merced, by Tiger Hill)

Ability: 81
Suitability: 86
Confidence: 58

Pedigree Verdict: Strong
Market Insight: Underbet
Key Angle: The pedigree is very well aligned to Newbury 7f on good: enough speed from the sire, enough depth and steadiness underneath.

Breakdown

Sire: Hello Youmzain is emerging as a useful source of quality speed and 6f-7f effectiveness.

Dam: Dam side looks more staying/grounding than flashy, which helps for this test.

Damsire: Tiger Hill contributes stamina and toughness.

Interaction: One of the better speed-stamina blends for this exact race shape.


Take: Confidence is lower because the evidence base is thin, but the race-specific pedigree fit is excellent.


—

12. Sukanya (Havana Grey x Shiba, by Rail Link)

Ability: 79
Suitability: 80
Confidence: 78

Pedigree Verdict: Solid
Market Insight: Fair
Key Angle: Havana Grey can be pigeonholed as pure speed, but the Rail Link damsire side gives this filly enough stretch for 7f.

Breakdown

Sire: Havana Grey gives speed, precocity and useful quality.

Dam: Dam side adds stamina and steadiness.

Damsire: Rail Link is a clear stamina influence.

Interaction: Nicely balanced for 7f, though perhaps without the same class depth as the very best here.


Take: Sound pedigree match to conditions, but not an obvious hidden monster.


—

13. Touleen (Lope De Vega x Talaayeb, by Dansili)

Ability: 90
Suitability: 88
Confidence: 85

Pedigree Verdict: Strong
Market Insight: Fair to slightly overbet
Key Angle: This is the most straightforward high-class 7f filly pedigree in the race.

Breakdown

Sire: Lope De Vega is elite for class, versatility and 7f-10f progression.

Dam: Talaayeb page adds substance and quality.

Damsire: Dansili is one of the best broodmare influences for class, balance and turf aptitude.

Interaction: Premium cross for a good-ground 7f Pattern filly.


Take: Very strong profile. The only caveat is market compression, not pedigree weakness.


—

14. Zaravina (Zarak x Vadivina, by New Approach)

Ability: 85
Suitability: 77
Confidence: 61

Pedigree Verdict: Strong
Market Insight: Underbet
Key Angle: One of the better raw pedigrees in the race, but it leans more 1m+ / later-season than immediate sharp 7f.

Breakdown

Sire: Zarak gives class and scope, often with improvement over time.

Dam: Excellent family depth and real middle-distance quality in the page.

Damsire: New Approach reinforces stamina and quality.

Interaction: Strong staying-class background; this may not be the final destination.


Take: Big pedigree upside. The question is timing, not talent.


—

15. Zooming (Mohaather x La Arenosa, by Exceed And Excel)

Ability: 83
Suitability: 81
Confidence: 71

Pedigree Verdict: Solid
Market Insight: Fair
Key Angle: Mohaather over an Exceed And Excel mare is a sensible 7f miler-speed blend, ideal for progression from two to three.

Breakdown

Sire: Mohaather is a very suitable source for 7f quality.

Dam: Dam side offers enough pace and practical speed.

Damsire: Exceed And Excel is a positive broodmare speed influence.

Interaction: Clean, logical 7f cross.


Take: Strong enough to be taken seriously, though not obviously mispriced.


—

Best pedigree profiles in the race

Strongest raw ability pedigrees

1. Touleen


2. Princess Petrol


3. K Sarra


4. Splish Splash


5. Zaravina



Best pedigree fit for this exact race

1. Touleen


2. Stimulative Trip


3. Splish Splash


4. Princess Petrol


5. Catching The Moon



Most interesting underbet pedigree angles

Stimulative Trip — best race-specific hidden fit

Splish Splash — stronger page than odds imply

Zaravina — raw pedigree upside may be underestimated

Blingy’s Sister — better 7f class blend than the market may credit


Final pedigree view

Strong pedigrees:
Touleen, Princess Petrol, K Sarra, Splish Splash, Stimulative Trip, Zaravina

Solid pedigrees:
Catching The Moon, Domina Ignis, Zooming, Sukanya, Blingy’s Sister, Spinning Lizzie

Neutral / more limited for this exact race:
Ellusive Butterfly, Figjam, Silenciosa

The main pedigree edge against the market is that Touleen is the obvious class page, but she is not the only filly whose pedigree fits a Newbury 7f Group test. Stimulative Trip and Splish Splash stand out most as pedigrees that may be better than their current market position.