The 3.12 at Perth presents a classic clash between solid handicap form and untapped potential, with the HRB ratings pointing firmly towards the top two in the market.

All Inn Hand heads the TimeWise rankings and is clearly the one with upside. A winner on chase debut and still lightly raced, he has the profile of a horse open to further improvement. The booking of Sean Bowen, who boasts an excellent strike rate at this track, only strengthens the case. However, a 321-day absence is a significant concern, and he’s yet to be tested in a truly run, competitive staying handicap of this nature.

In contrast, He Knows Better brings rock-solid consistency to the table. He has held his form well all season and looks tailor-made for how this race could unfold. The Comment Shaper flags a strong pace scenario, with multiple front runners likely to force the issue early. That should play directly into his hands as a proven strong finisher who is comfortable being ridden patiently.

Celestial Fashion is respected, but her prominent style may leave her vulnerable if the early pace becomes overly aggressive.

Ultimately, while All Inn Hand is the most progressive horse in the race, the likely race dynamics tilt the balance towards He Knows Better, who looks primed to capitalise late.

Verdict: He Knows Better (IRE)
Confidence: Medium