The 3.47 at Perth presents a fairly typical handicap hurdle where the numbers point firmly towards the head of the market. HRB TimeWise makes this a two-horse race, with Jack Hyde and The Dog Thief clear of the rest, and historically that’s a position worth respecting.

Jack Hyde tops the ratings and comes here off a hard-fought win at Ludlow. What stands out in his profile is his attitude – he finds off the bridle and finishes his races strongly. The step up to 2m4f looks a logical move based on his running style, and the 5lb claim further enhances his position. He’s progressive, reliable, and still unexposed at the trip.

The obvious danger is The Dog Thief, who makes his handicap debut with a fair bit of promise. His novice form has worked out well, and an opening mark of 116 could underestimate him. However, he lacks the depth of experience of the selection and may find this a more tactical test than ideal.

Tactically, the race revolves around Skyjack Hijack, the likely lone front runner. If allowed an easy lead, he could take pegging back, but recent form raises enough doubts to oppose him as the main play.

Overall, this looks set up for a solid, improving type rather than a speculative play. Jack Hyde fits that mould best and is taken to follow up.

Verdict: Jack Hyde
Strength: Medium