1.50 Ascot – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Handicap

7f, Class 2, 3yo Handicap

This looks a typically competitive Ascot three-year-old handicap, but the HRB TimeWise Master ratings and the projected race shape narrow the focus considerably towards the top two in the market.

Main Selection – COLORI FOREVER

HRB Rank 1 | TimeWise Master: 374.1

Colori Forever ticks the strongest combination of boxes. The TimeWise profile is notably clear, with a decisive advantage at the top of the ratings and the historical data strongly favouring Rank 1 runners in these 10-runner 3yo handicaps. His Newbury second already reads like premium handicap form and Timeform noted he was “best of those held up”, a major positive given this race is forecast to be strongly run.

The Comment Shaper data strengthens the case further. Ascot’s straight 7f often suits closers when the pace is honest, and this setup contains a likely uncontested leader in Angel Of Anfield with several prominent racers nearby. That should ensure a proper gallop. Colori Forever is identified as one of the strongest late finishers in the field and Timeform explicitly state that a strongly-run race will “assist COLORI FOREVER even more than usual”.

His hold-up style is ideal given the predicted pace pressure, and stall 10 may actually prove advantageous with the draw bias reportedly against low numbers.

Main Danger – ALBAYDAA

HRB Rank 2 | TimeWise Master: 358.7

Albaydaa is the obvious saver. William Haggas has an excellent recent record in this race and the horse shaped very well over an inadequate 6f at Newmarket when finishing strongly. The return to 7f looks a major plus and he still has untapped upside after only four starts.

However, his run style is slightly less convincing for this exact setup than Colori Forever’s, and he lacks the proven strength of top handicap form already shown by the selection.

Others

Queen Tamara is respected on potential but may be vulnerable if the race becomes too strongly run. Angel Of Anfield could outrun his odds if allowed an easy lead but stamina at 7f remains a question.

Verdict

Selection: COLORI FOREVER
Saver: ALBAYDAA

Confidence Rating: STRONG