1.45 Ascot – Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% British EBF Fillies’ Handicap

1m, Class 2, Good

This looks a deep and competitive fillies’ handicap, but the key starting point is the HRB TimeWise Master ratings, where the top two dominate historically. In similar 10-runner handicaps, Rank 1 and Rank 2 account for a significant percentage of winners, so the focus should firmly centre around Radiant Beauty and Zgharta.

Main Selection – RADIANT BEAUTY

Radiant Beauty heads the HRB ratings with a strong 355.9 total, narrowly clear of Zgharta, and she brings the most convincing recent profile into the race. James Owen’s mare improved dramatically through 2025, winning four times around 7f-1m before running a perfectly respectable sixth in Listed company at Kempton on her return. Dropping back into handicap company looks ideal.

Comment Shaper also gives positives. Despite being labelled a prominent racer in a race lacking obvious pace, she still carries “strong finisher” signals and has repeatedly shaped as though she can sustain an effort late. In a contest with no confirmed front-runner, tactical positioning could become crucial, and her ability to race handily may prove decisive compared to deeper closers.

The Ascot straight mile often rewards runners who can travel comfortably before quickening late rather than exaggerated hold-up types, and that slightly tempers enthusiasm for Zgharta despite her obvious talent.

Biggest Danger – ZGHARTA

Zgharta is clearly respected. She is Rank 2 on HRB, receives strong Timeform support and has Oisin Murphy aboard for Andrew Balding. Her profile suggests there is more improvement to come as a four-year-old. However, the pace setup is only moderate and Timeform specifically notes the likely race shape may not suit her hold-up style.

Others

Deedaydiva and Politely are interesting unexposed three-year-olds, while Song N Dance may get a tactical advantage if ridden prominently.

Verdict

Selection: RADIANT BEAUTY
Saver/Danger: ZGHARTA

Confidence: Medium-Strong