Charles Darrow Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)
3m2f105y | Good ground | 5 runners | Fillies & Mares | Ratings 0-115
Race Assessment
Going Suitability
The ground is officially good, which looks ideal for most of the field.
Jena d’Oudairies: Both recent wins came on good/good to firm. Strong positive.
Miss Goldfire: Won on good at Fontwell and handles a sound surface.
Porter In The Park: Effective on good and good to soft.
Queens Venture: Dual hurdle wins came on good/good to soft.
Just A Memory: Has winning form on good to soft and should cope with good.
Field Size Suitability
Only five runners, which is a significant factor.
Small fields often favour horses that can race prominently and jump fluently.
Jena d’Oudairies and Miss Goldfire look well suited.
Porter In The Park has often run well in compact fields.
Hold-up tactics become less effective as there is less pace collapse potential.
Forecast Pace
No confirmed front-running tearaway.
Likely pace:
Jena d’Oudairies can race prominently.
Miss Goldfire generally sits handy.
Porter In The Park can be ridden positively.
The pace looks steady to even, which may favour tactical speed rather than deep stamina.
Draw Bias
Not applicable over hurdles at Newton Abbot.
Pace/Track Interaction
Newton Abbot can suit horses able to hold a position around its relatively sharp layout.
Advantage:
1. Jena d’Oudairies
2. Miss Goldfire
Class Suitability
Jena d’Oudairies has won two handicaps at this sort of level and still appears well treated.
Miss Goldfire has proven competitive at Class 4 level.
Porter In The Park has stronger historical Class 3 form than most rivals.
Queens Venture is proven but has not looked ahead of her mark recently.
Just A Memory drops into a race where her low mark gives her a chance.
Track Suitability
Queens Venture is a previous Newton Abbot hurdle winner.
Just A Memory has won a chase at Newton Abbot.
No concerns for Jena d’Oudairies despite no notable track record.
Distance Suitability
Jena d’Oudairies won comfortably over 3m2f at Stratford.
Miss Goldfire stays this trip.
Porter In The Park has strong 3m2f form.
Queens Venture stays well enough but most effective slightly shorter.
Just A Memory should stay based on chase efforts.
Temperament
Jena d’Oudairies looks transformed by blinkers.
Miss Goldfire unseated last time, though before the race developed.
Others generally reliable.
Trainer & Jockey
Paul Nicholls/Freddie Gingell is an obvious positive.
Harry Fry/Ciaran O’Shea (7lb claim) looks dangerous.
Emma Lavelle has her yard in good order and the regular claiming rider suits Porter In The Park.
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Are We Weighing The Race Correctly?
This is a 5-runner staying mares’ handicap on good ground.
The most important factors here are:
1. Current form
2. Distance suitability
3. Pace position
4. Handicap mark
5. Trainer form
Track biases, draw and traffic problems become much less important in such a small field.
The race should be weighted heavily toward recent improvement and tactical positioning, which strongly favours Jena d’Oudairies.
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Runner-by-Runner Ratings
1. Jena d’Oudairies (p)
Rating: 9/10
Two wins since blinkers were applied and the latest Stratford success over this trip was achieved with authority. Raised again but remains progressive and arrives in the strongest current form.
Profile: Progressive (p)
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2. Miss Goldfire
Rating: 8.5/10
Won convincingly at Fontwell before unseating early last time. Her Timeform figures and RPRs suggest she is a serious threat. Stays and handles conditions.
Profile: Proven
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3. Porter In The Park
Rating: 7.5/10
Carries top weight but possesses arguably the strongest historical handicap form in the race. Warwick second in March reads well. Needs to bounce back from two lesser runs.
Profile: Proven
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4. Queens Venture
Rating: 6/10
Course winner who is attractively treated compared with some past form. Recent efforts suggest she may be vulnerable against younger, improving rivals.
Profile: Proven
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5. Just A Memory (P)
Rating: 5.5/10
Well handicapped and arrives after an encouraging chase second. Still 0-6 over hurdles but earlier hurdle efforts contained promise. Could outrun expectations.
Profile: Promising (P)
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Strongest Contenders
Jena d’Oudairies (p)
The horse arriving with the most momentum. Blinkers have unlocked improvement and she looks ideally suited by conditions.
Miss Goldfire
Main danger. Fontwell win showed she remains capable from this mark and the 7lb claim is useful.
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Main Danger
Porter In The Park
Best treated horse on peak form and capable of running to figures that would put her right there.
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Interesting Outsider
Just A Memory (P)
Not an obvious winner but receives plenty of weight and is returning to form. More interesting than Queens Venture at likely prices.
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Significant Profile Notes
Jena d’Oudairies: 2-2 since blinkers fitted.
Miss Goldfire: Highest recent TS figure in the field.
Porter In The Park: Strong Class 3 handicap form from late 2025.
Queens Venture: Previous Newton Abbot hurdle winner.
Just A Memory: Course winner (over fences).
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Private Tissue
Horse Tissue
Jena d’Oudairies 35% (15/8)
Miss Goldfire 28% (5/2)
Porter In The Park 18% (9/2)
Queens Venture 10% (9/1)
Just A Memory 9% (10/1)
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Summary
A compact field where tactical position and current wellbeing are likely to prove decisive. Jena d’Oudairies is thriving since the application of blinkers and arrives after a convincing victory over this trip. Miss Goldfire rates the principal threat if reproducing her Fontwell success, while Porter In The Park has enough back-class to get involved if returning to her Warwick level.
ChatGPT Smart Plays
Win Selection
Jena d’Oudairies (p)
The most solid combination of recent form, trip suitability, pace profile and trainer strength.
Saver
Miss Goldfire
Strong recent winning form, effective claim and proven stamina make her the most credible alternative.
No each-way recommendation: only five runners, so standard each-way value angles do not apply.
16:00 Newton Abbot
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