Executive Summary

The TimeWise ratings continue to demonstrate strong predictive power across all three codes of racing. The top-rated horse has consistently outperformed lower-ranked runners, producing a clear descending pattern in both win and place percentages.

The figures suggest that TimeWise remains an effective ranking tool, with the strongest edge concentrated among the first three ranked selections.

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National Hunt (TimeWise NH)

Rank| Bets| Wins| Win %| Places| Place %
1| 1013| 263| 25.96%| 506| 49.95%
2| 1008| 183| 18.15%| 409| 40.58%
3| 993| 145| 14.60%| 360| 36.25%
4| 979| 111| 11.34%| 294| 30.03%
5| 903| 76| 8.42%| 216| 23.92%

Key Findings

– Top-rated horses won 25.96% of races.
– Nearly one in every two top-rated runners reached the frame.
– Rank 1 outperformed Rank 2 by 7.8 percentage points.
– Win rates decline steadily through the rankings, indicating excellent discrimination.

The NH ratings remain particularly robust, with the top-rated runner winning roughly one race in every four.

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All-Weather (TimeWise AW)

Rank| Bets| Wins| Win %| Places| Place %
1| 1016| 282| 27.76%| 562| 55.31%
2| 1021| 203| 19.88%| 479| 46.91%
3| 991| 140| 14.13%| 369| 37.24%
4| 997| 90| 9.03%| 277| 27.78%
5| 970| 79| 8.14%| 273| 28.14%

Key Findings

– Best-performing code overall.
– Top-rated runners won 27.76% of races.
– More than 55% of top-rated selections placed.
– Strong separation between the first and second rankings.
– AW ratings appear especially reliable due to the consistency of surface conditions.

The All-Weather figures suggest TimeWise is particularly effective when fewer variables affect performance.

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Flat Racing (TimeWise Flat)

Rank| Bets| Wins| Win %| Places| Place %
1| 1023| 270| 26.39%| 527| 51.52%
2| 1001| 183| 18.28%| 410| 40.96%
3| 1017| 140| 13.77%| 375| 36.87%
4| 986| 105| 10.65%| 322| 32.66%
5| 957| 94| 9.82%| 273| 28.53%

Key Findings

– Top-rated runners won 26.39% of races.
– Over half of all Rank 1 selections placed.
– Clear ranking hierarchy throughout the table.
– Performance is remarkably similar to the NH ratings despite larger field sizes and greater pace influences.

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Comparison of Top-Rated Runners

Code| Win %| Place %
AW| 27.76%| 55.31%
Flat| 26.39%| 51.52%
NH| 25.96%| 49.95%

Observations

1. All three codes show top-rated runners winning approximately one race in four.
2. AW provides the highest strike-rate and place-rate.
3. Flat and NH figures are extremely consistent.
4. The rankings show very little noise, with win percentages falling almost perfectly as rank position decreases.

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Implications for TimeWise Users

The data reinforces several principles:

Strongest Zone

The greatest predictive value lies with the top three ranked horses.

Rank 1 Advantage

A Rank 1 runner is:

– 40-50% more likely to win than a Rank 2 runner.
– Roughly twice as likely to win as a Rank 4 runner.
– Around three times as likely to win as runners ranked 7th or lower.

Practical Application

The ratings work best when combined with:

– Pace analysis.
– Market assessment.
– Trainer and jockey form.
– Class and suitability checks.

This aligns closely with the way ProHandicap Max and your TimeWise workflow already operate.

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Conclusion

Over the recent sample of approximately 1,000 races per code, TimeWise has produced highly consistent results. The top-rated horse has delivered:

– 25.96% wins in National Hunt racing.
– 27.76% wins on the All-Weather.
– 26.39% wins on the Flat.

The steady decline in strike-rates through the rankings confirms that the ratings are effectively identifying the most likely winners. For bettors using TimeWise as a foundation and then applying pace, value and market analysis, the figures suggest the ratings remain a strong and reliable starting point for race assessment.