2m5f150y, 4yo+, 0-100 handicap chase, soft ground.

No draw angle: jumps race. Pace looks important: this could favour handy/staying types, as several are out of form or unproven finishers. Ballagh Star, Revolut Ned and Jouster look likely to help shape the race; hold-up types may need luck and fluent jumping.

Non-runners noted: Bohemian Bay, The Rebel County.

Preview

Jouster is the solid one. His Tramore third behind a sharp improver reads well for this grade, his RPR 97 is strong, and the returning tongue-tie plus first-time blinkers may sharpen him. Soft ground is not ideal evidence-wise, but he is proven over fences and arrives in better form than most.

Revolut Ned is a danger. He won a point, then ran a solid third at Tramore over a similar trip. Still only seven and less exposed than many here. Soft-ground point form helps.

Ballingurteen is the promising angle. Chase debut is a risk, but she was second in a point and has improved in recent handicap hurdles. If taking to fences, she could rate higher than 81.

Stormy Master ran well after a break at Limerick and has winning chase form, but soft ground may blunt him. Kilashee has course-and-distance form but is 11 and better over hurdles. Ballagh Star has claims on last autumn’s chase form, though this trip may be shorter than ideal.

Interesting outsider: Rideau Canal, a mud-loving Tramore winner in February, though recent efforts are poor.

Runner marks

Jouster – 8/10 p – best recent chase form, strong RPR, headgear angle.

Revolut Ned – 7.5/10 p – point winner, solid recent chase third, still lightly raced.

Ballingurteen – 7/10 P – chase debut, but point promise and improving hurdle form.

Stormy Master – 6.5/10 – good comeback, ground concern.

Ballagh Star – 6/10 – capable chaser, may want further.

Kilashee – 5.5/10 – C&D form, but ageing and not strongest chase profile.

Finnicky Filly – 5/10 – consistent enough, stamina doubt.

Made U Look – 5/10 – point winner, rules return tempers enthusiasm.

Rideau Canal – 4.5/10 – handles mud, out of form since win.

Ta Se Rua – 4/10 – veteran, recent hunter form not compelling.

Kilkee Bay – 4/10 – unconvincing over fences.

Silent Flight – 3/10 – little chase encouragement.

Cavalry Master – 3/10 – former ability, now regressive.

Global Assembly – 2.5/10 – 0-8 over fences, weak recent pointing form.

Annie Questions, reserve – 3.5/10 – point win, but poor regulation chase form.

Robin Elite, reserve – 2/10 – struggling.

Eddies Pride, reserve – 2/10 – regressive.


Private tissue

Jouster 4/1
Revolut Ned 9/2
Ballingurteen 11/2
Stormy Master 8/1
Ballagh Star 10/1
Kilashee 12/1
Finnicky Filly 14/1
Made U Look 16/1
Others 20/1+

Smart Play

Win bet: Jouster – proven chase form, best recent RPR, and the cleanest profile.
Each-way saver: Revolut Ned – solid recent form and enough upside in a weak race.