This looks less a pure sprint and more a tactical exercise. With very little obvious speed on paper, Law Of Average could gain a significant advantage by securing an uncontested lead. His recent wins on firm and good-to-firm ground suggest conditions are ideal.
Havana Blast remains the interesting horse for the future. After missing a season, he’s returned with two encouraging efforts and may not have reached his handicap ceiling yet.
Twilight Calls deserves respect after finally ending a long losing sequence, but today’s pace setup is much less favourable than Sandown and could leave him with too much to do.
Final Conclusion
Most likely winner: Law Of Average
Best value: Havana Blast
Danger: Twilight Calls
Notebook horse: Havana Blast (especially if finishing strongly without winning)
Race verdict: Pace-driven contest where Law Of Average has a realistic chance of making all.